Trading Signals: TAK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 6, 2013

Trading Signals: TAK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. May. 10, 2010 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited)
TAK latest price $23.7000 (1.11%) ($23.6000 - $23.7000) on Tue. Aug. 6, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.84% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $23.7000(1.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TAK advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TAK declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TAK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWJ(49%)    SPY(39%)    EWG(36%)    IWM(36%)    XLY(36%)
Factors Impacting TAK price   TAK will decline at least -0.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(1%)    IGOV(1%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.92% (StdDev 1.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.25(1.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.04(2.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.38(1.37%)
To recent high   -13.2%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $74.091b

Takeda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, import and export sale, and marketing of pharmaceutical drugs. It operates through the following segments: Prescription Drug, Consumer Healthcare, and Other. The Prescription Drugs segment includes the manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical products. The Consumer Healthcare segment includes the manufacture and sale of OTC drugs and quasi-drugs. The Other segment includes manufacture and sale of reagents, clinical diagnostics, and chemical products. The company was founded by Takeda Chobei on June 12, 1781 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

$. TAK price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 1.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130906

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_6_2013	24.45	23.38	23.04	23.25			23.7(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	-10000	12	-29	0.01	28%	-0.16	7.9	1.84%	0	0.6	44	0
2	Aug_5_2013	24.49	23.36	23.03	22.99			23.44(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	-10000	11	-50	0.03	28%	-0.16	-2.3	1.83%	0	0.2	45	0
3	Aug_2_2013	24.53	23.34	23.04	22.77			23.31(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-14	-10000	6	-73	0.01	32%	-0.12	-10	1.84%	0	-0.1	41	0
4	Aug_1_2013	24.56	23.32	23.07	22.64			23.27(3.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-22	-10000	0	-87	0.03	30%	-0.12	-13.2	1.86%	0	-0.1	41	0
5	Jul_31_2013	24.59	23.31	23.14	22.63			22.52(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-10000	-8	-91	0.01	25%	-0.2	-6.6	1.82%	0	-1.5	31	0

6	Jul_30_2013	24.64	23.34	23.28	22.8			22.42(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-10000	-14	-73	0.01	25%	-0.16	8.7	1.82%	0	-1.8	40	0
7	Jul_29_2013	24.68	23.37	23.42	23.09			22.32(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-21	-10000	-12	-47	0.02	25%	-0.16	34.3	1.82%	0	-2.2	38	0
8	Jul_26_2013	24.72	23.37	23.59	23.34			22.68(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-12	-10000	-10	-18	0.01	25%	-0.16	50.5	1.82%	0	-1.6	47	0
9	Jul_25_2013	24.76	23.39	23.71	23.56			23.2(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10000	-7	14	0.12	27%	-0.12	69.5	1.8%	0	-0.4	60	0
10	Jul_24_2013	24.79	23.35	23.71	23.72			23.4(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-5	37	0.02	31%	-0.12	64.3	1.8%	0	0.1	59	0

11	Jul_23_2013	24.82	23.29	23.77	23.83			23.83(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	0	53	0.01	32%	-0.12	59	1.82%	0	0.9	70	0
12	Jul_22_2013	24.85	23.21	23.72	23.82			23.57(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-10000	-2	58	0.01	32%	-0.12	47.2	1.82%	0	0.6	68	0
13	Jul_19_2013	24.88	23.17	23.68	23.87			23.78(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-10000	-1	71	0.01	32%	-0.08	54.1	1.82%	0	1	77	0
14	Jul_18_2013	24.9	23.08	23.6	23.89			24.02(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	23	-10000	3	81	0.01	32%	-0.08	47.2	1.82%	0	1.4	85	0
15	Jul_17_2013	24.92	23.01	23.5	23.83			23.96(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	-10000	6	91	0.01	32%	-0.04	48.7	1.83%	0	1.5	87	0

16	Jul_16_2013	24.93	22.96	23.39	23.7			23.75(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	4	91	0.02	32%	-0.08	49	1.82%	0	1.4	82	0
17	Jul_15_2013	24.95	22.92	23.3	23.61			23.86(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	7	98	0.01	32%	-0.08	51.3	1.83%	0	1.7	87	0
18	Jul_12_2013	24.97	22.84	23.18	23.46			23.87(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	-10000	10	86	0.02	32%	-0.08	43.9	1.83%	0	2	65	0
19	Jul_11_2013	24.99	22.77	23.04	23.25			23.72(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	-10000	6	78	0.01	32%	-0.08	41.6	1.83%	0	2.1	73	0
20	Jul_10_2013	25.01	22.72	22.88	23.12			23.29(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	4	60	0.02	29%	-0.04	49.4	1.82%	0	1.4	54	0

21	Jul_9_2013	25.02	22.68	22.78	23.04			23.32(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	4	44	0.02	29%	-0.08	48.2	1.83%	0	1.7	52	0
22	Jul_8_2013	25.04	22.64	22.65	22.95			23.09(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	5	25	0	29%	-0.08	51	1.82%	0	1.3	49	0
23	Jul_5_2013	25.06	22.61	22.61	22.85			22.85(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	-10000	3	22	0.01	28%	-0.08	50.7	1.82%	0	0.7	57	0
24	Jul_3_2013	25.08	22.58	22.52	22.78			23.05(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	9	10	0.02	34%	-0.08	36.5	1.83%	0	1.3	54	0
25	Jul_2_2013	25.1	22.52	22.48	22.6			22.91(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	-10000	6	-5	0.01	33%		12.9	1.86%	0	1.1	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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