Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SWK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 17, 2006

Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Stanley Black & Decker Inc.)
SWK latest price $48.3600 (1.3%) ($47.7600 - $48.5000) on Thu. Aug. 17, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $48.3600(1.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SWK advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SWK advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(73%)    SPY(73%)    PEJ(68%)    XLY(68%)    EWG(65%)
Factors Impacting SWK price   SWK will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.77(3.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.19(4.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.52(6.24%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $7.424b

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. engages in the provision of power and hand tools, and related accessories, products, services and equipment for oil & gas and infrastructure applications, commercial electronic security and monitoring systems, healthcare solutions, and mechanical access solutions. It operates through the following three segments: Tools and Storage, Industrial, and Security. The Tools and Storage segment comprises of the power tools and equipment, and hand tools, accessories, and storage businesses. The Industrial segment comprises of engineered fastening and infrastructure businesses. The Security segment includes the convergent security solutions and mechanical access solutions businesses. The company was founded by Frederick T. Stanley in 1843 and is headquartered in New Britain, CT.

$. SWK price fluctuates within 3.25% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060917

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_17_2006	48.09	45.52	46.19	46.77			48.36(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	15	54	0.55	46%	-0.06	64.9	1.71%	0	1.9	69	0
2	Aug_16_2006	48.12	45.25	45.95	46.19			47.74(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	18	42	0.38	45%	-0.06	57.8	1.73%	0	1.8	70	0
3	Aug_15_2006	48.15	45.03	45.73	45.5			46.71(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	7	7	0.44	43%	-0.08	41.9	1.72%	0	1.3	54	0
4	Aug_14_2006	48.19	44.84	45.59	45.22			45.6(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-2	-10000	-3	3	0.27	40%	-0.12	29.1	1.69%	0	0.6	64	0
5	Aug_11_2006	48.25	44.71	45.57	45.33			45.44(-0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10000	-5	22	0.32	38%	-0.12	19.9	1.69%	0	0.5	65	0

6	Aug_10_2006	48.31	44.58	45.56	45.52			45.47(2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	-10000	-4	56	0.63	38%	-0.12	14.4	1.7%	0	0.7	71	0
7	Aug_9_2006	48.37	44.48	45.5	45.69			44.27(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	15	-10000	-7	79	0.65	35%	-0.14	9.3	1.66%	0	-0.2	59	0
8	Aug_8_2006	48.44	44.49	45.68	45.97			45.3(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	29	-10000	-0	116	0.56	37%	-0.14	8	1.64%	0	0.6	60	0
9	Aug_7_2006	48.51	44.46	45.53	45.99			46.16(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	4	128	0.41	38%	-0.1	0.6	1.63%	0	1.2	68	0
10	Aug_4_2006	48.56	44.44	45.26	45.83			46.4(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	6	128	0.52	38%	-0.08	-6.3	1.63%	0	1.5	68	0

11	Aug_3_2006	48.6	44.38	44.83	45.61			46.3(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10000	8	116	0.45	38%	-0.1	-15.7	1.63%	0	1.4	69	0
12	Aug_2_2006	48.65	44.35	44.5	45.31			45.7(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	24	-10000	-1	98	0.43	38%	-0.1	-20.2	1.62%	0	1	61	0
13	Aug_1_2006	48.7	44.38	44.28	45.36			45.39(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	33	-10000	10	100	0.59	38%	-0.1	-17.3	1.62%	0	0.7	53	0
14	Jul_31_2006	48.75	44.45	44.02	45			45.37(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	12	68	0.46	38%	-0.1	-19.5	1.63%	0	0.6	51	0
15	Jul_28_2006	48.8	44.53	43.76	44.58			45.3(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	19	28	0.37	40%	-0.08	-21.3	1.63%	0	0.5	44	0

16	Jul_27_2006	48.84	44.6	43.5	43.91			44.8(-2.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	10	-29	0.73	40%	-0.1	-27.5	1.64%	0	0.1	45	0
17	Jul_26_2006	48.89	44.63	43.35	43.55			45.93(5.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-6	-10000	14	-66	1.97	39%	-0.08	-33.8	1.61%	0	0.8	46	0
18	Jul_25_2006	48.93	44.62	43.16	43.07			43.58(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-26	-10000	5	-118	0.63	33%	-0.16	-38	1.5%	0	-0.6	32	0
19	Jul_24_2006	49.01	44.74	43.27	42.91			43.31(3.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-35	-10000	3	-147	0.46	33%	-0.16	-38.6	1.5%	0	-0.8	28	0
20	Jul_21_2006	49.09	44.87	43.52	42.83			41.95(-2.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-47	-10000	-5	-172	0.7	28%	-0.18	-41.1	1.43%	0	-1.8	17	0

21	Jul_20_2006	49.18	45.06	43.89	42.99			42.99(-1.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-47	-10000	-3	-179	0.45	29%	-0.14	-44.2	1.41%	0	-1.4	21	0
22	Jul_19_2006	49.25	45.21	44.2	43.08			43.54(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-48	-10000	-6	-175	0.53	29%	-0.14	-43.9	1.41%	0	-1.2	39	0
23	Jul_18_2006	49.32	45.27	44.49	43.27			42.77(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-53	-10000	-14	-168	0.44	30%	-0.16	-43.3	1.39%	0	-1.8	31	0
24	Jul_17_2006	49.4	45.41	44.93	43.7			42.91(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-50	-10000	-20	-139	0.49	30%	-0.14	-41.5	1.42%	0	-2	32	0
25	Jul_14_2006	49.47	45.56	45.37	44.34			42.75(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-38	-10000	-18	-96	0.88	30%		-35.8	1.42%	0	-2.5	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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