Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 10, 2021

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 3, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $417.9400 (-0.99%) ($417.8100 - $422.7400) on Mon. May. 10, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $417.9400(-0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   SPY advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(96%)    IWF(96%)    DIA(94%)    IWD(93%)    QQQ(93%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-51%)    UUP(-27%)    VXX(-16%)    TBT(-3%)    TLT(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV -0.3 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $418.1(-0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $418.13(-0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $416.53(0.34%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   -79.9000 k (Fri. Feb. 19, 2021) Decrease
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.67% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.43%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.11%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.58%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210610

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_10_2021	392.35	416.53	418.13	418.1	418.66	420.62	417.94(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	126	40	141	82	80.41	66%	0.13	79.1	0.85%	-0.3	0.5	60	1
2	May_7_2021	391.84	416.24	418.1	418.15	417.43	418.96	422.12(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	145	20	162	95	67.5	69%	0.13	85.7	0.83%	1.5	2	60	2
3	May_6_2021	391.32	415.69	417.52	417.19	416.88	416.69	419.07(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	-10	42	38	73.62	69%	0.13	93	0.84%	1	1.1	52	0.8
4	May_5_2021	390.81	415.18	416.88	417.39	417.01	415.89	415.75(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-79	-20	-98	-21	38.27	69%	0.12	101.2	0.84%	-0.1	0.2	50	0.8
5	May_4_2021	390.33	414.77	416.92	417.72	417.75	417.06	415.62(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-67	-10	-87	-6	101.29	70%	0.14	106.5	0.84%	-1.2	0.2	58	0.4

6	May_3_2021	389.8	414.33	416.64	418.1	418.36	418.12	418.2(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-0	-6	29	67.9	70%	0.14	113	0.84%	0.3	0.9	59	1.1
7	Apr_30_2021	389.26	413.75	416.33	417.98	418.03	418.43	417.3(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	10	-9	32	85.03	74%	0.14	126.3	0.86%	-1.2	0.9	59	0.7
8	Apr_29_2021	388.73	412.97	416.31	417.87	418.05	418.59	420.06(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	97	10	101	85	78.1	68%	0.14	116.9	0.86%	2.3	1.5	64	1.3
9	Apr_28_2021	388.18	411.82	415.84	416.31	416.98	417.64	417.4(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	20	41	56	50.87	68%	0.13	99.3	0.9%	1.3	1	66	1.3
10	Apr_27_2021	387.68	410.74	415.27	416.02	416.04	417.5	417.52(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	96	20	100	85	51.14	63%	0.13	89.5	0.91%	0.7	1	69	1.3

11	Apr_26_2021	387.18	409.69	414.8	414.95	415.12	416.33	417.61(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	119	20	127	94	51.52	63%	0.13	82.2	0.97%	0.9	1.1	69	1.2
12	Apr_23_2021	386.68	408.63	414.2	414.47	413.98	414.59	416.74(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	10	32	61	73	63%	0.13	81.9	0.96%	1.8	1.1	68	1.2
13	Apr_22_2021	386.16	407.33	413.67	414.58	414.07	413.91	412.27(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-10	1	65	96.41	61%	0.12	74.6	0.96%	-0.8	0.6	71	0.8
14	Apr_21_2021	385.69	406.16	413.36	415.3	414.82	413.37	415.98(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-19	-30	-49	71	65.97	61%	0.14	65.6	0.95%	1.1	1.1	82	1.7
15	Apr_20_2021	385.17	404.86	412.46	414.39	415.09	414.22	412.17(-0.73%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-62	-10	-103	61	82.04	63%	0.14	58.2	0.95%	-1.4	0.8	81	1

16	Apr_19_2021	384.64	403.9	411.91	414.53	414.93	416.27	415.21(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	69	30	45	139	77.4	63%	0.14	56.4	0.95%	-1.2	1.2	85	1.3
17	Apr_16_2021	384.11	402.61	411.04	413.82	414.12	415.96	417.26(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	184	30	178	203	81.66	63%	0.09	52.5	0.95%	1.5	1.5	89	1.8
18	Apr_15_2021	383.76	401.29	409.4	412.66	412.65	413.58	415.87(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	132	20	114	186	59.99	63%	0.15	50.7	0.96%	1.4	1.6	91	1.8
19	Apr_14_2021	383.2	400.29	407.49	411.19	411.42	412.28	411.45(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	94	20	68	170	61.4	62%	0.13	54.5	0.96%	-0.8	1.3	91	1.4
20	Apr_13_2021	382.69	399.47	405.89	410.22	410.34	411.71	412.86(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	133	20	114	191	56.18	62%	0.15	59.6	0.96%	1.9	1.6	87	1.7

21	Apr_12_2021	382.11	398.58	404.19	408.87	408.84	410.56	411.64(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	144	30	127	193	56.55	62%	0.16	68.6	0.96%	1.2	1.7	77	1.8
22	Apr_9_2021	381.51	397.64	402.61	407.82	407.58	408.98	411.49(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	161	20	147	204	60.87	62%	0.15	78.6	0.96%	1.8	2	80	1.5
23	Apr_8_2021	380.95	396.68	400.44	405.64	406.35	407.11	408.52(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	140	20	127	178	57.53	62%	0.14	92.2	0.96%	1.8	1.9	73	1.5
24	Apr_7_2021	380.4	395.7	398.36	403.2	404.22	406.19	406.59(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	127	40	121	143	55.48	63%	0.13	95.7	0.96%	0.1	2	59	1.4
25	Apr_6_2021	379.92	394.71	396.63	400.83	401.72	405.6	406.12(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	248	70	272	174	61.66	63%		90.2	0.98%	0.6	2.2	60	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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