Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SPY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 24, 2004

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $109.5500 (0.08%) ($108.8500 - $110.1400) on Wed. Mar. 24, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $109.5500(0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(83%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-12%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(18%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $107.55(-1.83%)
Resistance Level   $113.08
5 Day Moving Average   $110.56(-0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $111.2(-1.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $113.08(-3.12%)
To recent high   -5.9%
To recent low   0.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040424

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_24_2004	111.12	113.08	111.2	110.56			109.55(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-10000	-17	-158	51.6	50%	0.04	-49	0.74%	0	-1.6	27	0
2	Mar_23_2004	111.08	113.36	111.51	111.26			109.46(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-46	-10000	-11	-151	54.12	50%	0.04	-45.7	0.74%	0	-1.8	29	0
3	Mar_22_2004	111.04	113.63	112.01	111.72			109.65(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-10000	-8	-140	62.76	50%	0.05	-48.2	0.74%	0	-2.1	30	0
4	Mar_19_2004	110.99	113.89	112.54	112.03			111.06(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-10000	-8	-142	48.65	51%	0.05	-52	0.72%	0	-1.7	31	0
5	Mar_18_2004	110.94	114.1	113.06	112.34			113.07(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-23	-10000	10	-122	60.03	58%	0.08	-52.9	0.69%	0	-0.7	42	0

6	Mar_17_2004	110.85	114.2	113.32	111.95			113.04(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-31	-10000	3	-132	41.89	58%	0.07	-62.3	0.71%	0	-0.7	43	0
7	Mar_16_2004	110.77	114.33	113.57	111.85			111.79(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-47	-10000	-14	-144	60.11	56%	0.07	-61.4	0.69%	0	-1.6	38	0
8	Mar_15_2004	110.69	114.56	113.94	112.4			111.2(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-44	-10000	-19	-118	57.7	56%	0.07	-51.1	0.69%	0	-2.2	38	0
9	Mar_12_2004	110.61	114.77	114.45	113.15			112.58(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-10000	-20	-79	54.03	59%	0.09	-41.6	0.68%	0	-1.7	42	0
10	Mar_11_2004	110.51	114.94	114.71	113.91			111.12(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-32	-10000	-25	-51	89.45	58%	0.07	-19.2	0.66%	0	-3.2	32	0

11	Mar_10_2004	110.43	115.2	115.14	114.88			112.58(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-15	-10000	-17	-7	67.81	62%	0.07	21.9	0.65%	0	-3.1	35	0
12	Mar_9_2004	110.35	115.33	115.4	115.5			114.5(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	1	-10000	-6	21	39.75	65%	0.09	70.6	0.61%	0	-1.4	42	0
13	Mar_8_2004	110.25	115.34	115.41	115.7			114.96(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-1	-10000	-7	17	39.29	65%	0.1	84.3	0.61%	0	-0.6	40	0
14	Mar_5_2004	110.14	115.32	115.39	115.94			116.38(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	8	32	55.92	70%	0.1	98.1	0.59%	0	1.7	59	0
15	Mar_4_2004	110.03	115.16	115.23	115.67			115.99(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	6	11	21.08	70%	0.11	73	0.6%	0	1.1	51	0

16	Mar_3_2004	109.91	115.01	115.14	115.46			115.69(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10000	5	-6	31.36	70%	0.1	52.7	0.6%	0	0.8	46	0
17	Mar_2_2004	109.8	114.92	115.13	115.29			115.48(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	6	-8	38.61	70%	0.1	41.6	0.6%	0	0.6	55	0
18	Mar_1_2004	109.69	114.85	115.18	115.08			116.16(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	6	-10000	9	-3	33.2	71%	0.11	26	0.6%	0	1.5	62	0
19	Feb_27_2004	109.57	114.71	115.07	114.76			115.02(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10000	1	-17	39.28	70%	0.1	11.7	0.6%	0	0.4	56	0
20	Feb_26_2004	109.46	114.64	115.13	114.73			114.94(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2	-10000	-2	-1	29.69	70%	0.1	3.8	0.6%	0	0.3	64	0

21	Feb_25_2004	109.35	114.57	115.23	114.79			114.87(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-5	26	31.23	70%	0.1	-2.4	0.6%	0	0.3	66	0
22	Feb_24_2004	109.24	114.55	115.24	114.95			114.39(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-10	41	43.96	72%	0.1	3.7	0.6%	0	-0.2	55	0
23	Feb_23_2004	109.13	114.62	115.24	115.31			114.59(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-10000	-3	65	36.37	72%	0.11	20.9	0.62%	0	-0	55	0
24	Feb_20_2004	109.01	114.62	115.27	115.41			114.88(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-5	78	46.73	69%	0.12	27.9	0.62%	0	0.3	60	0
25	Feb_19_2004	108.88	114.61	115.13	115.57			115.23(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-5	84	51.18	70%		38.4	0.63%	0	0.6	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.