Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SPY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 25, 2005

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $116.8800 (0.28%) ($116.7200 - $117.4700) on Tue. Jan. 25, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.62% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $116.8800(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(83%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-12%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.31% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $116.13(-0.64%)
Resistance Level   $118.71
5 Day Moving Average   $117.19(-0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.76(-0.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $118.71(-1.54%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.23% (three month std-dev: 0.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_25_2005	116.06	118.71	117.76	117.19			116.88(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-14	-66	68.34	56%	0.01	-56.1	0.62%	0	-1.3	40	0
2	Jan_24_2005	116.05	118.89	117.98	117.7			116.55(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-9	-51	58.56	56%	0.04	-44.2	0.62%	0	-1.6	32	0
3	Jan_21_2005	116	119.11	118.18	118.04			116.78(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-10000	-4	-50	63.27	53%	0.03	-40.4	0.64%	0	-1.7	31	0
4	Jan_20_2005	115.96	119.31	118.37	118.21			117.5(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-6	-62	72.1	53%	0.05	-39.8	0.64%	0	-1.4	32	0
5	Jan_19_2005	115.9	119.46	118.44	118.21			118.22(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	0	-77	54.92	51%	0.07	-38.1	0.63%	0	-1	33	0

6	Jan_18_2005	115.82	119.46	118.5	118.42			119.47(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-22	-10000	3	-97	57.45	54%	0.11	-42.7	0.62%	0	-0	38	0
7	Jan_14_2005	115.69	119.53	118.55	118.32			118.24(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-10000	-1	-108	42.03	49%	0.06	-46	0.61%	0	-1.1	36	0
8	Jan_13_2005	115.62	119.66	118.8	118.36			117.62(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-5	-107	55.79	47%	0.06	-40.4	0.62%	0	-1.7	31	0
9	Jan_12_2005	115.55	119.83	119.14	118.56			118.57(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-21	-10000	3	-94	74.31	49%	0.08	-30.1	0.62%	0	-1.1	35	0
10	Jan_11_2005	115.46	119.94	119.41	118.45			118.18(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-4	-96	63.36	49%	0.07	-23.3	0.62%	0	-1.6	35	0

11	Jan_10_2005	115.38	120.06	119.7	118.58			119(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-26	-10000	-7	-81	56.8	51%	0.07	-16.9	0.62%	0	-1.1	49	0
12	Jan_7_2005	115.3	120.08	119.86	118.84			118.44(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-10000	-13	-65	55.86	46%	0.08	-8.5	0.63%	0	-1.7	45	0
13	Jan_6_2005	115.21	120.14	120.1	119.32			118.61(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-10000	-13	-45	48.29	46%	0.08	3.8	0.64%	0	-1.6	37	0
14	Jan_5_2005	115.12	120.16	120.32	119.83			118.01(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-20	-10000	-18	-26	65.88	46%	0.08	18.2	0.64%	0	-2.3	32	0
15	Jan_4_2005	115.03	120.19	120.59	120.5			118.83(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-9	-10000	-12	2	69.27	48%	0.1	39.5	0.64%	0	-1.5	37	0

16	Jan_3_2005	114.92	120.22	120.68	120.97			120.3(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-1	22	56	51%	0.11	63.5	0.61%	0	0.1	50	0
17	Dec_31_2004	114.79	120.17	120.61	121.01			120.87(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	1	26	28.66	55%	0.13	68.4	0.61%	0	0.8	64	0
18	Dec_30_2004	114.64	120.1	120.6	120.99			121.13(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	2	36	21.08	55%	0.11	72.4	0.64%	0	1.1	67	0
19	Dec_29_2004	114.51	120	120.57	120.9			121.36(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	5	49	23.77	55%	0.11	78.4	0.64%	0	1.5	72	0
20	Dec_28_2004	114.38	119.83	120.5	120.71			121.18(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	9	61	23.43	55%	0.13	69.2	0.65%	0	1.4	75	0

21	Dec_27_2004	114.23	119.66	120.41	120.37			120.52(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	6	55	29.98	55%	0.17	59.3	0.65%	0	0.9	59	0
22	Dec_23_2004	114.04	119.55	120.3	120.15			120.77(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	-0	44	25.65	55%	0.1	50.6	0.65%	0	1.2	61	0
23	Dec_22_2004	113.93	119.44	120.15	120.16			120.68(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	11	-10000	-1	45	31.51	52%	0.09	51.9	0.65%	0	1.3	60	0
24	Dec_21_2004	113.83	119.31	119.97	120.2			120.39(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-10000	-2	43	33.2	52%	0.09	55	0.67%	0	1.1	59	0
25	Dec_20_2004	113.73	119.19	119.75	120.28			119.47(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	9	-10000	-4	48	47.2	50%		54.3	0.67%	0	0.3	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.