Trading Signals: TAK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 5, 2012

Trading Signals: TAK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. May. 10, 2010 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited)
TAK latest price $22.9800 (0.26%) ($22.9700 - $23.1200) on Wed. Dec. 5, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $22.9800(0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TAK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TAK advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TAK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWJ(49%)    SPY(38%)    IWM(36%)    EEM(35%)    EWG(35%)
Factors Impacting TAK price   TAK will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(1%)    IGOV(2%)    TIP(3%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.87(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.78(0.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.79(0.83%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $71.84b

Takeda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, import and export sale, and marketing of pharmaceutical drugs. It operates through the following segments: Prescription Drug, Consumer Healthcare, and Other. The Prescription Drugs segment includes the manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical products. The Consumer Healthcare segment includes the manufacture and sale of OTC drugs and quasi-drugs. The Other segment includes manufacture and sale of reagents, clinical diagnostics, and chemical products. The company was founded by Takeda Chobei on June 12, 1781 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

$. TAK price fluctuates within 0.97% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_5_2012	23.06		22.78	22.87			22.98(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	4	39	0.03	49%	0	-22.7	1.01%	0	0.9	56	0
2	Dec_4_2012	23.06		22.75	22.82			22.92(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	5	29	0.14	47%	0	-31.7	1.01%	0	0.6	50	0
3	Dec_3_2012	23.06	22.79	22.74	22.76			22.76(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	7	-10000	3	18	0.02	47%	0	-38.6	1.03%	0	-0.1	45	0
4	Nov_30_2012	23.06	22.8	22.7	22.72			22.95(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	-10000	5	-3	0.05	47%	0	-37.6	1.04%	0	0.7	44	0
5	Nov_29_2012	23.06	22.81	22.64	22.66			22.75(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-10	-10000	-1	-35	0.02	47%	0	-37.1	1.05%	0	-0.2	37	0

6	Nov_28_2012	23.06	22.84	22.63	22.67			22.7(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-10000	-1	-44	0.02	47%	0	-23.6	1.05%	0	-0.5	38	0
7	Nov_27_2012	23.06	22.87	22.65	22.68			22.64(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-2	-48	0.02	47%	0	-19.7	1.05%	0	-0.8	39	0
8	Nov_26_2012	23.06	22.88	22.67	22.71			22.58(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-9	-10000	3	-44	0.02	47%	0.04	-17.2	1.05%	0	-1.1	40	0
9	Nov_23_2012	23.05	22.89	22.72	22.67			22.61(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	-10000	5	-45	0.01	47%	0	-26.2	1.05%	0	-1	41	0
10	Nov_21_2012	23.05	22.9	22.78	22.61			22.8(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	-10000	2	-55	0.07	48%	0	-30.5	1.04%	0	-0.4	40	0

11	Nov_20_2012	23.05	22.91	22.81	22.59			22.76(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-19	-10000	-2	-68	0.02	48%	0	-25.4	1.04%	0	-0.6	33	0
12	Nov_19_2012	23.05	22.92	22.84	22.61			22.8(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-19	-10000	-2	-68	0.03	48%	0	-16.1	1.05%	0	-0.4	42	0
13	Nov_16_2012	23.05	22.93	22.85	22.64			22.4(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-10000	-12	-72	0.02	46%	0	-3.4	1.02%	0	-2	40	0
14	Nov_15_2012	23.05	22.96	22.91	22.78			22.3(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-23	-10000	-15	-48	0.03	46%	0	23.8	1.02%	0	-2.8	45	0
15	Nov_14_2012	23.05	22.96	23	22.96			22.71(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-9	-10000	-8	-11	0.02	48%	0.04	55.1	1%	0	-1.5	53	0

16	Nov_13_2012	23.04	22.98	23.08	23.05			22.86(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-10000	-3	14	0.02	48%	0.04	60.9	1%	0	-0.6	49	0
17	Nov_12_2012	23.03	22.96	23.11	23.05			22.93(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	7	-10000	0	26	0.05	48%	0.04	61.5	1%	0	-0.1	50	0
18	Nov_9_2012	23.02	22.94	23.12	23.09			23.12(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	3	28	0.03	48%	0.09	56.2	1%	0	0.7	53	0
19	Nov_8_2012	23	22.91	23.08	23.06			23.2(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	1	16	0.03	48%	0.09	49.2	1%	0	1.1	55	0
20	Nov_7_2012	22.98	22.88	23.03	23.05			23.12(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-10000	-6	16	0.04	48%	0.09	46.7	1%	0	0.9	65	0

21	Nov_6_2012	22.96	22.86	23.02	23.12			23.06(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-2	38	0.01	48%	0.09	49.2	1%	0	0.7	64	0
22	Nov_5_2012	22.94	22.83	23.02	23.12			22.97(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	14	-10000	0	54	0.02	48%	0.09	42.3	1%	0	0.5	63	0
23	Nov_2_2012	22.92	22.81	23.01	23.14			22.96(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	21	-10000	4	72	0.01	46%	0.09	26	1%	0	0.5	66	0
24	Nov_1_2012	22.9	22.78	23.02	23.09			23.14(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	8	80	0.03	49%	0.09	12.6	1.01%	0	1.2	68	0
25	Oct_31_2012	22.88	22.76	22.96	23			23.45(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	-10000	9	63	0.03	51%		-6.1	1.03%	0	2.3	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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