Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 8, 2021

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 17, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $450.9100 (-0.12%) ($448.8600 - $451.6700) on Wed. Sep. 8, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.59% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $450.9100(-0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SPY advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(97%)    DIA(94%)    QQQ(94%)    IVE(93%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-49%)    UUP(-26%)    VXX(-14%)    TBT(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.295% (StdDev 0.59%)
Hourly BBV -0.8 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $452.09(-0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $451.04(-0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $447.86(0.68%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   8.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   0.7
One Month Target Price   > $450.91
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $437.61

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   -79.9000 k (Fri. Feb. 19, 2021) Decrease
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.5% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -2.8% away from the target price of 450.91.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.92% (three month std-dev: 0.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.14%(14%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(86%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 0.46%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -2.3%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.26%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.27%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20211008

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_8_2021	429.97	447.86	451.04	452.09	452.06	451.27	450.91(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-67	-10	-106	51	56.04	58%	0.09	64.1	0.59%	-0.8	0.7	78	1.2
2	Sep_7_2021	429.58	447.46	450.78	452.22	452.47	452.26	451.46(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-15	-0	-49	86	51.41	58%	0.11	66.7	0.59%	-1	1	63	1.1
3	Sep_3_2021	429.09	446.99	450.38	452.37	452.43	452.85	453.08(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	10	28	122	46.99	61%	0.09	73.4	0.59%	1	1.4	59	1.6
4	Sep_2_2021	428.71	446.45	449.45	451.81	452.23	452.69	453.19(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	130	10	123	150	42.23	61%	0.1	76.9	0.59%	0.1	1.7	61	1.6
5	Sep_1_2021	428.29	445.86	448.16	450.42	451.14	452.02	451.8(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	93	20	87	109	48.7	61%	0.09	70.8	0.59%	-0.4	1.5	60	1.7

6	Aug_31_2021	427.9	445.22	446.94	449.84	449.94	451.77	451.56(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	163	30	174	129	58.49	61%	0.1	70.9	0.59%	-0.1	1.7	62	1.5
7	Aug_30_2021	427.49	444.68	446.15	449.12	449.14	450.26	452.23(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	211	20	233	146	47.71	61%	0.1	69.4	0.6%	1.2	2	65	1.5
8	Aug_27_2021	427.08	443.94	445.54	448.13	448.2	448.12	450.25(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	-0	52	72	77.14	61%	0.1	62.5	0.6%	1.4	1.8	64	1.4
9	Aug_26_2021	426.66	443.34	445.04	446.75	447.52	448.03	446.26(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	64	10	63	68	57.02	58%	0.09	54.8	0.59%	-2.2	0.9	58	0.9
10	Aug_25_2021	426.26	443.06	444.91	445.47	446.08	448.27	448.91(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	226	40	256	137	40.16	61%	0.1	51.4	0.58%	1.5	1.8	65	1.6

11	Aug_24_2021	425.83	442.54	444.36	443.53	443.52	447.01	447.97(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	310	60	359	163	37.48	63%	0.1	43.5	0.58%	0.8	1.8	68	1.5
12	Aug_23_2021	425.41	442.08	443.8	442.74	441.89	443.89	447.26(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	309	30	359	157	54.83	63%	0.05	54	0.59%	1.4	1.9	61	1.5
13	Aug_20_2021	425.18	441.74	443.27	442.68	441.26	440.04	443.36(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-26	-30	-37	8	71.58	63%	0.1	86.2	0.59%	1.1	0.6	63	1.1
14	Aug_19_2021	424.75	441.57	443.19	443.19	442.17	439.88	439.86(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-263	-40	-320	-90	92.39	62%	0.11	98.4	0.59%	-0.7	-0.6	55	-0.2
15	Aug_18_2021	424.3	441.39	443.43	444.24	443.99	442.47	439.18(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-165	-30	-210	-29	84.54	62%	0.11	100	0.59%	-1.6	-0.7	49	0.5

16	Aug_17_2021	423.85	441.21	443.51	445.16	443.99	444.46	444.04(-0.66%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-56	-10	-86	34	92.31	66%	0.12	88.4	0.59%	-0.8	0.7	62	1.1
17	Aug_16_2021	423.36	440.59	443.23	444.89	444.67	445.5	446.97(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	99	10	95	109	67.56	69%	0.12	63.4	0.58%	1.7	1.3	69	1.5
18	Aug_13_2021	422.84	439.54	442.3	443.92	443.99	444.89	445.92(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	128	10	135	105	39.32	73%	0.14	47.3	0.61%	1.2	1.3	60	1.6
19	Aug_12_2021	422.26	438.81	441.55	443.24	443.12	443.83	445.11(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	84	10	87	74	38.84	66%	0.14	41.7	0.62%	2.4	1.3	61	1.8
20	Aug_11_2021	421.68	438.28	441.07	442.57	442.67	443.08	443.78(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	80	10	83	72	43.91	63%	0.13	43.7	0.68%	1.6	1.2	68	1.9

21	Aug_10_2021	421.12	437.88	440.56	441.61	442.03	442.42	442.68(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	10	46	54	43.22	60%	0.12	41	0.69%	0.5	1.1	68	1.7
22	Aug_9_2021	420.61	437.5	440.18	441.3	441.28	442.26	442.13(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	82	20	82	80	40.69	60%	0.13	43.8	0.7%	0.6	1.1	72	1.7
23	Aug_6_2021	420.07	437.23	440.03	440.39	440.55	441.64	442.49(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	131	20	135	119	46.59	60%	0.12	44.1	0.71%	1.1	1.3	79	1.6
24	Aug_5_2021	419.55	436.85	439.75	439.6	439.72	440.3	441.76(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	92	10	86	108	38.82	60%	0.11	44.1	0.71%	1	1.2	64	1.1
25	Aug_4_2021	419.1	436.31	439.14	439.38	439.13	439.45	438.98(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	0	13	80	46.1	60%		47.8	0.71%	0.3	0.7	55	0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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