Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SPY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 16, 2021

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. May. 13, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $466.6800 (-0.78%) ($464.8000 - $472.8700) on Thu. Dec. 16, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $466.6800(-0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SPY advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(97%)    DIA(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(94%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-47%)    UUP(-27%)    VXX(-12%)    TBT(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0.5 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $467.54(-0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $465.58(0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $464.16(0.54%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   -79.9000 k (Fri. Feb. 19, 2021) Decrease
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2021	451.12	464.16	465.58	467.54	466.77	467.8	466.68(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	163	10	170	142	114.9	57%	0.06	4.6	0.9%	0.5	0.4	56	0.8
2	Dec_15_2021	450.84	464.2	464.68	467.47	466.8	464.73	470.35(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-42	-40	-67	35	115.97	58%	0.07	7.6	0.89%	1.6	1	50	1
3	Dec_14_2021	450.52	464.08	462.76	467.31	467.11	465.75	463.36(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-187	-20	-231	-54	95.63	56%	0.05	8.5	0.88%	-0.9	-0.1	46	0.8
4	Dec_13_2021	450.29	464.08	462.03	468.29	468.52	468.88	466.57(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	60	10	61	56	85.08	56%	0.06	11.5	0.88%	-0.2	0.4	48	0.8
5	Dec_10_2021	450.02	464.28	461.75	466.71	467.68	468.46	470.74(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	122	20	139	69	76.65	56%	0.08	3.1	0.87%	1.9	1.1	50	0.9

6	Dec_9_2021	449.66	463.9	461.75	463.24	464.66	468.16	466.35(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	151	60	186	44	59.58	55%	0.07	-15	0.87%	-2.3	0.4	46	0.3
7	Dec_8_2021	449.34	463.75	460.48	461.36	461.64	466.91	469.52(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	391	80	474	142	72.08	55%	0.09	-25.4	0.87%	0.9	1	50	0.6
8	Dec_7_2021	448.94	463.59	460.16	457.56	458.02	461.16	468.28(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	286	50	360	63	94.12	55%	0.1	-40	0.87%	1.2	0.8	48	-0.1
9	Dec_6_2021	448.5	463.57	459.92	455.01	455.95	456.36	458.65(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	29	10	66	-82	98.05	52%	0.06	-45.6	0.83%	1	-0.8	41	-1.4
10	Dec_3_2021	448.22	464.07	460.88	456.2	456.44	454.87	453.42(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-133	-20	-127	-150	136.6	50%	0.04	-33.1	0.82%	-1.4	-1.8	36	-2.2

11	Dec_2_2021	448.03	464.8	462.52	457.31	458.63	455.53	456.94(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-209	-40	-221	-172	126.96	50%	0.05	-24.1	0.82%	-0.1	-1.5	44	-1.7
12	Dec_1_2021	447.82	465.24	463.66	459.49	460.24	458	450.5(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-312	-30	-349	-201	130.92	47%	0.03	-3.8	0.8%	-1.9	-3	36	-2.6
13	Nov_30_2021	447.67	465.91	465.65	463.03	462.81	461.74	455.56(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-125	-20	-138	-84	147	49%	0.04	29.9	0.78%	-1.5	-2.9	36	-2
14	Nov_29_2021	447.48	466.23	466.95	465.43	464.81	462.47	464.6(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-135	-40	-156	-72	83.97	53%	0.07	64.6	0.74%	0.3	-0.5	43	-0.3
15	Nov_26_2021	447.18	466	467.24	466.29	466.2	463.88	458.97(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-279	-40	-327	-134	112.67	51%	0.09	74	0.73%	0	-2.1	34	-3.8

16	Nov_24_2021	446.77	466.05	467.86	468.44	468.4	467.14	467.84(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-98	-20	-119	-34	35.85	56%	0.08	79.1	0.69%	0	0.4	53	0.8
17	Nov_23_2021	446.42	465.41	467.48	468.5	468.84	468.53	468.19(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-79	-0	-96	-26	72.39	57%	0.05	75.8	0.69%	-0.7	0.6	59	0.9
18	Nov_22_2021	446.2	464.83	467.39	468.72	469.15	469.66	467.57(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	50	10	51	45	72.4	57%	0.08	78.3	0.69%	0.4	0.6	64	0.7
19	Nov_19_2021	445.85	464.26	467.5	468.69	468.81	469.16	468.89(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	59	10	58	62	56.73	59%	0.09	78.6	0.7%	0.2	0.9	70	1.1
20	Nov_18_2021	445.46	463.5	467.44	468.37	468.39	468.64	469.73(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	54	0	48	71	50.37	56%	0.09	80.3	0.7%	1	1.1	74	1.7

21	Nov_17_2021	445.04	462.7	467.14	467.18	467.71	468.47	468.14(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	74	10	71	82	46.63	55%	0.09	81.7	0.71%	0	0.9	73	2.1
22	Nov_16_2021	444.62	461.93	466.81	466.27	466.72	468.14	469.28(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	123	20	126	114	48.59	55%	0.09	87.9	0.72%	1.3	1.2	81	2.1
23	Nov_15_2021	444.2	461.02	466.09	465.89	465.76	466.94	467.43(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	111	20	110	115	46.26	55%	0.09	93.6	0.72%	0.7	1	73	2.2
24	Nov_12_2021	443.78	460.03	465.39	466.19	465.82	465.29	467.27(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10	15	89	52.36	55%	0.1	98	0.72%	1.8	1	73	1.1
25	Nov_11_2021	443.35	458.99	464.62	466.45	466.61	464.58	463.77(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-124	-30	-175	29	34.61	53%		97.6	0.71%	-0.9	0.6	73	0.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.