Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 31, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jan. 11, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF)
SPXS latest price $620.5000 (0.89%) ($617.0000 - $627.5000) on Wed. Aug. 31, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.23% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $620.5000(0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXS advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXS advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(25%)    TLT(22%)    UUP(18%)    IPO(8%)    IBUY(6%)
Factors Impacting SPXS price   SPXS will decline at least -1.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
IVW(-97%)    IWF(-96%)    IWD(-94%)    IVE(-94%)    VT(-91%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.115% (StdDev 2.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $617.2(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $613.92(1.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $614.12(1.04%)
To recent high   -23.4%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXS price fluctuates within 1.04% (three month std-dev: 2.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.97%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.22%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.65%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.45%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_31_2016	690.96	614.12	613.92	617.2	617.2	617.69	620.5(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	65	10	72	43	0.09	46%	-0.21	-38.5	2.23%	0	1	58	INF
2	Aug_30_2016	692.43	614.52	613.92	616.2	616.54	614.96	615(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-20	-31	-3	0.05	46%	-0.25	-33.9	2.22%	0	0.1	46	INF
3	Aug_29_2016	694.16	615.48	613.05	614.6	616.09	616.71	612(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3	10	2	7	0.07	46%	-0.25	-32.8	2.24%	0	-0.4	49	INF
4	Aug_26_2016	695.87	616.13	612.48	614.3	613.61	618.13	621(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	70	50	82	35	0.18	46%	-0.24	-35.6	2.24%	0	0.6	53	INF
5	Aug_25_2016	697.56	616.17	611.48	612.2	612.13	615.46	617.5(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	139	40	165	62	0.09	44%	-0.21	-41.9	2.24%	0	0.2	52	INF

6	Aug_24_2016	699	616.58	610.63	610.2	610.63	609.09	615.5(1.4%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	10	-20	16	-10	0.08	41%	-0.25	-48.9	2.25%	0	-0.1	39	INF
7	Aug_23_2016	700.73	617.16	610.83	609.6	609.95	608.8	607(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-99	-10	-110	-66	0.07	41%	-0.22	-49.3	2.28%	0	-1.1	32	INF
8	Aug_22_2016	702.31	618.17	611.55	611.3	612.48	612.18	610.5(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	14	0	24	-18	0.07	41%	-0.21	-47.2	2.28%	0	-0.9	30	INF
9	Aug_19_2016	703.78	619.04	611.98	610.3	612.55	611.1	610.5(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-10	-17	-41	0.05	41%	-0.23	-52.5	2.29%	0	-1	41	INF
10	Aug_18_2016	705.41	619.7	612.33	610.6	611.02	612.78	607.5(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	20	-35	-52	0.04	41%	-0.23	-58.6	2.29%	0	-1.4	41	INF

11	Aug_17_2016	707.02	620.89	614.38	611	611.59	614	612.5(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	89	30	115	9	0.08	44%	-0.24	-62.1	2.29%	0	-1	41	INF
12	Aug_16_2016	708.69	621.55	616.09	612.3	610.62	609.25	615.5(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-20	-11	-37	0.07	41%	-0.26	-68.2	2.32%	0	-0.7	42	INF
13	Aug_15_2016	710.54	622.36	618.01	612	611.59	609.19	605.5(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-82	-30	-87	-65	0.06	41%	-0.15	-76.5	2.34%	0	-2.1	35	INF
14	Aug_12_2016	711.61	623.62	620.09	613.9	613.53	611.99	612(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-20	-48	-46	0.08	44%	-0.27	-92.6	2.37%	0	-1.5	38	INF
15	Aug_11_2016	713.53	624.81	621.27	614.3	613.93	613.99	609.5(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-49	-0	-50	-47	0.07	47%	-0.27	-114.7	2.37%	0	-2.1	41	INF

16	Aug_10_2016	715.47	626.03	623.12	618.2	615.64	615.06	619(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-20	-21	-28	0.06	44%	-0.23	-137.6	2.39%	0	-1	41	INF
17	Aug_9_2016	717.15	627.21	624.03	620.6	619.05	613.88	614(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-106	-70	-121	-62	0.06	44%	-0.24	-149.2	2.42%	0	-1.7	43	INF
18	Aug_8_2016	718.88	628.7	625.42	625.1	624.4	616.22	615(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-197	-100	-230	-98	0.04	44%	-0.24	-141.7	2.42%	0	-1.4	39	INF
19	Aug_5_2016	720.62	630.78	626.83	627.2	629.37	624.22	614(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-165	-50	-194	-79	0.11	44%	-0.25	-127.1	2.42%	0	-1.5	41	INF
20	Aug_4_2016	722.46	633.25	627.92	629	630.86	632.59	629(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	30	-28	-13	0.05	44%	-0.26	-91.8	2.41%	0	-0.3	44	INF

21	Aug_3_2016	724.32	636.3	628.08	628.6	629.89	634.53	631(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	110	60	131	48	0.08	46%	-0.27	-82.3	2.42%	0	-0.3	48	INF
22	Aug_2_2016	726.3	639.21	627.47	628	628.38	629.13	636.5(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	84	10	102	29	0.13	46%	-0.26	-81.3	2.45%	0	-0.1	43	INF
23	Aug_1_2016	728.19	642.43	626.86	626.1	626.75	625.25	625.5(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-58	-10	-62	-45	0.08	46%	-0.27	-98.8	2.45%	0	-0.7	33	INF
24	Jul_29_2016	730.16	645.65	627.26	626.1	627.82	627.63	623(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-21	0	-16	-36	0.08	46%	-0.33	-104.2	2.47%	0	-0.8	24	INF
25	Jul_28_2016	732.6	649.21	628.48	626.6	628.14	628.25	627(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	10	10	-36	0.05	46%		-99.8	2.48%	0	-0.8	22	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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