Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SPY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 13, 2004

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $109.9900 (-0.42%) ($109.6300 - $110.8100) on Thu. May. 13, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $109.9900(-0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(83%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-12%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(18%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $107.93(-1.87%)
Resistance Level   $112.05
5 Day Moving Average   $109.8(0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $110.82(-0.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $112.05(-1.84%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.46% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2004	113.28	112.05	110.82	109.8			109.99(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-10000	-8	-122	57.51	41%	0	-62.3	0.83%	0	-1.3	31	0
2	May_12_2004	113.28	112.21	111.01	110.16			110.45(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-39	-10000	-10	-126	90.9	41%	0.01	-63.8	0.83%	0	-1.1	33	0
3	May_11_2004	113.27	112.36	111.24	110.63			109.75(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-10000	-10	-112	48.35	43%	0	-62.5	0.82%	0	-1.7	39	0
4	May_10_2004	113.27	112.55	111.68	111.09			108.83(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-32	-10000	-14	-85	75.36	41%	0	-63.4	0.83%	0	-2.5	40	0
5	May_7_2004	113.27	112.86	112.23	111.75			109.96(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-18	-10000	-4	-58	60.96	43%	0.01	-61.5	0.81%	0	-2.4	36	0

6	May_6_2004	113.26	113.09	112.68	111.95			111.81(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-0	-48	55.01	48%	0.03	-63.2	0.79%	0	-1.2	41	0
7	May_5_2004	113.23	113.23	112.92	111.95			112.78(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-10	-10000	0	-41	34.43	49%	0.04	-57.4	0.8%	0	-0.4	50	0
8	May_4_2004	113.18	113.33	112.91	111.96			112.06(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-10000	-10	-49	51.2	48%	0.04	-47.5	0.8%	0	-1.1	44	0
9	May_3_2004	113.14	113.48	112.92	112.41			112.15(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-9	-41	33.76	48%	0.04	-25.7	0.8%	0	-1.2	46	0
10	Apr_30_2004	113.09	113.61	113.09	112.82			110.96(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-20	-10000	-15	-35	48.69	46%	0.03	-2	0.79%	0	-2.3	33	0

11	Apr_29_2004	113.06	113.77	113.39	113.5			111.83(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-11	-10000	-11	-12	69.71	46%	0.04	29.8	0.78%	0	-2	39	0
12	Apr_28_2004	113.01	113.85	113.53	113.99			112.82(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.4	1	-10000	1	1	50.18	45%	0.05	69.3	0.77%	0	-1.2	41	0
13	Apr_27_2004	112.95	113.86	113.59	113.96			114.3(0.09%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	7	-10000	11	-6	43.49	46%	0.06	89.2	0.77%	0	0.5	45	0
14	Apr_26_2004	112.88	113.78	113.48	113.48			114.2(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	2	-40	35.57	48%	0.07	85.7	0.78%	0	0.5	43	0
15	Apr_23_2004	112.8	113.64	113.52	113.41			114.36(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	3	-41	29.42	48%	0.06	69.9	0.8%	0	0.7	48	0

16	Apr_22_2004	112.73	113.48	113.5	113.3			114.25(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10000	6	-41	62.15	48%	0.06	52.4	0.8%	0	0.6	52	0
17	Apr_21_2004	112.66	113.26	113.52	113.04			112.67(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-3	-47	50.3	47%	0.05	28.3	0.78%	0	-0.4	50	0
18	Apr_20_2004	112.6	113.12	113.74	113.19			111.92(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-6	-32	53.36	47%	0.04	21.1	0.78%	0	-0.7	47	0
19	Apr_19_2004	112.55	113.03	114.08	113.44			113.83(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	-5	-7	28.28	50%	0.06	19.5	0.75%	0	0.4	61	0
20	Apr_16_2004	112.48	112.9	114.16	113.64			113.83(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-10000	-3	24	47.06	50%	0.02	18.4	0.76%	0	0.5	69	0

21	Apr_15_2004	112.46	112.9	114.17	113.75			112.96(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-8	46	61.63	48%	0.06	25.5	0.75%	0	0.1	67	0
22	Apr_14_2004	112.39	112.85	114.21	114.08			113.39(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-10000	-7	83	62.34	50%	0.06	32.3	0.75%	0	0.3	76	0
23	Apr_13_2004	112.32	112.78	114.19	114.39			113.21(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	23	-10000	-9	118	56.24	50%	0.07	30.2	0.76%	0	0.2	76	0
24	Apr_12_2004	112.24	112.68	114.15	114.8			114.82(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	42	-10000	1	164	23.1	54%	0.18	27.3	0.74%	0	1.2	86	0
25	Apr_8_2004	112.04	112.56	113.8	114.76			114.37(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	44	-10000	3	166	46.94	52%		18.6	0.75%	0	1	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.