Trading Signals: SVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: SVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures)
SVXY latest price $109.2600 (6.26%) ($101.4600 - $109.5800) on Mon. Apr. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.79% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $109.2600(6.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SVXY advances 3.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SVXY advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(55%)    IVE(53%)    IVW(52%)    IWD(52%)    IWF(52%)
Factors Impacting SVXY price   SVXY will decline at least -1.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.895% (StdDev 3.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $102.2(6.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.01(10.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $98.43(11%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   74.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SVXY price fluctuates within 4.66% (three month std-dev: 3.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160518

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_18_2016	88.96	98.43	99.01	102.2			109.26(6.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	18	-10000	17	19	3.49	61%	-0.09	69.3	3.79%	0	2.4	59	0
2	Apr_15_2016	89.04	97.58	99.01	98.99			102.82(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	-10000	9	-2	3.39	51%	0.17	64.7	3.76%	0	1.3	60	0
3	Apr_14_2016	88.89	97.04	98.05	97.35			101.48(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	8	-10000	10	-0	3.65	51%	-0.19	66	3.99%	0	1.1	61	0
4	Apr_13_2016	89.06	96.46	97.94	95.49			101.14(5.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.4	-2	-10000	-0	-8	3.96	46%	-0.17	61	4.01%	0	1.1	61	0
5	Apr_12_2016	89.21	95.75	97.92	95.58			96.28(3.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	1	0	3.36	43%	-0.23	64.4	4.19%	0	0.1	51	0

6	Apr_11_2016	89.42	95.35	98.24	95.38			93.22(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-10000	-8	0	3.97	43%	-0.23	64.5	4.21%	0	-0.4	50	0
7	Apr_8_2016	89.63	95.07	98.41	96.96			94.64(2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-10000	-9	14	2.38	41%	-0.18	72.8	4.22%	0	-0.1	54	0
8	Apr_7_2016	89.79	94.51	98.31	98.83			92.16(-9.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	2	-10000	-8	31	3.91	37%	-0.26	72.9	4.28%	0	-0.4	53	0
9	Apr_6_2016	90.02	94.01	98.44	100.61			101.6(6.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	-0	53	3.4	40%	-0.04	73.6	4.33%	0	1.2	67	0
10	Apr_5_2016	90.06	92.94	97.93	100.64			95.28(-5.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	14	-10000	-4	68	3.39	36%	-0.2	70	4.27%	0	0.3	66	0

11	Apr_4_2016	90.24	92.35	98	101.45			101.12(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	7	94	2.51	36%	-0.01	77.7	4.22%	0	1.2	72	0
12	Apr_1_2016	90.25	91.44	97.19	100			104(2.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	32	-10000	11	94	2.89	36%	-0.07	79	4.28%	0	1.8	79	0
13	Mar_31_2016	90.31	90.41	95.97	97.72			101.06(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	9	90	2.42	36%	-0.22	81.3	4.3%	0	1.6	81	0
14	Mar_30_2016	90.51	89.42	94.82	95.93			101.76(2.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	26	-10000	5	88	2.98	36%	-0.24	83.2	4.32%	0	1.9	83	0
15	Mar_29_2016	90.73	88.31	93.28	94.92			99.32(5.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	26	-10000	4	92	2.36	36%	-0.23	91	4.32%	0	1.8	83	0

16	Mar_28_2016	90.94	87.04	92.09	94.16			93.88(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10000	1	95	1.88	31%	-0.74	83.1	4.27%	0	1.1	70	0
17	Mar_24_2016	91.62	86.11	91.37	93.96			92.58(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	0	101	2.47	31%	-0.33	79.2	4.26%	0	1	68	0
18	Mar_23_2016	91.92	85.3	90.39	93.88			92.1(-4.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	28	-10000	3	102	2.81	31%	-0.38	80.8	4.27%	0	1	64	0
19	Mar_22_2016	92.27	84.39	89.32	93.38			96.74(1.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	34	-10000	11	103	3.21	33%	-0.35	79.4	4.24%	0	1.8	77	0
20	Mar_21_2016	92.59	83.2	87.6	91.31			95.5(2.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	27	-10000	8	83	3.01	33%	-0.3	81	4.28%	0	1.9	77	0

21	Mar_18_2016	92.87	82.23	86.28	89.74			92.9(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	26	-10000	7	84	3.58	30%	-0.34	88.9	4.3%	0	1.8	82	0
22	Mar_17_2016	93.19	81.21	85.24	88.42			92.18(2.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	30	-10000	11	86	3.28	30%	-0.36	94.6	4.41%	0	1.9	77	0
23	Mar_16_2016	93.53	80.14	84.36	86.4			89.56(3.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	-10000	9	81	4.8	35%	-0.36	93.3	4.43%	0	1.7	72	0
24	Mar_15_2016	93.87	79.19	83.52	84.63			86.42(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	7	76	3.58	35%	-0.36	87.7	4.48%	0	1.3	73	0
25	Mar_14_2016	94.21	78.29	82.89	83.26			87.66(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	23	-10000	5	75	3.17	39%		84.2	4.52%	0	1.7	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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