Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 2, 2017

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $32.3700 (-1.79%) ($32.3300 - $32.8900) on Thu. Mar. 2, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $32.3700(-1.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(91%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-19%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.14(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.8(1.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.71(5.41%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   28.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 4.4% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170402

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2017	26.93	30.71	31.8	32.14			32.37(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	7	145	3.06	77%	0.34	69.3	1.3%	0	1.2	83	0
2	Mar_1_2017	26.84	30.51	31.67	31.99			32.96(4.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	53	-10000	13	173	3.87	81%	0.37	63.5	1.27%	0	1.8	93	0
3	Feb_28_2017	26.74	30.27	31.43	31.99			31.65(-0.81%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0.1	47	-10000	0	188	2.72	79%	0.3	60.6	1.18%	0	1	92	0
4	Feb_27_2017	26.66	30.11	31.29	31.72			31.91(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	61	-10000	9	217	3.12	79%	0.34	62.4	1.19%	0	1.4	97	0
5	Feb_24_2017	26.57	29.95	31.08	31.56			31.79(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	62	-10000	9	221	2.39	79%	0.3	65.1	1.19%	0	1.4	92	0

6	Feb_23_2017	26.49	29.8	30.85	31.4			31.66(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	61	-10000	6	226	3.49	79%	0.3	70.2	1.2%	0	1.5	94	0
7	Feb_22_2017	26.41	29.66	30.58	31.28			31.6(-0.16%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.3	66	-10000	10	232	2.67	79%	0.3	76.8	1.2%	0	1.7	94	0
8	Feb_21_2017	26.33	29.49	30.31	31.09			31.65(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	70	-10000	16	230	2.73	80%	0.38	78.7	1.2%	0	2	95	0
9	Feb_17_2017	26.23	29.3	30.02	30.8			31.11(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	65	-10000	15	213	2.23	79%	0.27	74.8	1.21%	0	1.8	93	0
10	Feb_16_2017	26.16	29.14	29.8	30.52			31(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	61	-10000	17	193	3.2	79%	0.27	71.7	1.22%	0	1.9	77	0

11	Feb_15_2017	26.09	28.97	29.53	30.2			31.06(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	58	-10000	24	160	2.55	81%	0.27	66.7	1.22%	0	2.4	75	0
12	Feb_14_2017	26.02	28.81	29.25	29.77			30.61(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	42	-10000	20	108	2.17	80%	0.27	61.9	1.23%	0	2.4	70	0
13	Feb_13_2017	25.95	28.67	29.01	29.41			30.21(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	30	-10000	16	73	2.52	79%	0.27	56.5	1.23%	0	2.4	74	0
14	Feb_10_2017	25.88	28.56	28.81	29.13			29.74(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	21	-10000	10	54	2.31	78%	0.19	52.7	1.22%	0	2.2	76	0
15	Feb_9_2017	25.83	28.47	28.71	28.96			29.4(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	12	53	2.45	80%	0.19	50.9	1.22%	0	2	69	0

16	Feb_8_2017	25.78	28.4	28.71	28.75			28.89(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	6	49	1.59	79%	0.23	46.5	1.26%	0	1.2	68	0
17	Feb_7_2017	25.72	28.35	28.66	28.64			28.8(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	18	-10000	6	54	2.21	82%	0.23	44.1	1.27%	0	1.1	61	0
18	Feb_6_2017	25.66	28.31	28.62	28.54			28.8(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	4	44	2.29	82%	0.2	50.4	1.49%	0	1.2	63	0
19	Feb_3_2017	25.61	28.28	28.53	28.45			28.93(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	9	-10000	1	32	3.75	82%	0.23	59	1.49%	0	1.7	59	0
20	Feb_2_2017	25.55	28.23	28.43	28.43			28.35(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-6	29	2.63	77%	0.2	69.5	1.49%	0	0.3	56	0

21	Feb_1_2017	25.5	28.21	28.38	28.55			28.33(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10000	-6	34	3.9	73%	0.24	81.3	1.52%	0	0.3	52	0
22	Jan_31_2017	25.44	28.18	28.36	28.69			28.29(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	12	-10000	-0	48	2.99	73%	0.16	84.1	1.55%	0	0.3	55	0
23	Jan_30_2017	25.4	28.11	28.32	28.7			28.33(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	16	-10000	5	50	4.16	73%	0.24	75.4	1.55%	0	0.5	55	0
24	Jan_27_2017	25.34	28.06	28.3	28.6			28.85(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	8	44	2.08	77%	0.16	51.5	1.53%	0	1.6	57	0
25	Jan_26_2017	25.3	27.98	28.21	28.43			28.96(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	-10000	12	34	3.26	77%		35.5	1.54%	0	2	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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