Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 15, 2022

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $23.1200 (3.31%) ($22.1400 - $23.3700) on Thu. Sep. 15, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.23% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $23.1200(3.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UUP(27%)    VIXM(22%)    TBT(15%)    VXX(4%)    EDOC(-8%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -2.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-98%)    IWF(-97%)    IVE(-96%)    QQQ(-93%)    IWD(-93%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.115% (StdDev 4.23%)
Hourly BBV 1.8 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.76(6.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.12(4.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.25(8.8%)
To recent high   -22.2%
To recent low   30.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 7.34% (three month std-dev: 4.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.67%(52%) Average negative next day return: -2.03%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.22%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -4.32%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 6.19%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.81%(62%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20221015

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_15_2022	22.89	21.25	22.12	21.76	21.85	22.64	23.12(3.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	270	15	21	26.59	43%	0.04	58.2	4.23%	1.8	1.2	71	0.9
2	Sep_14_2022	22.88	21	22.05	21.47	21.39	22.22	22.38(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	260	16	27	23	43%	0	48.3	4.24%	1.2	0.8	63	0.9
3	Sep_13_2022	22.88	20.77	22.02	21.41	21.3	21.07	22.6(12.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-90	1	32	28.02	49%	0.09	37.8	4.24%	2.1	1.1	63	1.2
4	Sep_12_2022	22.86	20.54	21.89	21.56	21.49	20.55	20.02(-3.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-13	-320	-30	37	15.83	42%	0	33.9	4.18%	-1.1	-0.3	55	0.9
5	Sep_9_2022	22.86	20.46	22.01	22.17	22.25	21.53	20.66(-4.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-220	-20	78	22.15	50%	0.04	37.8	4.31%	-1.5	0.1	65	1

6	Sep_8_2022	22.85	20.38	21.89	22.51	22.61	22.42	21.67(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-50	-11	104	22.68	52%	0.18	40.9	4.36%	-1.2	0.7	73	1.3
7	Sep_7_2022	22.81	20.24	21.73	22.69	22.78	22.96	22.1(-5.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	35	70	3	132	16.06	52%	0.18	42.3	4.37%	-1.4	1	74	1.3
8	Sep_6_2022	22.77	20.14	21.53	22.68	22.62	22.81	23.35(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	49	50	13	157	18.88	55%	0.18	42.7	4.33%	0.9	1.8	84	1.4
9	Sep_2_2022	22.73	19.95	21.17	22.28	22.24	22.6	23.08(3.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	50	110	13	160	23.4	52%	0.18	40	4.34%	1	1.9	82	1.6
10	Sep_1_2022	22.69	19.78	20.73	21.85	21.96	22.44	22.37(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	170	26	156	24.31	52%	0.18	35.6	4.38%	0.5	1.8	77	1.5

11	Aug_31_2022	22.65	19.63	20.3	21.17	21.25	21.89	22.57(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	47	220	22	123	16.31	52%	0.13	20.2	4.39%	1	2.2	69	1.9
12	Aug_30_2022	22.62	19.47	19.84	20.62	20.55	21.48	22.03(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	310	22	98	20.86	52%	0.13	1.5	4.38%	1.2	2.2	67	2.1
13	Aug_29_2022	22.59	19.39	19.4	20.22	20.11	20.61	21.35(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	160	20	65	20.72	52%	0.18	-21.4	4.4%	1.1	1.9	54	2.2
14	Aug_26_2022	22.55	19.32	19.04	19.92	19.76	19.62	20.91(10.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-70	11	35	25.93	47%	0.13	-43.2	4.49%	2.2	1.6	54	2
15	Aug_25_2022	22.52	19.27	18.74	19.47	19.68	19.61	18.99(-4.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	3	10	3	2	16.36	42%	0.04	-67.1	4.36%	-2	-0.3	42	1.2

16	Aug_24_2022	22.51	19.37	18.73	19.26	19.48	19.9	19.83(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	190	13	-8	13.57	42%	0.09	-69.7	4.34%	-0.4	0.4	49	1.8
17	Aug_23_2022	22.49	19.46	18.63	18.91	19.01	19.76	20.01(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	290	22	-24	15.14	40%	0.13	-64.3	4.35%	0.9	0.4	50	2.1
18	Aug_22_2022	22.46	19.62	18.62	18.45	18.56	19.07	19.84(6.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	210	22	-45	21.18	40%	0.09	-65.8	4.41%	1.6	0.1	41	1
19	Aug_19_2022	22.44	19.75	18.61	18.04	18.11	18.27	18.66(3.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	70	6	-71	19.24	37%	0.04	-72.9	4.33%	1.7	-0.6	35	-0
20	Aug_18_2022	22.43	19.96	18.73	17.92	17.99	18.06	17.95(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	40	-5	-83	12.1	43%	0.09	-78.2	4.3%	-0.4	-1.1	29	-0.7

21	Aug_17_2022	22.41	20.18	18.91	18.13	18.09	17.94	18.1(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-60	-5	-79	19.71	41%	0.04	-83.9	4.58%	0.6	-1.2	25	-0.7
22	Aug_16_2022	22.4	20.43	19.08	18.3	18.25	17.93	17.7(-0.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-36	-130	-18	-90	16.08	41%	0.04	-87.3	4.62%	-1	-1.5	17	-1.2
23	Aug_15_2022	22.39	20.72	19.39	18.82	18.59	18.23	17.81(-1.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-35	-170	-17	-88	13.63	41%	0	-80.1	4.63%	-1.6	-1.5	14	-1.5
24	Aug_12_2022	22.39	21.1	19.65	19.25	19.13	18.57	18.05(-4.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-33	-220	-15	-86	13.17	39%	0	-73.8	4.7%	-1.9	-1.5	22	-2.2
25	Aug_11_2022	22.39	21.45	19.88	19.64	19.48	18.94	18.97(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-220	-14	-90	19.4	40%		-64.7	4.67%	-0.5	-1.2	25	-1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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