Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 9, 2017

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $452.5000 (-0.44%) ($450.5000 - $459.0000) on Thu. Mar. 9, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $452.5000(-0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(24%)    TLT(22%)    UUP(19%)    PAVE(13%)    GDXJ(4%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-97%)    IWF(-96%)    IWD(-94%)    IVE(-94%)    VT(-91%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $458.47
5 Day Moving Average   $450.1(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $449.27(0.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $458.47(-1.3%)
To recent high   -16.2%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 2.99% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.25%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.44%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.33%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.43%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170409

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_9_2017	538.36	458.47	449.27	450.1	451.25	452.88	452.5(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	100	30	132	5	0.07	23%	-0.34	-89.3	1.2%	0	-0.4	38	0
2	Mar_8_2017	540.21	460.67	449.52	448.5	449.03	451.19	454.5(0.66%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	106	40	144	-9	0.07	23%	-0.35	-82.1	1.22%	0	-0.4	39	0
3	Mar_7_2017	542.1	462.9	449.63	444.9	446.33	449.63	451.5(0.78%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	125	60	178	-33	0.06	21%	-0.38	-80.6	1.21%	0	-0.6	32	0
4	Mar_6_2017	544.15	465.32	449.96	445.6	443.61	446.88	448(0.9%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.1	63	40	108	-73	0.07	21%	-0.37	-75.8	1.29%	0	-0.9	25	0
5	Mar_3_2017	546.15	467.85	451.49	446.4	445.25	443.04	444(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	8	-40	49	-114	0.09	21%	-0.37	-73	1.28%	0	-1.1	18	0

6	Mar_2_2017	548.2	471.06	453.61	448.4	447.35	440.35	444.5(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-362	-120	-382	-300	0.09	21%	-0.36	-66.3	1.29%	0	-1.2	17	0
7	Mar_1_2017	550.19	474.37	455.66	450.7	451.58	447.47	436.5(-4.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-369	-60	-383	-325	0.2	17%	-0.38	-60.3	1.26%	0	-1.7	6	0
8	Feb_28_2017	552.28	478.18	459.29	454.8	455.63	454.34	455(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-109	-10	-72	-221	0.08	19%	-0.3	-57.3	1.17%	0	-1.1	8	0
9	Feb_27_2017	553.94	480.93	461.47	454.9	456.17	455.69	452(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-131	0	-91	-251	0.07	19%	-0.32	-59.2	1.18%	0	-1.3	4	0
10	Feb_24_2017	555.74	483.51	464.75	457.4	457.33	456.91	454(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-103	-10	-57	-240	0.09	19%	-0.3	-62.1	1.18%	0	-1.4	8	0

11	Feb_23_2017	557.44	485.88	468.42	459.7	459.67	456.66	456(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-155	-50	-117	-268	0.07	19%	-0.3	-67.7	1.19%	0	-1.5	7	0
12	Feb_22_2017	559.14	488.17	472.68	461.5	462.25	457.75	457(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-303	-60	-291	-340	0.05	19%	-0.32	-74.3	1.19%	0	-1.6	7	0
13	Feb_21_2017	560.92	490.95	477.14	464.5	465.13	462.69	455.5(-1.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-311	-30	-301	-339	0.11	18%	-0.39	-77.1	1.19%	0	-2	5	0
14	Feb_17_2017	563.14	494.3	481.87	469	469.66	466.75	464.5(-0.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-158	-40	-126	-254	0.07	19%	-0.3	-72.6	1.19%	0	-1.7	9	0
15	Feb_16_2017	564.82	497.04	485.47	473.3	472.72	467.56	465.5(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-350	-80	-358	-327	0.1	19%	-0.26	-69.9	1.2%	0	-1.9	23	0

16	Feb_15_2017	566.32	499.95	489.9	478.6	477.97	472.56	465(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-382	-80	-405	-311	0.12	18%	-0.28	-65.7	1.2%	0	-2.3	26	0
17	Feb_14_2017	567.92	502.69	494.65	485.6	484.34	477.88	472(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-374	-100	-410	-265	0.08	18%	-0.29	-61.9	1.22%	0	-2.3	29	0
18	Feb_13_2017	569.57	505.23	498.77	491.7	491	483.38	478(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-403	-110	-454	-251	0.09	19%	-0.25	-57.1	1.21%	0	-2.3	26	0
19	Feb_10_2017	571.01	507.24	502.17	496.6	496.28	490.81	486(-1.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-377	-80	-428	-224	0.08	20%	-0.22	-53.6	1.21%	0	-2.1	24	0
20	Feb_9_2017	572.26	508.96	503.98	499.4	500.13	498.63	492(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-172	-20	-187	-128	0.11	19%	-0.23	-52.3	1.2%	0	-1.9	30	0

21	Feb_8_2017	573.58	510.18	504.92	502.9	501.94	501.75	500(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-63	-10	-58	-76	0.06	20%	-0.25	-49.4	1.25%	0	-1.3	31	0
22	Feb_7_2017	575.03	511.19	504.99	505.2	504.25	501.63	502.5(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-81	-40	-78	-88	0.06	16%	-0.25	-46.4	1.26%	0	-1.1	38	0
23	Feb_6_2017	576.46	512	505.81	507.1	506.44	502.13	502.5(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-205	-60	-227	-139	0.04	16%	-0.25	-53.3	1.48%	0	-1.2	36	0
24	Feb_3_2017	577.89	512.63	507.59	508.7	509.5	506.88	500(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-162	-30	-179	-110	0.08	16%	-0.24	-62.9	1.48%	0	-1.7	39	0
25	Feb_2_2017	579.27	513.64	509.38	509.1	511.83	510.75	509.5(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	0	16	-31	0.05	21%		-75.9	1.48%	0	-0.6	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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