Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 25, 2003

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
SPY latest price $97.5300 (-1%) ($97.5300 - $99.4400) on Wed. Jun. 25, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $97.5300(-1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPY declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPY declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EEM(82%)
Factors Impacting SPY price   SPY will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-21%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(17%)    OIH(64%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $99.14
5 Day Moving Average   $98.79(-1.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.83(-2.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $99.14(-1.62%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   13.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions   37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_25_2003	93.97	99.14	99.83	98.79			97.53(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-15	-29	47.86	71%	0.06	59.7	1.05%	0	-0.9	43	0
2	Jun_24_2003	93.91	99.08	100.14	99.59			98.52(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-10000	-12	4	36.24	71%	0.09	76.3	1.04%	0	-0.3	49	0
3	Jun_23_2003	93.83	98.94	100.24	100.22			98.42(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-10000	-12	34	34.34	71%	0.09	91.8	1.05%	0	-0.3	57	0
4	Jun_20_2003	93.75	98.73	100.24	100.87			99.44(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	17	-10000	-0	66	41.55	71%	0.11	85	1.05%	0	0.3	62	0
5	Jun_19_2003	93.65	98.46	100.26	100.89			100.02(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-10000	-2	79	43.57	71%	0.13	75.1	1.05%	0	0.6	66	0

6	Jun_18_2003	93.53	98.11	100.23	101.01			101.57(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	5	112	35.55	74%	0.15	67	1.03%	0	1.3	79	0
7	Jun_17_2003	93.39	97.66	99.99	100.76			101.66(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	38	-10000	9	126	36.82	74%	0.17	58.9	1.04%	0	1.4	77	0
8	Jun_16_2003	93.23	97.21	99.56	100.28			101.66(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	41	-10000	13	124	36.42	74%	0.17	50.8	1.05%	0	1.6	78	0
9	Jun_13_2003	93.07	96.86	99.12	99.59			99.56(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	-10000	1	122	48.64	72%	0.14	49.1	1.03%	0	1	79	0
10	Jun_12_2003	92.94	96.63	98.88	99.53			100.61(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	-10000	4	145	36.49	75%	0.16	54.9	1.02%	0	1.5	85	0

11	Jun_11_2003	92.79	96.31	98.37	99.34			100.3(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	42	-10000	4	156	37.64	75%	0.17	58.3	1.03%	0	1.6	86	0
12	Jun_10_2003	92.63	96.01	97.91	99.11			99.25(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	48	-10000	7	170	30.12	74%	0.14	62.4	1.04%	0	1.4	86	0
13	Jun_9_2003	92.5	95.78	97.53	98.73			98.25(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	46	-10000	3	175	38.4	74%	0.14	65.5	1.04%	0	1.1	82	0
14	Jun_6_2003	92.37	95.55	97.09	98.55			99.26(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	-10000	9	170	60.4	74%	0.16	66.2	1.03%	0	1.7	68	0
15	Jun_5_2003	92.22	95.2	96.53	98.09			99.65(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	-10000	17	152	46.43	74%	0.17	65.1	1.04%	0	2.2	69	0

16	Jun_4_2003	92.06	94.87	95.83	97.25			99.16(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	39	-10000	14	113	49.44	74%	0.17	65.3	1.05%	0	2.4	69	0
17	Jun_3_2003	91.9	94.59	95.15	96.55			97.35(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	26	-10000	8	78	0	72%	0.14	71.7	1.04%	0	1.8	63	0
18	Jun_2_2003	91.77	94.37	94.67	96.16			97.35(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	15	56	50.7	72%	0.14	74.8	1.05%	0	2.1	61	0
19	May_30_2003	91.64	94.15	94.39	95.4			96.95(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	19	-10000	13	36	52.54	72%	0.14	79.2	1.06%	0	2.3	65	0
20	May_29_2003	91.51	93.89	94.17	94.73			95.42(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	11	28	50.98	70%	0.11	73.1	1.05%	0	1.4	66	0

21	May_28_2003	91.41	93.71	94.06	94.17			95.67(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	-10000	13	16	37.75	70%	0.12	57.4	1.06%	0	1.7	60	0
22	May_27_2003	91.3	93.52	93.93	93.53			95.4(1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	8	-10000	11	-2	43.74	70%	0.12	45.4	1.08%	0	1.7	56	0
23	May_23_2003	91.19	93.34	93.85	92.98			93.57(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-10000	-5	-17	26.16	67%	0.07	36.1	1.06%	0	0.2	54	0
24	May_22_2003	91.13	93.18	93.88	93.24			93.57(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-10000	-6	-6	38.46	67%	0.08	43.5	1.07%	0	0.3	53	0
25	May_21_2003	91.06	93.08	93.78	93.55			92.65(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-10000	-7	7	49.85	67%		61.4	1.08%	0	-0.3	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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