Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SWK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 2, 2003

Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Stanley Black & Decker Inc.)
SWK latest price $30.2200 (0.9%) ($29.8700 - $30.4000) on Thu. Oct. 2, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $30.2200(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SWK advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SWK advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(71%)    SPY(71%)    XLY(67%)    QQQ(63%)    EWG(62%)
Factors Impacting SWK price   SWK will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-14%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(13%)    XLU(44%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.65(1.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.45(2.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.4(2.79%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $4.639b

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. engages in the provision of power and hand tools, and related accessories, products, services and equipment for oil & gas and infrastructure applications, commercial electronic security and monitoring systems, healthcare solutions, and mechanical access solutions. It operates through the following three segments: Tools and Storage, Industrial, and Security. The Tools and Storage segment comprises of the power tools and equipment, and hand tools, accessories, and storage businesses. The Industrial segment comprises of engineered fastening and infrastructure businesses. The Security segment includes the convergent security solutions and mechanical access solutions businesses. The company was founded by Frederick T. Stanley in 1843 and is headquartered in New Britain, CT.

$. SWK price fluctuates within 1.73% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_2_2003	28.57	29.4	29.45	29.65			30.22(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	-10000	15	45	0.25	56%	0.18	-26	1.29%	0	1.6	62	0
2	Oct_1_2003	28.52	29.39	29.38	29.37			29.95(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	11	32	0.35	56%	0.14	-32.8	1.28%	0	1.1	62	0
3	Sep_30_2003	28.48	29.41	29.29	29.37			29.52(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3	-10000	0	12	0.53	55%	0.14	-32.5	1.27%	0	0.2	56	0
4	Sep_29_2003	28.44	29.46	29.28	29.17			29.47(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-10000	4	12	0.39	55%	0.14	-22.8	1.27%	0	0	48	0
5	Sep_26_2003	28.4	29.49	29.22	29.09			29.08(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-10000	-8	-21	0.82	53%	0.18	-17.4	1.26%	0	-0.7	38	0

6	Sep_25_2003	28.35	29.53	29.22	29.23			28.82(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-10000	-9	-25	0.5	53%	0.14	-9.9	1.26%	0	-1.2	41	0
7	Sep_24_2003	28.31	29.57	29.21	29.4			28.95(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-1	-30	0.28	53%	0.14	-0.5	1.27%	0	-1.1	38	0
8	Sep_23_2003	28.27	29.6	29.22	29.42			29.52(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-10000	0	-52	0.24	53%	0.18	1.6	1.25%	0	-0.1	40	0
9	Sep_22_2003	28.22	29.59	29.21	29.41			29.1(-2.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-14	-10000	3	-65	0.36	51%	0.18	1.6	1.27%	0	-0.9	36	0
10	Sep_19_2003	28.17	29.6	29.33	29.35			29.77(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	9	-69	0.34	54%	0.21	1.1	1.24%	0	0.3	44	0

11	Sep_18_2003	28.11	29.59	29.34	29.18			29.64(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-14	-10000	10	-84	0.33	54%	0.21	2.6	1.24%	0	0.1	49	0
12	Sep_17_2003	28.05	29.57	29.39	29.01			29.05(-1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-10000	1	-95	0.38	51%	0.18	1.6	1.21%	0	-0.9	47	0
13	Sep_16_2003	28	29.59	29.54	28.99			29.48(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-22	-10000	-1	-84	0.24	54%	0.21	11.8	1.2%	0	-0.2	51	0
14	Sep_15_2003	27.94	29.58	29.63	29			28.82(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-18	-74	0.29	50%	0.22	24.3	1.19%	0	-1.4	47	0
15	Sep_12_2003	27.88	29.59	29.78	29.31			28.92(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-12	-27	0.3	50%	0.18	49.5	1.2%	0	-1.2	50	0

16	Sep_11_2003	27.83	29.57	29.88	29.52			28.76(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-15	-10000	-18	-7	0.34	50%	0.22	62.6	1.2%	0	-1.4	44	0
17	Sep_10_2003	27.77	29.56	29.97	29.84			28.95(-2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-6	-10000	-17	28	0.5	50%	0.22	79.7	1.19%	0	-1	49	0
18	Sep_9_2003	27.71	29.53	30.04	30.15			29.57(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	-10000	-11	65	0.26	49%	0.22	89.2	1.17%	0	0.1	55	0
19	Sep_8_2003	27.65	29.45	30.03	30.34			30.35(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	1	89	0.22	53%	0.11	87.9	1.19%	0	1.1	68	0
20	Sep_5_2003	27.62	29.32	29.91	30.32			29.95(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	25	-10000	2	95	0.25	51%	0.25	83.6	1.18%	0	0.7	70	0

21	Sep_4_2003	27.55	29.2	29.87	30.29			30.37(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-10000	9	116	0.29	53%	0.29	72.1	1.18%	0	1.3	83	0
22	Sep_3_2003	27.47	29.06	29.77	30.12			30.53(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	-10000	12	119	0.37	53%	0.33	61.3	1.18%	0	1.6	87	0
23	Sep_2_2003	27.38	28.91	29.64	29.91			30.5(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	-10000	14	124	0.43	53%	0.55	50.9	1.18%	0	1.7	88	0
24	Aug_29_2003	27.23	28.76	29.51	29.67			30.27(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	-10000	13	125	0.46	53%	0.37	40.3	1.19%	0	1.7	88	0
25	Aug_28_2003	27.13	28.64	29.37	29.45			29.78(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	-10000	3	121	0.33	50%		31.5	1.18%	0	1.4	87	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.