Trading Signals: SQM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: SQM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 12, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

( Sociedad QuÃmica y Minera de Chile S.A. )
SQM latest price $24.4700 (0.95%) ($24.1900 - $24.7700) on Tue. Jun. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.62% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $24.4700(0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SQM advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SQM advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SQM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LIT(69%)    REMX(56%)    IWM(54%)    IWN(53%)    XLB(53%)
Factors Impacting SQM price   SQM will decline at least -1.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-12%)    IPO(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.31% (StdDev 2.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.13(5.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.65(8.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.03(11.08%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   32.5%
Market Cap   $2.946b

Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA engages in the production & distribution of fertilizers, potassium nitrate, iodine, and lithium chemicals. It operates through the following six segments: Specialty Plant Nutrients, Industrial Chemicals, Iodine & Derivatives, Lithium & Derivatives, Potassium and Other Products & Services. The Specialty Plant Nutrients Segment produces potassium nitrate, sodium nitrate, sodium potassium nitrate and specialty blends. The Industrial Chemicals Segment offers industrial chemicals including sodium nitrate, potassium nitrate and boric acid. The Iodine and Derivatives Segment manufactures iodine and iodine derivatives, which are used in a wide range of medical, pharmaceutical, agricultural and industrial applications. The Lithium and Derivatives Segments covers lithium carbonate for electrochemical materials for batteries; frits for the ceramic and enamel industries; heat-resistant glass; air conditioning chemicals; continuous casting powder for steel extrusion; primary aluminum smelting process; pharmaceuticals; and lithium derivatives. The Potassium Segment produces potassium chloride and potassium sulfate. The Other Products and Services Segment deals with other fertilizers and blends. The company was founded June 17, 1968 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.

$. SQM price fluctuates within 4.9% (three month std-dev: 2.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 3.22%(55%) Average negative next day return: -3.01%(45%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 6.59%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.76%(50%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 6.84%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.22%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160707

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_7_2016	19.55	22.03	22.65	23.13	23.22	24.09	24.47(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	56	270	42	98	0.78	64%	0.26	57.6	2.62%	0	2.3	69	INF
2	Jun_6_2016	19.5	21.81	22.47	22.62	22.5	23.21	24.24(6.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	48	200	36	82	1.33	64%	0.41	44.7	2.64%	0	2.5	66	INF
3	Jun_3_2016	19.42	21.64	22.3	22.19	22.09	22.35	22.79(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	70	18	70	0.6	61%	0.36	41.4	2.54%	0	1.4	63	INF
4	Jun_2_2016	19.35	21.55	22.13	22.05	21.95	21.79	22.41(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-60	-0	55	0.89	61%	0.31	40.9	2.53%	0	1.1	59	INF
5	Jun_1_2016	19.29	21.47	21.92	22.02	22.01	21.83	21.72(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-60	-10	39	1.94	62%	0.26	40.1	2.51%	0	0.3	55	INF

6	May_31_2016	19.24	21.43	21.88	22.09	22.2	22.1	21.96(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-20	-10	50	0.86	60%	0.47	40.7	2.54%	0	0.7	62	INF
7	May_27_2016	19.15	21.37	21.82	22.28	22.29	22.2	22.05(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-30	-9	77	0.5	62%	0.26	48.9	2.58%	0	0.9	66	INF
8	May_26_2016	19.1	21.31	21.72	22.42	22.48	22.3	22.12(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	27	-50	6	91	0.58	62%	0.21	50	2.6%	0	1.1	56	INF
9	May_25_2016	19.06	21.24	21.64	22.22	22.42	22.37	22.27(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	10	15	87	0.71	62%	0.21	33.1	2.59%	0	1.4	58	INF
10	May_24_2016	19.02	21.17	21.53	21.79	21.99	22.66	22.06(-3.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	240	16	67	1.49	62%	0.21	1.8	2.59%	0	1.3	58	INF

11	May_23_2016	18.98	21.12	21.38	21.61	21.53	22.46	22.91(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	45	290	38	64	1.08	65%	0.21	-19.8	2.55%	0	2.7	63	INF
12	May_20_2016	18.94	21.01	21.09	21.3	21.13	21.33	22.76(7.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	31	40	30	34	1.94	67%	0.21	-45.1	2.57%	0	3.2	62	INF
13	May_19_2016	18.9	20.94	21.09	20.95	20.94	20.59	21.09(4.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-8	-120	-10	0	0.95	63%	0.05	-62.8	2.42%	0	0.3	53	INF
14	May_18_2016	18.89	21	20.91	20.99	21.06	20.92	20.12(-4.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-14	-40	-20	3	0.67	60%	0.11	-34.8	2.35%	0	-1.3	46	INF
15	May_17_2016	18.87	21.15	20.98	21.23	21.28	21.29	21.15(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	10	9	31	0.67	69%	0.11	-10.7	2.26%	0	0	53	INF

16	May_16_2016	18.85	21.25	20.95	21.1	21.18	21.2	21.36(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	20	13	19	0.92	69%	0.11	-5.1	2.42%	0	0.1	52	INF
17	May_13_2016	18.83	21.26	20.9	20.83	20.9	21.27	21.02(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	130	2	-3	0.62	69%	0.16	-7.2	2.42%	0	-0.3	51	INF
18	May_12_2016	18.8	21.26	20.88	20.87	20.77	21.16	21.29(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	11	120	16	-5	0.73	69%	0.11	0.5	2.43%	0	0	44	INF
19	May_11_2016	18.78	21.25	20.82	20.82	20.68	20.53	21.31(3.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	-70	6	-30	0.99	69%	0.21	6.1	2.44%	0	0.1	37	INF
20	May_10_2016	18.74	21.24	20.77	20.72	20.74	20.39	20.51(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-120	-13	-71	0.54	67%	0.16	10.1	2.4%	0	-0.9	21	INF

21	May_9_2016	18.71	21.29	20.83	20.78	20.87	20.84	20.04(-5.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-31	0	-12	-89	0.54	67%	0.16	20	2.39%	0	-1.5	17	INF
22	May_6_2016	18.68	21.31	20.93	20.95	20.89	21.09	21.2(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	60	8	-82	0.52	74%	0.27	27	2.3%	0	-0.1	48	INF
23	May_5_2016	18.63	21.25	20.97	20.87	20.83	20.9	21.06(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	20	8	-80	0.64	74%	0.27	19.6	2.32%	0	-0.2	53	INF
24	May_4_2016	18.58	21.2	21.09	20.81	20.76	20.68	20.81(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-21	-30	-3	-75	0.31	74%	0.32	13.4	2.34%	0	-0.4	50	INF
25	May_3_2016	18.52	21.16	21.33	20.83	20.79	20.75	20.81(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-20	-5	-53	0.58	76%		9.1	2.35%	0	-0.4	49	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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