Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Stanley Black & Decker Inc.)
SWK latest price $86.1900 (1.56%) ($85.1800 - $86.2300) on Wed. May. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $86.1900(1.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SWK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SWK declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(70%)    SPY(70%)    XLI(70%)    VT(67%)    XLB(66%)
Factors Impacting SWK price   SWK will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $85.64(0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $86.09(0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.81(0.44%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $13.231b

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. engages in the provision of power and hand tools, and related accessories, products, services and equipment for oil & gas and infrastructure applications, commercial electronic security and monitoring systems, healthcare solutions, and mechanical access solutions. It operates through the following three segments: Tools and Storage, Industrial, and Security. The Tools and Storage segment comprises of the power tools and equipment, and hand tools, accessories, and storage businesses. The Industrial segment comprises of engineered fastening and infrastructure businesses. The Security segment includes the convergent security solutions and mechanical access solutions businesses. The company was founded by Frederick T. Stanley in 1843 and is headquartered in New Britain, CT.

$. SWK price fluctuates within 1.19% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140621

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_21_2014	81.4	85.81	86.09	85.64			86.19(1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-0	-10000	2	-7	0.89	61%	0.07	85.7	1.13%	0	0.4	51	0
2	May_20_2014	81.34	85.63	86.08	85.56			84.87(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-9	-13	1.2	59%	0.05	73.7	1.12%	0	-0.6	45	0
3	May_19_2014	81.3	85.5	86.14	85.99			86.46(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-10000	-4	7	0.83	63%	0.06	82.1	1.1%	0	0.6	61	0
4	May_16_2014	81.25	85.27	86.06	86.17			85.7(0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-3	22	0.82	63%	0.06	97.8	1.09%	0	0.3	62	0
5	May_15_2014	81.2	85.1	86.09	86.29			84.99(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-10000	-6	30	1.02	63%	0.05	101.5	1.09%	0	-0.1	50	0

6	May_14_2014	81.16	84.94	86.21	86.58			85.78(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10000	-1	46	0.76	63%	0.06	101.4	1.09%	0	0.5	52	0
7	May_13_2014	81.11	84.68	86.23	86.65			87(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	8	74	0.68	66%	0.09	94.8	1.08%	0	1.1	75	0
8	May_12_2014	81.04	84.27	86.01	86.29			87.37(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	-10000	7	81	1.07	66%	0.09	77.1	1.08%	0	1.3	79	0
9	May_9_2014	80.97	83.79	85.7	85.96			86.33(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	2	85	0.56	66%	0.07	61.2	1.07%	0	0.9	77	0
10	May_8_2014	80.91	83.41	85.59	85.88			86.4(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	2	103	0.81	66%	0.07	52.3	1.08%	0	1	75	0

11	May_7_2014	80.85	83.1	85.49	85.8			86.15(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	33	-10000	1	127	1.19	69%	0.07	50.1	1.08%	0	1.1	76	0
12	May_6_2014	80.79	82.74	85.14	85.75			85.19(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	35	-10000	2	135	0.51	69%	0.07	45.1	1.14%	0	0.9	78	0
13	May_5_2014	80.73	82.44	84.83	85.67			85.73(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	44	-10000	6	158	0.82	69%	0.06	41	1.14%	0	1.1	85	0
14	May_2_2014	80.68	82.18	84.43	85.38			85.93(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	-10000	3	170	0.84	65%	0.07	39.8	1.17%	0	1.3	87	0
15	May_1_2014	80.62	81.94	84.04	85.24			85.99(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	49	-10000	2	188	1.19	65%	0.09	45.3	1.18%	0	1.5	81	0

16	Apr_30_2014	80.55	81.71	83.59	85.15			85.89(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	61	-10000	14	202	1.18	65%	0.06	52.5	1.18%	0	1.7	68	0
17	Apr_29_2014	80.5	81.48	83.02	84.46			84.82(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	-10000	13	191	1.54	63%	0.05	52.2	1.17%	0	1.5	70	0
18	Apr_28_2014	80.46	81.28	82.39	83.84			84.26(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	-10000	11	169	2.23	63%	0.05	51.9	1.17%	0	1.4	68	0
19	Apr_25_2014	80.42	81.08	81.75	83.31			85.23(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	45	-10000	14	137	1.97	63%	0.07	50.6	1.16%	0	2.1	63	0
20	Apr_24_2014	80.36	80.76	81.05	82.65			85.53(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	37	-10000	17	98	4.08	58%	0.07	44.1	1.16%	0	2.7	59	0

21	Apr_23_2014	80.3	80.44	80.48	81.84			82.44(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	10	59	2.48	53%	0.04	39	1.15%	0	1.4	50	0
22	Apr_22_2014	80.27	80.32	80.11	81.39			81.73(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	15	29	1.34	53%	0.02	32.9	1.15%	0	1.1	48	0
23	Apr_21_2014	80.25	80.2	79.84	80.71			81.62(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	-10000	18	-7	0.84	53%	0	15.8	1.15%	0	1.1	50	0
24	Apr_17_2014	80.25	80.09	79.72	79.9			81.92(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	3	-10000	16	-37	1.78	51%	0.01	1.3	1.15%	0	1.5	54	0
25	Apr_16_2014	80.24	79.99	79.64	79.19			81.48(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.9	-10	-10000	5	-53	1.67	51%		-12.2	1.16%	0	1.3	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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