Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 22, 2003

Trading Signals: SWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Stanley Black & Decker Inc.)
SWK latest price $26.7000 (0.45%) ($26.4200 - $26.8300) on Thu. May. 22, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.57% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $26.7000(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SWK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SWK advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(71%)    SPY(71%)    XLY(67%)    QQQ(63%)    EWG(62%)
Factors Impacting SWK price   SWK will decline at least -1.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-14%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(13%)    XLU(44%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.285% (StdDev 2.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.58(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.2(1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.24(5.78%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   27.1%
Market Cap   $4.099b

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. engages in the provision of power and hand tools, and related accessories, products, services and equipment for oil & gas and infrastructure applications, commercial electronic security and monitoring systems, healthcare solutions, and mechanical access solutions. It operates through the following three segments: Tools and Storage, Industrial, and Security. The Tools and Storage segment comprises of the power tools and equipment, and hand tools, accessories, and storage businesses. The Industrial segment comprises of engineered fastening and infrastructure businesses. The Security segment includes the convergent security solutions and mechanical access solutions businesses. The company was founded by Frederick T. Stanley in 1843 and is headquartered in New Britain, CT.

$. SWK price fluctuates within 4.52% (three month std-dev: 2.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2003	24.29	25.24	26.2	26.58			26.7(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	25	-10000	2	93	1.1	19%	0.29	77.2	2.57%	0	1.3	84	0
2	May_21_2003	24.22	25.08	26	26.51			26.58(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-10000	4	99	1.43	19%	0.29	80.3	2.61%	0	1.3	87	0
3	May_20_2003	24.15	24.92	25.82	26.37			26.5(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-10000	4	98	0.85	19%	0.29	82.6	2.65%	0	1.4	81	0
4	May_19_2003	24.08	24.75	25.63	26.22			26.28(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	3	98	0.76	19%	0.25	87.4	2.68%	0	1.4	80	0
5	May_16_2003	24.02	24.59	25.45	26.1			26.84(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	33	-10000	10	102	0.99	19%	0.38	97.3	2.69%	0	2.1	91	0

6	May_15_2003	23.93	24.39	25.2	25.75			26.37(2.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	-10000	10	94	0.71	19%	0.34	105.2	2.72%	0	2	91	0
7	May_14_2003	23.85	24.2	24.94	25.41			25.85(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	26	-10000	7	81	0.54	19%	0.29	110.4	2.75%	0	1.8	90	0
8	May_13_2003	23.78	24.02	24.76	25.18			25.78(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	24	-10000	7	75	0.97	19%	0.3	94.4	2.8%	0	1.9	89	0
9	May_12_2003	23.71	23.81	24.57	24.95			25.64(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	23	-10000	7	70	1.04	19%	0.25	65.6	2.85%	0	1.8	90	0
10	May_9_2003	23.65	23.58	24.38	24.72			25.13(1.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	19	-10000	4	65	1.56	19%	0.25	35.6	2.88%	0	1.5	89	0

11	May_8_2003	23.59	23.39	24.21	24.57			24.65(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	5	63	2.12	19%	0.17	14.6	2.91%	0	1.2	87	0
12	May_7_2003	23.55	23.22	24.09	24.4			24.7(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	18	-10000	4	60	1.03	19%	0.21	-6.1	2.97%	0	1.3	91	0
13	May_6_2003	23.5	23.17	23.95	24.27			24.62(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	19	-10000	4	63	1.3	19%	0.17	-11.1	3.03%	0	1.3	92	0
14	May_5_2003	23.46	23.18	23.81	24.12			24.48(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	20	-10000	3	70	0.84	19%	0.21	0	3.09%	0	1.1	94	0
15	May_2_2003	23.41	23.21	23.66	24			24.41(2.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	24	-10000	5	80	0.42	19%	0.17	0	3.16%	0	1	95	0

16	May_1_2003	23.37	23.23	23.52	23.8			23.79(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-10000	2	84	0.36	19%	0.09	0	3.19%	0	0.4	85	0
17	Apr_30_2003	23.35	23.23	23.41	23.72			24.03(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	3	94	0.59	19%	0.17	0	3.26%	0	0.5	90	0
18	Apr_29_2003	23.31	23.29	23.23	23.59			23.91(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	4	75	0.79	19%	0.13	0	3.34%	0	0.5	49	0
19	Apr_28_2003	23.28	23.29	23	23.45			23.84(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-10000	4	2	0.5	19%	0.13	0	3.43%	0	17.2	40	0
20	Apr_25_2003	23.25	23.29	22.72	23.28			23.42(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10000	2	1	0.58	19%	0.04	0	3.5%	0	16.5	35	0

21	Apr_24_2003	23.24	23.29	22.52	23.2			23.38(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	3	1	0.46	19%	0.04	0	3.61%	0	16	37	0
22	Apr_23_2003	23.23	23.29	22.29	23.06			23.39(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	6	2	0.59	19%	0.04	0	3.73%	0	15.6	38	0
23	Apr_22_2003	23.22	23.29	22.31	22.81			23.2(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	8	3	0.81	19%	0	0	3.85%	0	15	45	0
24	Apr_21_2003	23.22	23.29	22.48	22.48			23.01(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	8	-10000	9	4	0	19%	-0.09	0	3.98%	0	14.3	50	0
25	Apr_17_2003	23.24	23.29	22.69	22.07			23.01(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	8	3	0.8	19%		0	4.14%	0	13.8	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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