Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SWK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 31, 2008

Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Stanley Black & Decker Inc.)
SWK latest price $51.3600 (5.88%) ($47.5800 - $51.7500) on Thu. Jan. 31, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.97% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $51.3600(5.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SWK advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SWK advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(74%)    SPY(73%)    PEJ(68%)    XLY(68%)    EWG(65%)
Factors Impacting SWK price   SWK will decline at least -0.985% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.985% (StdDev 1.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.81(5.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.66(7.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.74(9.88%)
To recent high   -10.8%
To recent low   15.8%
Market Cap   $7.884b

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. engages in the provision of power and hand tools, and related accessories, products, services and equipment for oil & gas and infrastructure applications, commercial electronic security and monitoring systems, healthcare solutions, and mechanical access solutions. It operates through the following three segments: Tools and Storage, Industrial, and Security. The Tools and Storage segment comprises of the power tools and equipment, and hand tools, accessories, and storage businesses. The Industrial segment comprises of engineered fastening and infrastructure businesses. The Security segment includes the convergent security solutions and mechanical access solutions businesses. The company was founded by Frederick T. Stanley in 1843 and is headquartered in New Britain, CT.

$. SWK price fluctuates within 3.4% (three month std-dev: 1.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_31_2008	51.89	46.74	47.66	48.81			51.36(5.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	40	-10000	23	92	1.77	37%	-0.04	16.8	1.97%	0	2.9	73	0
2	Jan_30_2008	51.91	46.47	47.17	47.75			48.51(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	10	62	0.93	29%	-0.1	-10.7	1.81%	0	1.7	69	0
3	Jan_29_2008	51.96	46.45	46.95	47.34			48.67(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	23	-10000	11	59	0.74	29%	-0.1	-21.9	1.81%	0	2	74	0
4	Jan_28_2008	52.01	46.41	46.73	46.86			48.91(5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	21	-10000	11	52	1.73	29%	-0.1	-33	1.81%	0	2.3	73	0
5	Jan_25_2008	52.06	46.37	46.42	46.4			46.58(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	1	45	1.55	22%	-0.19	-43.6	1.68%	0	0.2	68	0

6	Jan_24_2008	52.16	46.48	46.4	46.35			46.06(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-4	47	2.04	28%	-0.17	-34.6	1.67%	0	-0.4	52	0
7	Jan_23_2008	52.25	46.6	46.36	46.51			46.48(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	13	-10000	1	47	3.83	28%	-0.21	-24	1.76%	0	-0.1	49	0
8	Jan_22_2008	52.36	46.69	46.19	46.48			46.25(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-2	20	1.84	28%	-0.21	-25.1	1.76%	0	-0.3	37	0
9	Jan_18_2008	52.47	46.77	46.06	46.55			46.63(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	3	2	1.45	28%	-0.17	-32	1.76%	0	-0.1	39	0
10	Jan_17_2008	52.56	46.81	45.84	46.43			46.33(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-1	-32	1.61	28%	-0.19	-45.2	1.76%	0	-0.3	37	0

11	Jan_16_2008	52.66	46.87	45.78	46.46			46.85(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	7	-51	1.62	28%	-0.13	-51.5	1.76%	0	-0	36	0
12	Jan_15_2008	52.73	46.91	45.73	46.19			46.36(-0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10000	9	-77	0.93	26%	-0.19	-66.9	1.75%	0	-0.4	37	0
13	Jan_14_2008	52.83	47.03	45.9	45.84			46.6(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-16	-10000	9	-91	0.88	26%	-0.21	-80.6	1.79%	0	-0.3	38	0
14	Jan_11_2008	52.94	47.24	46.05	45.49			46.03(-0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	-10000	8	-104	0.98	26%	-0.21	-84.5	1.78%	0	-0.8	40	0
15	Jan_10_2008	53.05	47.48	46.28	45.15			46.46(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-26	-10000	3	-114	1.63	26%	-0.21	-78.3	1.78%	0	-0.6	45	0

16	Jan_9_2008	53.16	47.63	46.51	45.01			45.49(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-34	-10000	-6	-116	2.25	23%	-0.21	-76.2	1.76%	0	-1.1	39	0
17	Jan_8_2008	53.27	47.91	46.83	45.23			44.62(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-19	-109	2.3	20%	-0.22	-74.5	1.74%	0	-1.8	32	0
18	Jan_7_2008	53.39	48.24	47.23	46			44.84(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-17	-82	1.04	20%	-0.21	-67.9	1.74%	0	-1.8	27	0
19	Jan_4_2008	53.5	48.55	47.56	46.71			44.35(-3.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-34	-10000	-20	-75	1.17	24%	-0.21	-61	1.77%	0	-2.3	18	0
20	Jan_3_2008	53.61	48.87	47.92	47.54			45.77(-1.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-29	-10000	-16	-66	0.77	26%	-0.15	-58.2	1.73%	0	-2	20	0

21	Jan_2_2008	53.69	49.12	48.12	48.21			46.56(-3.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21	-10000	-10	-52	1.3	26%	-0.2	-51.5	1.73%	0	-1.8	36	0
22	Dec_31_2007	53.8	49.35	48.25	48.64			48.48(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-0	-56	0.68	28%	-0.17	-42.7	1.66%	0	-0.6	36	0
23	Dec_28_2007	53.89	49.52	48.29	48.65			48.39(-0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-15	-10000	3	-70	0.6	28%	-0.15	-33.1	1.66%	0	-0.8	35	0
24	Dec_27_2007	53.97	49.67	48.52	48.55			48.5(-1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-15	-10000	5	-75	0.62	32%	-0.15	-29.5	1.66%	0	-0.8	36	0
25	Dec_26_2007	54.05	49.81	48.76	48.35			49.13(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	8	-77	0.68	32%		-30	1.69%	0	-0.5	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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