Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $582.0000 (0.95%) ($573.0000 - $585.0000) on Thu. Dec. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.02% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $582.0000(0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(24%)    TLT(22%)    UUP(18%)    GDXJ(4%)    IGOV(4%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -1.01% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-97%)    IWF(-96%)    IWD(-94%)    IVE(-94%)    VT(-91%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.01% (StdDev 2.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

Resistance Level   $599.56
5 Day Moving Average   $574.3(1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $577.3(0.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $599.56(-2.93%)
To recent high   -14.9%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 5.46% (three month std-dev: 2.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.19%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.86%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.69%(17%) Average negative next three day return: -5.09%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 6.32%(17%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.84%(83%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_1_2016	621.18	599.56	577.3	574.3	573.41	574.44	582(0.95%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	73	10	106	-25	0.07	46%	-0.1	-57.5	2.02%	0	-0.5	33	INF
2	Nov_30_2016	621.8	603.78	578.5	572.4	571	571.75	576.5(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-51	0	-36	-95	0.06	46%	-0.11	-50.1	2%	0	-0.8	27	INF
3	Nov_29_2016	622.48	607.8	580.13	572.1	572.41	572.38	572(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	9	0	40	-83	0.06	46%	-0.14	-46.1	2%	0	-1	17	INF
4	Nov_28_2016	623.35	611.55	583.57	573.3	573.13	570.25	574(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-110	-40	-97	-149	0.05	46%	-0.15	-43.6	2.01%	0	-1	16	INF
5	Nov_25_2016	624.27	615.17	586.9	576.6	575.63	572.44	567(-0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-180	-40	-172	-204	0.03	46%	-0.32	-40.8	2%	0	-1.3	7	INF

6	Nov_23_2016	626.26	618.99	590.78	580.7	580.66	576	572.5(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-154	-60	-135	-212	0.04	46%	-0.22	-40	1.99%	0	-1.4	10	INF
7	Nov_22_2016	627.61	622.26	594.49	585.5	584.4	578.81	575(-0.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-257	-70	-251	-274	0.06	46%	-0.08	-38.2	1.99%	0	-1.5	16	INF
8	Nov_21_2016	628.14	625.28	599.89	589.3	589.77	585.31	578(-2.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-208	-50	-192	-255	0.09	46%	-0.18	-38.6	1.99%	0	-1.6	24	INF
9	Nov_18_2016	629.3	627.94	605.84	595.3	594.05	589.99	590.5(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-196	-50	-181	-242	0.04	48%	-0.17	-39.3	1.98%	0	-1.3	33	INF
10	Nov_17_2016	630.37	630.25	614.58	598.9	598.53	594.24	587.5(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-189	-50	-179	-218	0.09	48%	-0.22	-39.4	1.98%	0	-1.6	32	INF

11	Nov_16_2016	631.78	632.79	623.5	602.4	603.48	598.12	596.5(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-159	-60	-150	-184	0.06	48%	-0.27	-40.5	1.97%	0	-1.5	37	INF
12	Nov_15_2016	633.49	634.72	630.89	604.9	605.23	602.83	594(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-252	-30	-266	-209	0.09	48%	-0.34	-41.3	1.98%	0	-1.8	39	INF
13	Nov_14_2016	635.68	637.06	637.6	612.1	611.95	608.84	608(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-92	-40	-86	-109	0.09	50%	-0.25	-36.2	1.97%	0	-1.4	45	INF
14	Nov_11_2016	637.28	639.15	641.75	618.2	618.97	607.63	608.5(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-307	-120	-346	-189	0.1	50%	-0.13	-23.2	1.97%	0	-1.5	47	INF
15	Nov_10_2016	638.14	640.92	645.8	633.2	627.75	615.06	605(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-594	-170	-696	-286	0.22	50%	-0.18	0.3	1.97%	0	-1.9	43	INF

16	Nov_9_2016	639.31	642.93	649.87	648.1	646.49	630.32	609(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-382	-180	-460	-149	0.36	50%	-0.17	30.4	1.98%	0	-1.9	44	INF
17	Nov_8_2016	640.43	644.49	652.99	660.6	658.74	640.44	630(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-586	-200	-711	-212	0.11	54%	-0.15	61.1	1.93%	0	-0.9	53	INF
18	Nov_7_2016	641.38	644.95	653.53	666.4	666.86	662.66	638.5(-6.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-324	-40	-407	-75	0.17	54%	-0.16	70.6	1.92%	0	-0.4	53	INF
19	Nov_4_2016	642.38	643.95	652.67	668	668.77	677.03	683.5(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	306	90	333	226	0.14	63%	-0.07	71.4	1.76%	0	2.3	67	INF
20	Nov_3_2016	642.85	640.86	647.37	660.3	659.94	671.06	679.5(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	401	120	452	248	0.08	63%	-0.09	69.7	1.76%	0	2.5	69	INF

21	Nov_2_2016	643.43	637.63	642.5	652.4	651.84	660.5	671.5(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	426	90	489	237	0.13	63%	-0.1	62	1.76%	0	2.6	66	INF
22	Nov_1_2016	644.06	634.92	638.15	644.8	643.44	648.81	659(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	214	50	247	116	0.17	61%	-0.11	60.8	1.76%	0	2.3	64	INF
23	Oct_31_2016	644.77	633.24	635.61	639.1	638.91	643.19	646.5(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	189	50	222	88	0.05	59%	-0.1	54.7	1.74%	0	1.4	56	INF
24	Oct_28_2016	645.44	631.84	635.45	634.9	635.01	638.06	645(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	154	30	180	75	0.17	59%	-0.08	35.9	1.75%	0	1.4	69	INF
25	Oct_27_2016	645.94	630.3	634.84	632.4	630.51	634.63	640(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	55	40	64	29	0.07	59%		29	1.74%	0	1.1	59	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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