Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 24, 2005

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $116.5500 (-0.2%) ($116.3700 - $117.3400) on Mon. Jan. 24, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.62% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $116.5500(-0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(83%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-12%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.31% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $118.89
5 Day Moving Average   $117.7(-0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.98(-1.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $118.89(-1.97%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.2% (three month std-dev: 0.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_24_2005	116.05	118.89	117.98	117.7			116.55(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-9	-51	58.56	56%	0.04	-44.2	0.62%	0	-1.6	32	0
2	Jan_21_2005	116	119.11	118.18	118.04			116.78(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-10000	-4	-50	63.27	53%	0.03	-40.4	0.64%	0	-1.7	31	0
3	Jan_20_2005	115.96	119.31	118.37	118.21			117.5(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-6	-62	72.1	53%	0.05	-39.8	0.64%	0	-1.4	32	0
4	Jan_19_2005	115.9	119.46	118.44	118.21			118.22(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	0	-77	54.92	51%	0.07	-38.1	0.63%	0	-1	33	0
5	Jan_18_2005	115.82	119.46	118.5	118.42			119.47(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-22	-10000	3	-97	57.45	54%	0.11	-42.7	0.62%	0	-0	38	0

6	Jan_14_2005	115.69	119.53	118.55	118.32			118.24(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-10000	-1	-108	42.03	49%	0.06	-46	0.61%	0	-1.1	36	0
7	Jan_13_2005	115.62	119.66	118.8	118.36			117.62(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-5	-107	55.79	47%	0.06	-40.4	0.62%	0	-1.7	31	0
8	Jan_12_2005	115.55	119.83	119.14	118.56			118.57(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-21	-10000	3	-94	74.31	49%	0.08	-30.1	0.62%	0	-1.1	35	0
9	Jan_11_2005	115.46	119.94	119.41	118.45			118.18(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-4	-96	63.36	49%	0.07	-23.3	0.62%	0	-1.6	35	0
10	Jan_10_2005	115.38	120.06	119.7	118.58			119(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-26	-10000	-7	-81	56.8	51%	0.07	-16.9	0.62%	0	-1.1	49	0

11	Jan_7_2005	115.3	120.08	119.86	118.84			118.44(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-10000	-13	-65	55.86	46%	0.08	-8.5	0.63%	0	-1.7	45	0
12	Jan_6_2005	115.21	120.14	120.1	119.32			118.61(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-10000	-13	-45	48.29	46%	0.08	3.8	0.64%	0	-1.6	37	0
13	Jan_5_2005	115.12	120.16	120.32	119.83			118.01(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-20	-10000	-18	-26	65.88	46%	0.08	18.2	0.64%	0	-2.3	32	0
14	Jan_4_2005	115.03	120.19	120.59	120.5			118.83(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-9	-10000	-12	2	69.27	48%	0.1	39.5	0.64%	0	-1.5	37	0
15	Jan_3_2005	114.92	120.22	120.68	120.97			120.3(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-1	22	56	51%	0.11	63.5	0.61%	0	0.1	50	0

16	Dec_31_2004	114.79	120.17	120.61	121.01			120.87(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	1	26	28.66	55%	0.13	68.4	0.61%	0	0.8	64	0
17	Dec_30_2004	114.64	120.1	120.6	120.99			121.13(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	2	36	21.08	55%	0.11	72.4	0.64%	0	1.1	67	0
18	Dec_29_2004	114.51	120	120.57	120.9			121.36(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	5	49	23.77	55%	0.11	78.4	0.64%	0	1.5	72	0
19	Dec_28_2004	114.38	119.83	120.5	120.71			121.18(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	9	61	23.43	55%	0.13	69.2	0.65%	0	1.4	75	0
20	Dec_27_2004	114.23	119.66	120.41	120.37			120.52(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	6	55	29.98	55%	0.17	59.3	0.65%	0	0.9	59	0

21	Dec_23_2004	114.04	119.55	120.3	120.15			120.77(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	-0	44	25.65	55%	0.1	50.6	0.65%	0	1.2	61	0
22	Dec_22_2004	113.93	119.44	120.15	120.16			120.68(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	11	-10000	-1	45	31.51	52%	0.09	51.9	0.65%	0	1.3	60	0
23	Dec_21_2004	113.83	119.31	119.97	120.2			120.39(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-10000	-2	43	33.2	52%	0.09	55	0.67%	0	1.1	59	0
24	Dec_20_2004	113.73	119.19	119.75	120.28			119.47(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	9	-10000	-4	48	47.2	50%	0.08	54.3	0.67%	0	0.3	64	0
25	Dec_17_2004	113.64	119.09	119.73	120.46			119.44(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	18	-10000	1	67	71.18	50%		51.2	0.68%	0	0.3	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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