Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 17, 2003

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. May. 22, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $98.5000 (-1.42%) ($98.1600 - $99.8800) on Thu. Jul. 17, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $98.5000(-1.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EEM(82%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-21%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(17%)    OIH(64%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $99.41
5 Day Moving Average   $99.88(-1.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $100.1(-1.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $99.41(-0.92%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.12% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20030817

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_17_2003	95.09	99.41	100.1	99.88			98.5(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-10000	-8	35	48.93	69%	0.04	-21.4	0.99%	0	-0.8	51	0
2	Jul_16_2003	95.05	99.55	100.25	100.3			99.92(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10000	-3	65	40.22	69%	0.07	-5.8	0.98%	0	0.3	64	0
3	Jul_15_2003	94.98	99.63	100.13	100.43			100.51(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-10000	-3	70	63.63	69%	0.08	6.3	1%	0	0.7	60	0
4	Jul_14_2003	94.9	99.67	99.87	100.56			100.24(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-10000	-2	72	0	71%	0.07	20.1	1.01%	0	0.4	59	0
5	Jul_11_2003	94.83	99.63	99.62	100.65			100.24(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	-10000	6	68	40.08	71%	0.08	23.3	1.04%	0	0.5	53	0

6	Jul_10_2003	94.75	99.64	99.48	100.35			100.58(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-10000	3	51	0	71%	0.1	20.1	1.04%	0	0.7	51	0
7	Jul_9_2003	94.66	99.62	99.18	100.19			100.58(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	8	28	36.63	68%	0.08	20.7	1.04%	0	0.7	44	0
8	Jul_8_2003	94.58	99.55	98.96	99.78			101.15(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	14	1	33.16	68%	0.11	18.8	1.05%	0	1.2	45	0
9	Jul_7_2003	94.48	99.4	98.67	99.07			100.7(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-1	-10000	12	-40	31.43	68%	0.1	7.6	1.05%	0	1	43	0
10	Jul_3_2003	94.39	99.32	98.51	98.47			98.74(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-10000	-0	-68	30.87	66%	0.07	3.2	1.02%	0	-0.5	47	0

11	Jul_2_2003	94.32	99.37	98.62	98.48			99.77(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-11	-10000	9	-69	34.68	71%	0.1	18.5	1.01%	0	0.3	46	0
12	Jul_1_2003	94.23	99.34	98.75	98.48			98.53(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-20	-10000	0	-80	51.42	69%	0.06	20.6	1.04%	0	-0.6	42	0
13	Jun_30_2003	94.17	99.34	99.04	98.03			97.63(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-3	-69	33.87	69%	0.06	26.3	1.05%	0	-1.2	45	0
14	Jun_27_2003	94.11	99.3	99.44	98.19			97.66(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-7	-50	54.22	69%	0.06	41.1	1.05%	0	-1.2	50	0
15	Jun_26_2003	94.05	99.29	99.65	98.54			98.8(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-10000	-5	-37	33.55	72%	0.09	52.5	1.05%	0	-0.3	49	0

16	Jun_25_2003	93.97	99.14	99.83	98.79			97.53(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-15	-29	47.86	71%	0.06	59.7	1.05%	0	-0.9	43	0
17	Jun_24_2003	93.91	99.08	100.14	99.59			98.52(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-10000	-12	4	36.24	71%	0.09	76.3	1.04%	0	-0.3	49	0
18	Jun_23_2003	93.83	98.94	100.24	100.22			98.42(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-10000	-12	34	34.34	71%	0.09	91.8	1.05%	0	-0.3	57	0
19	Jun_20_2003	93.75	98.73	100.24	100.87			99.44(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	17	-10000	-0	66	41.55	71%	0.11	85	1.05%	0	0.3	62	0
20	Jun_19_2003	93.65	98.46	100.26	100.89			100.02(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-10000	-2	79	43.57	71%	0.13	75.1	1.05%	0	0.6	66	0

21	Jun_18_2003	93.53	98.11	100.23	101.01			101.57(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	5	112	35.55	74%	0.15	67	1.03%	0	1.3	79	0
22	Jun_17_2003	93.39	97.66	99.99	100.76			101.66(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	38	-10000	9	126	36.82	74%	0.17	58.9	1.04%	0	1.4	77	0
23	Jun_16_2003	93.23	97.21	99.56	100.28			101.66(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	41	-10000	13	124	36.42	74%	0.17	50.8	1.05%	0	1.6	78	0
24	Jun_13_2003	93.07	96.86	99.12	99.59			99.56(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	-10000	1	122	48.64	72%	0.14	49.1	1.03%	0	1	79	0
25	Jun_12_2003	92.94	96.63	98.88	99.53			100.61(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	-10000	4	145	36.49	75%		54.9	1.02%	0	1.5	85	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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