Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 7, 2012

Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Stanley Black & Decker Inc.)
SWK latest price $68.7400 (2.2%) ($67.7200 - $69.1800) on Tue. Aug. 7, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.04% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $68.7400(2.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SWK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SWK advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(69%)    SPY(69%)    PEJ(64%)    EWG(60%)    XLY(60%)
Factors Impacting SWK price   SWK will decline at least -1.02% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.02% (StdDev 2.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $67.25(2.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.09(2.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.88(5.95%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   16%
Market Cap   $10.552b

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. engages in the provision of power and hand tools, and related accessories, products, services and equipment for oil & gas and infrastructure applications, commercial electronic security and monitoring systems, healthcare solutions, and mechanical access solutions. It operates through the following three segments: Tools and Storage, Industrial, and Security. The Tools and Storage segment comprises of the power tools and equipment, and hand tools, accessories, and storage businesses. The Industrial segment comprises of engineered fastening and infrastructure businesses. The Security segment includes the convergent security solutions and mechanical access solutions businesses. The company was founded by Frederick T. Stanley in 1843 and is headquartered in New Britain, CT.

$. SWK price fluctuates within 5.1% (three month std-dev: 2.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120907

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2012	68.78	64.88	67.09	67.25			68.74(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	5	50	0.94	54%	-0.16	40	2.04%	0	1.2	67	0
2	Aug_6_2012	68.89	64.45	66.67	66.88			67.26(-1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-10000	-4	58	0.81	53%	-0.19	34.2	2.02%	0	0.9	72	0
3	Aug_3_2012	69.02	64.16	66.45	67.13			68.01(3.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	22	-10000	-2	92	1.34	53%	-0.2	33.5	2.02%	0	1.2	75	0
4	Aug_2_2012	69.16	63.87	66.27	67.25			65.56(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	31	-10000	-2	128	1.91	50%	-0.23	37.3	1.97%	0	0.6	68	0
5	Aug_1_2012	69.32	63.76	66.33	67.35			66.67(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	48	-10000	8	168	1.23	50%	-0.2	40.7	1.96%	0	0.9	72	0

6	Jul_31_2012	69.46	63.58	66.02	66.85			66.89(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	50	-10000	8	175	2.08	50%	-0.16	41.3	1.97%	0	1.1	73	0
7	Jul_30_2012	69.57	63.36	65.35	66.36			68.5(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	-10000	11	166	2.32	51%	-0.13	42.2	1.96%	0	1.8	75	0
8	Jul_27_2012	69.66	63.12	64.45	65.66			68.65(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	-10000	7	139	2.88	51%	-0.11	43.8	1.97%	0	2.1	68	0
9	Jul_26_2012	69.74	62.76	63.59	65.22			66.03(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	-0	122	2.19	47%	-0.14	45.9	1.9%	0	1.4	59	0
10	Jul_25_2012	69.84	62.53	62.95	65.23			64.2(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	30	-10000	3	110	1.66	44%	-0.13	46.6	1.87%	0	0.8	51	0

11	Jul_24_2012	69.93	62.36	62.5	65.04			64.43(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	35	-10000	16	93	1.8	44%	-0.17	38.6	1.87%	0	0.9	52	0
12	Jul_23_2012	70.05	62.17	62.07	64.1			64.99(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	20	55	2.13	44%	-0.16	22	1.87%	0	1.3	55	0
13	Jul_20_2012	70.16	61.99	61.69	62.95			66.45(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	19	-10000	22	10	3.53	46%	-0.16	3.9	1.86%	0	2.2	54	0
14	Jul_19_2012	70.27	61.72	61.23	61.7			66.09(4.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.5	11	-10000	23	-24	4.87	41%	-0.16	-16.4	1.86%	0	2.5	61	0
15	Jul_18_2012	70.38	61.72	60.89	60.39			63.26(5.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.9	-4	-10000	13	-55	6.45	36%	-0.18	-42.6	1.97%	0	1.2	55	0

16	Jul_17_2012	70.51	61.53	60.85	59.64			59.72(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-10000	-2	-79	5.1	31%	-0.23	-54.6	1.8%	0	-1.2	47	0
17	Jul_16_2012	70.67	61.7	61.17	59.74			59.25(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-8	-67	1.89	31%	-0.21	-56.4	1.82%	0	-1.6	47	0
18	Jul_13_2012	70.82	61.91	61.68	60.2			60.19(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-10000	-8	-42	1.43	31%	-0.23	-55.5	1.82%	0	-1.2	45	0
19	Jul_12_2012	70.98	62.01	61.87	60.67			59.54(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-14	-29	1.75	34%	-0.21	-54.8	1.82%	0	-1.8	43	0
20	Jul_11_2012	71.13	62.17	62.12	61.45			59.52(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-14	-10000	-14	-12	1.82	36%	-0.22	-51.5	1.84%	0	-2.2	37	0

21	Jul_10_2012	71.29	62.38	62.3	62.23			60.19(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-8	-10000	-10	-1	1.87	35%	-0.17	-36.4	1.86%	0	-2	36	0
22	Jul_9_2012	71.41	62.56	62.39	62.79			61.57(-1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-7	-10000	-10	4	1.62	35%	-0.2	-18	1.85%	0	-1	44	0
23	Jul_6_2012	71.55	62.71	62.41	63.35			62.55(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	6	-10000	2	18	1.01	35%	-0.17	1.7	1.85%	0	-0.1	46	0
24	Jul_5_2012	71.67	62.76	62.31	63.24			63.43(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	6	14	0.98	35%	-0.22	-11.4	1.86%	0	0.6	56	0
25	Jul_3_2012	71.83	62.81	62.24	62.88			63.4(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	9	7	0.86	35%		-28.2	1.85%	0	0.5	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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