Trading Signals: STT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 4, 2004

Trading Signals: STT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(State Street Corporation)
STT latest price $43.9500 (0.9%) ($43.3200 - $44.2000) on Wed. Aug. 4, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $43.9500(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   STT advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   STT declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support STT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(47%)    EEM(46%)    IWM(46%)    XLY(45%)    EWG(43%)
Factors Impacting STT price   STT will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-14%)    REMX(-2%)    LQD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

Resistance Level   $44.19
5 Day Moving Average   $43.51(1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.09(2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.19(-0.54%)
To recent high   -12.4%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $15.487b

State Street Corp. operates as a financial holding company. It conducts business primarily through State Street Bank. The company operates through following business lines: Investment Servicing and Investment Management. The Investment Servicing business offers custody, product and participant-level accounting, daily pricing and administration, master trust and master custody, record-keeping, cash management, foreign exchange, brokerage and other trading services, securities finance, deposit and short-term investment facilities, loans and lease financing, investment manager and alternative investment manager operations outsourcing, and performance, risk and compliance analytics. The Investment Management business provides services through State Street Global Advisors, which provides a broad array of investment management, investment research and investment advisory services to corporations, public funds and other sophisticated investors. It offers strategies for managing financial assets, including passive and active, such as enhanced indexing, using quantitative and fundamental methods for both the U.S. and global equities and fixed-income securities. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Boston, MA.

$. STT price fluctuates within 5.14% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2004	48.46	44.19	43.09	43.51			43.95(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	-10000	8	-1	1.62	37%	-0.19	-56.8	1.68%	0	-0.1	50	0
2	Aug_3_2004	48.55	44.42	43.06	43.22			43.56(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	4	-21	2	37%	-0.12	-55.8	1.68%	0	-0.4	43	0
3	Aug_2_2004	48.61	44.67	43.09	43.06			43.67(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10000	9	-33	1.93	37%	-0.16	-57	1.68%	0	-0.4	40	0
4	Jul_30_2004	48.69	44.95	43.05	42.74			42.81(-1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-22	-10000	3	-96	1.45	34%	-0.14	-56.4	1.67%	0	-0.8	20	0
5	Jul_29_2004	48.76	45.25	43.12	42.64			43.54(2.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-35	-10000	0	-141	2.6	36%	-0.16	-57.7	1.66%	0	-0.6	26	0

6	Jul_28_2004	48.84	45.52	43.14	42.63			42.51(-0.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-52	-10000	-7	-185	2.06	29%	-0.2	-58.1	1.62%	0	-1.1	21	0
7	Jul_27_2004	48.94	45.83	43.33	42.88			42.76(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-57	-10000	-7	-206	2.14	29%	-0.22	-58	1.64%	0	-1.1	21	0
8	Jul_26_2004	49.05	46.14	43.54	43.14			42.06(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-62	-10000	-7	-228	2.23	25%	-0.24	-57.2	1.62%	0	-1.5	16	0
9	Jul_23_2004	49.17	46.52	44.24	43.39			42.34(-2.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-60	-10000	-7	-219	2.82	30%	-0.22	-55.9	1.63%	0	-1.5	15	0
10	Jul_22_2004	49.28	46.91	44.87	43.65			43.46(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-54	-10000	-2	-209	2.5	37%	-0.2	-52.7	1.63%	0	-1.3	22	0

11	Jul_21_2004	49.38	47.24	45.37	43.73			43.79(-0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-54	-10000	-3	-207	2.43	37%	-0.18	-50.5	1.66%	0	-1.4	23	0
12	Jul_20_2004	49.47	47.53	45.87	43.84			44.03(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-55	-10000	-5	-204	1.84	37%	-0.2	-48.9	1.66%	0	-1.4	27	0
13	Jul_19_2004	49.57	47.79	46.36	44.03			43.34(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-78	-10000	-33	-211	1.76	37%	-0.22	-47.8	1.65%	0	-1.9	21	0
14	Jul_16_2004	49.68	48.08	46.99	45.26			43.62(-0.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-60	-10000	-27	-160	2.72	37%	-0.2	-37.9	1.66%	0	-2.2	20	0
15	Jul_15_2004	49.78	48.33	47.56	46.31			43.85(-1.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-49	-10000	-24	-125	3.16	37%	-0.22	-29.3	1.66%	0	-2.6	19	0

16	Jul_14_2004	49.89	48.54	48.11	47.27			44.38(-1.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2	-40	-10000	-23	-92	4.41	33%	-0.18	-21.8	1.66%	0	-2.9	23	0
17	Jul_13_2004	49.98	48.74	48.59	48.18			44.95(-9.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3	-29	-10000	-19	-57	9.33	30%	-0.18	-11.8	1.73%	0	-3.5	28	0
18	Jul_12_2004	50.07	48.91	48.59	48.97			49.51(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-7	-10000	-1	-26	1.47	42%	-0.1	10.9	1.39%	0	0.9	54	0
19	Jul_9_2004	50.12	48.86	49.02	48.99			48.85(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-10000	-1	-17	1.43	42%	-0.1	16.8	1.41%	0	-0	54	0
20	Jul_8_2004	50.17	48.85	49.12	49.04			48.67(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-2	-0	1.34	42%	-0.12	19	1.42%	0	-0.3	59	0

21	Jul_7_2004	50.23	48.86	49.24	49.11			48.91(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	1	22	1.45	42%	-0.12	25.2	1.42%	0	0.1	65	0
22	Jul_6_2004	50.29	48.87	49.29	49.07			48.89(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	0	32	1.19	42%	-0.1	28.8	1.42%	0	0	62	0
23	Jul_2_2004	50.34	48.84	49.31	49.06			49.65(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	0	43	1.25	47%	-0.1	27.3	1.42%	0	1.2	70	0
24	Jul_1_2004	50.39	48.75	49.21	49.05			49.08(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	-10000	-5	42	1.63	47%	-0.1	22.3	1.42%	0	0.5	55	0
25	Jun_30_2004	50.44	48.72	49.12	49.24			49.04(0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-4	49	1.06	47%		28.6	1.41%	0	0.5	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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