Trading Signals: SQM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: SQM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 12, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

( Sociedad QuÃmica y Minera de Chile S.A. )
SQM latest price $21.3800 (5.32%) ($20.3000 - $21.4000) on Tue. Apr. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.62% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $21.3800(5.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SQM advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SQM declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SQM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LIT(68%)    REMX(56%)    IWM(53%)    XLB(53%)    IWC(52%)
Factors Impacting SQM price   SQM will decline at least -1.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-12%)    IPO(-2%)    SHY(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.31% (StdDev 2.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.23(5.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.31(5.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.45(4.55%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   40.8%
Market Cap   $2.574b

Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA engages in the production & distribution of fertilizers, potassium nitrate, iodine, and lithium chemicals. It operates through the following six segments: Specialty Plant Nutrients, Industrial Chemicals, Iodine & Derivatives, Lithium & Derivatives, Potassium and Other Products & Services. The Specialty Plant Nutrients Segment produces potassium nitrate, sodium nitrate, sodium potassium nitrate and specialty blends. The Industrial Chemicals Segment offers industrial chemicals including sodium nitrate, potassium nitrate and boric acid. The Iodine and Derivatives Segment manufactures iodine and iodine derivatives, which are used in a wide range of medical, pharmaceutical, agricultural and industrial applications. The Lithium and Derivatives Segments covers lithium carbonate for electrochemical materials for batteries; frits for the ceramic and enamel industries; heat-resistant glass; air conditioning chemicals; continuous casting powder for steel extrusion; primary aluminum smelting process; pharmaceuticals; and lithium derivatives. The Potassium Segment produces potassium chloride and potassium sulfate. The Other Products and Services Segment deals with other fertilizers and blends. The company was founded June 17, 1968 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.

$. SQM price fluctuates within 2.35% (three month std-dev: 2.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.11%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.69%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.1%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.94%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.6%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.64%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160512

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2016	17.72	20.45	20.31	20.23	20.16	20.48	21.38(5.32%)	RB	SmallLong	20	2.4	12	100	22	-19	1.29	68%	0.23	41.3	2.62%	0	1.9	49	INF
2	Apr_11_2016	17.68	20.37	20.23	19.96	19.91	20.01	20.3(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	30	6	-48	0.52	61%	0.17	35.2	2.56%	0	-0.2	34	INF
3	Apr_8_2016	17.65	20.37	20.24	19.9	19.87	19.84	19.78(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-20	-6	-58	0.33	59%	0.06	42.5	2.6%	0	-1.2	38	INF
4	Apr_7_2016	17.64	20.35	20.32	20.04	19.96	19.81	19.83(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-60	-9	-51	0.3	55%	0.17	61.9	2.63%	0	-1.1	40	INF
5	Apr_6_2016	17.61	20.31	20.43	20.19	20.1	19.9	19.88(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-80	-13	-35	0.38	55%	0.06	64.4	2.7%	0	-0.8	51	INF

6	Apr_5_2016	17.6	20.25	20.56	20.39	20.32	20.1	19.99(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-90	-12	-10	0.34	55%	0	61.9	2.71%	0	-0.4	57	INF
7	Apr_4_2016	17.6	20.22	20.68	20.54	20.57	20.29	20(-2.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-90	-9	12	0.34	55%	0.06	76.1	2.73%	0	-0.3	55	INF
8	Apr_1_2016	17.59	20.16	20.74	20.64	20.64	20.53	20.52(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-40	-6	27	0.47	55%	0.11	76.6	2.72%	0	0.4	64	INF
9	Mar_31_2016	17.57	20.05	20.75	20.63	20.69	20.84	20.55(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	60	-1	39	0.38	55%	0.11	72.3	2.74%	0	0.6	68	INF
10	Mar_30_2016	17.55	19.95	20.71	20.71	20.69	20.74	20.87(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	16	20	2	58	0.41	55%	0.11	74.8	2.73%	0	1	80	INF

11	Mar_29_2016	17.53	19.83	20.61	20.77	20.65	20.54	20.77(1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-50	-4	75	0.73	55%	0.11	82.9	2.73%	0	1	82	INF
12	Mar_28_2016	17.51	19.68	20.53	20.84	20.77	20.55	20.47(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-80	-6	88	0.3	55%	-0.06	79.4	2.73%	0	0.8	65	INF
13	Mar_24_2016	17.52	19.56	20.47	20.87	20.85	20.76	20.47(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	23	-30	-5	105	0.36	55%	0.06	78.5	2.73%	0	0.8	70	INF
14	Mar_23_2016	17.51	19.43	20.39	20.88	20.87	21	20.95(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	40	9	129	1	58%	0.11	80.6	2.72%	0	1.3	78	INF
15	Mar_22_2016	17.49	19.26	20.19	20.7	20.72	20.94	21.2(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	80	17	127	0.81	58%	0.11	77.6	2.78%	0	1.7	80	INF

16	Mar_21_2016	17.47	19.07	19.92	20.42	20.41	20.74	21.12(2.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	40	110	16	111	0.96	58%	0.11	80.4	2.79%	0	1.9	76	INF
17	Mar_18_2016	17.45	18.89	19.72	20.18	20.14	20.5	20.59(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	120	16	115	1.08	62%	0.11	88.2	2.79%	0	1.6	79	INF
18	Mar_17_2016	17.43	18.72	19.52	20.02	19.91	20.09	20.54(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	50	13	108	0.62	60%	0.06	95	2.95%	0	1.8	74	INF
19	Mar_16_2016	17.42	18.54	19.29	19.82	19.76	19.79	20.05(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	0	10	102	0.39	63%	0.06	106.3	2.98%	0	1.6	73	INF
20	Mar_15_2016	17.41	18.4	19.12	19.59	19.62	19.79	19.8(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	40	12	93	0.31	63%	0	104.8	3.16%	0	1.4	73	INF

21	Mar_14_2016	17.41	18.22	18.99	19.32	19.34	19.73	19.91(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	140	11	91	0.59	63%	0.06	104	3.17%	0	1.8	76	INF
22	Mar_11_2016	17.4	18.02	18.77	19.18	19.07	19.51	19.8(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	140	18	87	0.72	63%	0.12	94.6	3.18%	0	1.8	69	INF
23	Mar_10_2016	17.38	17.8	18.58	18.94	18.89	18.96	19.56(3.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	20	15	81	0.7	62%	0.17	79	3.19%	0	1.6	72	INF
24	Mar_9_2016	17.35	17.59	18.39	18.69	18.73	18.64	18.87(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-30	2	70	0.49	60%	0.12	67.8	3.19%	0	1.2	69	INF
25	Mar_8_2016	17.33	17.41	18.27	18.58	18.63	18.83	18.47(-3.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	80	0	68	0.83	60%		62.2	3.19%	0	0.9	64	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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