Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 20, 2019

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $52.4100 (2.78%) ($51.2600 - $52.6300) on Thu. Jun. 20, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.3% (three month average)
RSI   92
Latest Price   $52.4100(2.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL advances 6.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    DIA(96%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -1.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-30%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-12%)    IFRA(-11%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.15% (StdDev 2.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.41(3.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.67(5.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.31(10.78%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 5.9% (three month std-dev: 2.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2019	46.84	47.31	49.67	50.41			52.41(2.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	50	-10000	11	166	4.13	55%	0.28	29.2	2.3%	0	1.8	92	1.8
2	Jun_19_2019	46.71	47.04	49.11	49.78			50.99(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	47	-10000	8	165	3.78	53%	0.28	25.7	2.28%	0	1.6	76	2.1
3	Jun_18_2019	46.58	46.86	48.61	49.31			50.54(2.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	46	-10000	6	165	4.2	53%	0.28	25	2.28%	0	1.6	76	1.6
4	Jun_17_2019	46.45	46.65	48.05	48.97			49.11(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	1	160	1.84	51%	0.22	25.6	2.25%	0	1.1	67	1.6
5	Jun_14_2019	46.35	46.56	47.4	48.93			49.01(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	-10000	3	142	2.06	51%	0.24	23.3	2.26%	0	1.1	60	1.5

6	Jun_13_2019	46.24	46.51	46.78	48.78			49.24(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	9	125	3.01	51%	0.24	22.1	2.26%	0	1.3	61	-3.7
7	Jun_12_2019	46.13	46.4	46.27	48.31			48.63(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	10	94	3.02	51%	0.24	13.5	2.27%	0	1.1	52	1.1
8	Jun_11_2019	46.02	46.28	45.78	47.79			48.88(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10000	15	59	3.7	54%	0.07	0.5	2.27%	0	1.3	51	1
9	Jun_10_2019	45.99	46.09	45.35	46.98			48.91(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	26	26	5.06	54%	0.22	-26.1	2.33%	0	1.5	55	1
10	Jun_7_2019	45.89	46.06	45.01	45.61			48.26(2.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	10	-10000	22	-27	5.32	54%	0.24	-53.4	2.32%	0	1.2	50	1.1

11	Jun_6_2019	45.78	46.05	44.72	44.47			46.89(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-13	-10000	10	-82	4.73	52%	0.22	-74.8	2.32%	0	0.4	43	1.1
12	Jun_5_2019	45.68	46.12	44.74	43.94			45.99(2.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-19	-10000	8	-99	4.6	52%	0.22	-84.2	2.32%	0	-0.1	45	0.7
13	Jun_4_2019	45.58	46.26	44.89	43.52			44.83(6.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-28	-10000	0	-111	5.98	50%	0.2	-92.9	2.3%	0	-0.7	45	0.4
14	Jun_3_2019	45.49	46.59	45.07	43.51			42.1(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-10000	-16	-120	7.02	45%	0.13	-84.7	2.16%	0	-1.9	41	-0.8
15	May_31_2019	45.43	47.09	45.64	44.3			42.52(-3.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-10000	-14	-100	5.22	45%	0.15	-75.2	2.17%	0	-1.9	32	-0.4

16	May_30_2019	45.36	47.51	46.26	44.98			44.25(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-14	-81	4.63	48%	0.18	-73.4	2.13%	0	-1.4	38	-0.3
17	May_29_2019	45.28	47.86	46.59	45.64			43.88(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-10000	-16	-68	6.78	48%	0.2	-67.8	2.15%	0	-1.8	35	-0.5
18	May_28_2019	45.19	48.28	46.88	46.46			44.8(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-10000	-8	-52	3.67	48%	0.51	-58.3	2.15%	0	-1.6	37	-0.4
19	May_24_2019	44.96	48.65	46.98	46.85			46.06(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-7	-76	3.73	51%	0.36	-50	2.07%	0	-1.2	33	-0.5
20	May_23_2019	44.8	48.95	47.26	47.18			45.89(-3.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-11	-84	7.81	51%	0.29	-44.1	2.09%	0	-1.4	31	-0.7

21	May_22_2019	44.67	49.23	47.52	47.73			47.57(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-19	-10000	1	-77	3.59	54%	0.07	-36.7	2.05%	0	-0.8	40	-1.1
22	May_21_2019	44.64	49.42	47.64	47.68			47.99(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	-10000	6	-89	2.98	54%	0.34	-35.3	2.06%	0	-0.7	40	-0.6
23	May_20_2019	44.49	49.61	47.73	47.39			46.74(-2.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-25	-10000	6	-118	4.86	52%	0.36	-37	2.04%	0	-1.4	33	-0.8
24	May_17_2019	44.33	49.81	48.19	47.11			47.73(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-38	-10000	-5	-138	6.04	54%	0.36	-42.3	2.01%	0	-1	35	-0.9
25	May_16_2019	44.17	49.94	48.61	47.36			48.62(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-31	-10000	1	-128	4.83	54%		-38.8	2.01%	0	-0.7	38	-0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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