Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 22, 2022

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $21.4000 (3.18%) ($20.5700 - $21.9650) on Tue. Feb. 22, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.55% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $21.4000(3.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(47%)    UUP(31%)    VXX(9%)    TBT(8%)    EDOC(-2%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -1.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-98%)    IWF(-97%)    QQQ(-95%)    IVE(-95%)    DIA(-95%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.775% (StdDev 3.55%)
Hourly BBV 0.9 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.16(6.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.69(8.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.68(8.74%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   33%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 5.59% (three month std-dev: 3.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 2.8%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.09%(40%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 5.46%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -6.46%(47%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 6.84%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.15%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220322

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_22_2022	18.72	19.68	19.69	20.16	20.28	20.92	21.4(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	240	20	70	35.7	55%	-0.27	14.7	3.55%	0.9	1.6	65	-0.8
2	Feb_18_2022	18.77	19.61	19.45	19.91	19.81	20.27	20.74(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	150	14	59	27.6	55%	-0.16	21.9	3.51%	1.2	1.1	59	-1.1
3	Feb_17_2022	18.8	19.6	19.26	19.75	19.71	19.64	20.34(6.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-30	14	45	17.41	55%	-0.11	33.1	3.5%	2.3	0.7	51	-1
4	Feb_16_2022	18.82	19.6	19.15	19.45	19.57	19.35	19.11(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	4	-60	3	6	14.5	52%	-0.16	37.5	3.42%	-1.5	-0.4	37	0.3
5	Feb_15_2022	18.85	19.55	19.05	19.21	19.39	19.78	19.19(-4.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	170	5	-32	17.33	52%	-0.11	39.7	3.42%	-0.7	-0.3	40	-0.1

6	Feb_14_2022	18.87	19.51	18.99	19.12	19.06	19.79	20.16(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	260	21	-53	23.65	54%	-0.05	40.9	3.36%	1.1	0.6	44	-1
7	Feb_11_2022	18.88	19.38	18.86	18.92	18.77	19.01	19.97(6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	70	17	-77	32.65	53%	0.05	34.1	3.38%	2.3	0.5	48	-1
8	Feb_10_2022	18.87	19.26	18.84	18.73	18.68	18.33	18.84(5.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-140	-7	-105	25.44	52%	-0.16	29.2	3.29%	1	-0.3	41	0.1
9	Feb_9_2022	18.9	19.17	19.09	18.82	18.8	18.53	17.89(-4.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-100	-11	-88	15.05	50%	-0.26	28	3.24%	-1.4	-1	44	0.6
10	Feb_8_2022	18.95	19.14	19.43	18.84	19.04	19.03	18.72(-2.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	30	2	-64	14.21	52%	-0.21	30.2	3.19%	-0.5	-0.3	52	0.5

11	Feb_7_2022	18.99	19.09	19.66	18.82	18.84	19.08	19.18(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	90	3	-42	14.08	52%	-0.11	33.2	3.18%	0.1	0.1	58	0.2
12	Feb_4_2022	19.01	19	19.79	18.77	18.78	19.06	19.01(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	110	-1	-22	25.82	52%	-0.11	34.3	3.18%	-0.3	0	62	-0.1
13	Feb_3_2022	19.03	18.91	19.95	18.98	18.89	18.59	19.29(7.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-11	-130	-18	10	21.75	52%	-0.1	40.1	3.18%	1.4	0.2	64	-0.5
14	Feb_2_2022	19.05	18.81	19.99	19.45	19.37	18.49	18.02(-3.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-16	-330	-40	55	17.25	49%	-0.16	50.9	3.06%	-1.6	-0.5	63	-0
15	Feb_1_2022	19.08	18.73	20.11	20.11	20.1	19.19	18.59(-1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-320	-39	118	18.09	50%	-0.1	60.5	3.04%	-1.2	-0.1	65	-0.3

16	Jan_31_2022	19.1	18.62	20.13	20.62	20.6	20.25	18.96(-5.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	23	-120	-26	170	17.91	50%	-0.16	67.1	3.03%	-1.5	0.2	63	-0.8
17	Jan_28_2022	19.13	18.5	20.01	20.91	20.6	21	20.04(-7.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	51	10	-3	211	20.98	52%	0	69.2	2.95%	-0.6	0.8	71	-1.4
18	Jan_27_2022	19.13	18.31	19.77	21.04	21.03	20.96	21.65(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	74	-20	15	250	26.74	55%	0.05	69.4	2.82%	1.2	1.8	85	-1.8
19	Jan_26_2022	19.12	18.03	19.29	20.61	20.78	21.07	21.31(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	73	120	21	229	29.08	55%	0.05	63.1	2.82%	0.3	1.9	84	-2
20	Jan_25_2022	19.11	17.76	18.84	20.13	20.31	21.1	21.16(3.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	83	300	38	219	34.81	55%	0.1	52	2.82%	-0.3	2.2	87	-2.1

21	Jan_24_2022	19.09	17.5	18.45	19.57	19.61	20.5	20.4(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	87	320	47	207	50.28	54%	0.05	40.7	2.79%	0.7	2.1	85	-3.1
22	Jan_21_2022	19.08	17.31	18.12	18.97	18.94	19.53	20.67(5.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	80	210	47	180	35.46	54%	0	29.2	2.79%	1.9	2.7	83	-3
23	Jan_20_2022	19.08	17.11	17.74	18.32	18.32	18.72	19.52(3.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	63	150	35	147	18.64	51%	-0.05	18.9	2.69%	3.5	2.5	81	-2.2
24	Jan_19_2022	19.09	17	17.48	17.77	17.84	18.34	18.91(3.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	53	210	31	119	15.56	48%	-0.05	1.6	2.66%	1.4	2.5	79	-1.6
25	Jan_18_2022	19.1	16.97	17.19	17.36	17.4	17.92	18.35(5.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	38	220	22	87	16.9	46%		-8.2	2.65%	1.2	2.2	76	-1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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