Trading Signals: SVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: SVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures)
SVXY latest price $193.5200 (3.73%) ($191.1600 - $193.8400) on Mon. Aug. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.96% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $193.5200(3.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SVXY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SVXY advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(58%)    IVE(56%)    VT(56%)    QQQ(55%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting SVXY price   SVXY will decline at least -1.98% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-41%)    TLT(-16%)    SHY(-8%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.98% (StdDev 3.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $189.27(2.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $188.44(2.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $185.38(4.39%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   33.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SVXY price fluctuates within 3.6% (three month std-dev: 3.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2015	168.28	185.38	188.44	189.27			193.52(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	1	25	0.58	57%	0.35	120.8	3.96%	0	1.2	54	0
2	Aug_7_2015	167.69	184.29	186.31	188.78			186.56(1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10000	-1	11	0.75	58%	0.32	101.3	3.98%	0	0.3	51	0
3	Aug_6_2015	167.16	182.91	185.74	189.08			184.66(-3.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-2	8	0.76	58%	0.31	75.8	3.98%	0	0.1	50	0
4	Aug_5_2015	166.64	181.12	185.97	189.72			191.68(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	3	15	0.71	57%	0.39	58.2	3.96%	0	0.8	57	0
5	Aug_4_2015	165.99	178.99	185.62	188.67			189.94(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	3	22	0.6	57%	0.38	52.3	3.99%	0	0.8	67	0

6	Aug_3_2015	165.36	177.65	185.38	187.43			191.06(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	11	32	0.7	57%	0.41	49.8	3.98%	0	0.9	69	0
7	Jul_31_2015	164.68	175.88	184.88	183.43			188.04(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	4	23	0.66	58%	0.38	30.4	4.01%	0	0.9	68	0
8	Jul_30_2015	164.06	174.44	184.65	181.91			187.88(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	9	-10000	0	37	0.63	57%	0.42	17.7	4.05%	0	0.9	77	0
9	Jul_29_2015	163.38	173.46	184.31	181.74			186.44(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	16	-10000	-1	67	0.7	57%	0.39	11	4.07%	0	0.9	81	0
10	Jul_28_2015	162.74	172.04	183.05	182.29			183.72(7.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	22	-10000	-2	93	1.1	58%	0.35	0.4	4.09%	0	0.8	79	0

11	Jul_27_2015	162.17	170.79	182.04	183.21			171.08(-5.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	21	-10000	-8	108	1.2	56%	0.29	-7.7	4.01%	0	0	58	0
12	Jul_24_2015	161.7	171.64	182.3	186.38			180.44(-3.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	34	-10000	-3	146	0.91	58%	0.3	1.1	3.97%	0	0.6	68	0
13	Jul_23_2015	161.21	171.64	180.15	187.54			187.02(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	40	-10000	1	158	0.75	58%	0.36	4.8	3.94%	0	1	68	0
14	Jul_22_2015	160.63	171.93	176.23	187.13			189.18(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	-10000	9	144	0.6	58%	0.37	7.5	3.94%	0	1.1	60	0
15	Jul_21_2015	160.03	171.99	172.1	183.88			188.34(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	-10000	9	121	0.51	58%	0.36	6.4	3.94%	0	1	65	0

16	Jul_20_2015	159.46	171.87	169.44	180.74			186.92(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	9	111	0.62	59%	0.37	4.9	3.94%	0	1	64	0
17	Jul_17_2015	158.87	171.48	166.16	177.62			186.24(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	18	69	0.6	58%	0.38	-1	3.96%	0	1	48	0
18	Jul_16_2015	158.27	171.21	163.24	171.61			184.96(6.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	24	14	0.77	58%	0.38	-12.2	3.99%	0	0.9	48	0
19	Jul_15_2015	157.67	170.78	161.35	163.69			172.94(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	17	-47	0.55	55%	0.29	-27.4	3.9%	0	0.1	43	0
20	Jul_14_2015	157.21	171	159.76	158.44			172.62(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-22	-10000	6	-107	0.7	55%	0.33	-35.5	3.91%	0	0.1	41	0

21	Jul_13_2015	156.69	171.1	158.24	156.52			171.36(9.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-27	-10000	11	-140	0.99	55%	0.31	-38.2	3.91%	0	0	43	0
22	Jul_10_2015	156.2	171.63	159.65	153.23			156.16(7.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-42	-10000	-2	-162	1.39	54%	0.24	-41.6	3.74%	0	-1	41	0
23	Jul_9_2015	155.82	173.11	162.72	153.78			145.36(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-10000	-17	-165	1.55	51%	0.19	-38.4	3.67%	0	-1.8	34	0
24	Jul_8_2015	155.52	175.05	167.22	158.61			146.68(-10.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-38	-10000	-8	-129	1.69	51%	0.21	-32.7	3.69%	0	-2	38	0
25	Jul_7_2015	155.2	176.59	172.03	160.9			163.02(5.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	-10000	3	-108	1.97	55%		-33.2	3.47%	0	-1.1	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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