Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ SPXL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 6, 2022

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $86.4400 (0.8%) ($85.7300 - $89.5380) on Mon. Jun. 6, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.95% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $86.4400(0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL advances 6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(98%)    IWF(97%)    IVE(96%)    DIA(94%)    IWD(94%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -2.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-34%)    UUP(-30%)    TBT(-13%)    VXX(-6%)    UNG(9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.475% (StdDev 4.95%)
Hourly BBV -0.6 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $87.03(-0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.17(2.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.3(6.32%)
To recent high   -32.4%
To recent low   17.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 6.2% (three month std-dev: 4.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 3.5%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 13.52%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 8.39%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220706

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_6_2022	104.19	81.3	84.17	87.03	87.14	86.98	86.44(0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10	-5	71	6.99	49%	-0.47	-17.1	4.95%	-0.6	1	57	1.1
2	Jun_3_2022	104.68	81.32	82.99	87.54	87.17	87.21	85.75(-4.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-10	1	69	8.43	49%	-0.48	-15.2	4.95%	-0.5	0.9	55	1.4
3	Jun_2_2022	105.18	81.45	81.83	86.96	87.24	87.29	90.14(5.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	10	23	72	9.21	51%	-0.48	-26.3	4.92%	1.3	1.6	65	1.3
4	Jun_1_2022	105.69	81.81	80.3	84.59	85.54	87.12	85.37(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	160	23	51	12.14	48%	-0.51	-26.9	4.92%	-0.3	0.5	61	1.5
5	May_31_2022	106.23	82.07	80.19	82.76	83.14	87.19	87.45(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	60	350	61	58	9.33	48%	-0.73	-33.3	4.97%	0.9	0.8	58	1.4

6	May_27_2022	107.01	82.17	79.4	80.86	80.01	83.95	89.01(7.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	73	310	80	51	9.04	48%	-0.46	-46.2	4.94%	1.4	1	59	1.8
7	May_26_2022	107.5	82.11	78.51	77.83	77.48	79.08	82.84(5.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	130	52	4	10.21	46%	-0.52	-56.8	4.88%	1.4	0.1	44	1.8
8	May_25_2022	108.06	82.89	77.81	76	75.6	76.08	78.28(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	30	10	-47	9.53	46%	-0.63	-64.8	4.86%	1.5	-0.6	38	1.7
9	May_24_2022	108.75	83.62	77.63	75.39	74.84	75.88	76.21(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	80	-8	-90	9.91	47%	-0.65	-76.1	4.92%	0.6	-0.9	29	2.1
10	May_23_2022	109.46	84.43	78.02	77.24	75.72	75.13	77.97(5.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-110	-1	-88	8.28	46%	-0.61	-76.7	4.95%	1.2	-0.7	40	2.2

11	May_20_2022	110.13	85.55	78.18	77.76	77.67	73.8	73.85(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-62	-350	-44	-117	14.26	44%	-0.65	-76.6	4.91%	-1	-1.3	37	2
12	May_19_2022	110.85	86.85	79.57	79.28	79.45	76.32	73.71(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-78	-270	-65	-116	12.03	44%	-0.65	-72.2	4.95%	-1	-1.3	39	1.7
13	May_18_2022	111.58	88.56	81.14	79.76	81	81.54	75.23(-11.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	90	-6	-100	11.12	44%	-0.64	-67.8	4.99%	-2.1	-1.3	33	2
14	May_17_2022	112.3	90.43	83.55	79.99	80.11	82.59	85.42(5.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	9	220	37	-77	9.31	46%	-0.54	-63	4.77%	1.9	-0.4	45	1.8
15	May_16_2022	112.91	91.77	84.11	78.94	78.7	80.45	80.59(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	150	30	-89	8.98	44%	-0.3	-62.3	4.76%	0.7	-1	42	2.4

16	May_13_2022	113.25	93.16	85.12	78.76	78.86	77.63	81.46(7.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-110	-3	-117	12.15	45%	-0.53	-66.3	4.73%	1	-1	37	1.6
17	May_12_2022	113.85	94.51	85.92	80.12	79.29	76.94	76.09(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-88	-240	-68	-148	15.01	43%	-0.55	-66.8	4.67%	-1.3	-1.6	34	1.6
18	May_11_2022	114.48	96.37	88.33	82.84	82.46	80.09	76.4(-4.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-80	-210	-62	-134	14.08	41%	-0.5	-64.3	4.71%	-2.3	-1.8	30	1.8
19	May_10_2022	115.06	98.06	90.13	87.65	85.96	81.64	80.14(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-83	-410	-68	-126	13.24	40%	-0.42	-62.5	4.73%	-0.7	-1.7	29	2.4
20	May_9_2022	115.54	99.61	91.48	90.04	89.62	84.82	79.72(-9.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-97	-390	-83	-139	12.69	41%	-0.46	-66.4	4.77%	-1.6	-2	29	2

21	May_6_2022	116.07	101.48	93.68	92.26	92.09	90.28	88.23(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-67	-140	-48	-122	13.01	44%	-0.41	-67.3	4.6%	-1	-1.4	37	1.4
22	May_5_2022	116.55	102.93	94.84	92.48	92.43	94.41	89.73(-10.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	150	-6	-113	17.27	44%	-0.43	-68.6	4.64%	-1.8	-1.4	38	1.7
23	May_4_2022	117.05	104.24	96.65	94.61	92.64	93.91	100.43(9.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	30	42	-89	15.17	47%	-0.28	-69.3	4.48%	2.8	-0.4	41	1
24	May_3_2022	117.38	105.13	97.77	93.2	93.15	90.46	92.09(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-200	-15	-121	11	41%	-0.38	-73.8	4.32%	0.4	-1.4	37	-0.9
25	May_2_2022	117.83	106.69	99.87	93.28	93.68	91.38	90.81(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-88	-160	-72	-137	12.95	41%		-72.7	4.41%	-1	-1.6	35	-0.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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