Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 9, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $27.5900 (1.81%) ($27.1800 - $27.5900) on Fri. Dec. 9, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.86% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $27.5900(1.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(91%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -0.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.93% (StdDev 1.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.62(3.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.04(5.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.54(8.03%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   27.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 3.41% (three month std-dev: 1.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_9_2016	24.27	25.54	26.04	26.62			27.59(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	37	-10000	20	89	3.37	56%	0.12	97.7	1.86%	0	2.4	80	0
2	Dec_8_2016	24.24	25.37	25.84	26.13			27.1(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	26	-10000	15	58	3.37	56%	0.12	110	2.07%	0	2.3	74	0
3	Dec_7_2016	24.21	25.21	25.68	25.74			26.89(3.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	19	-10000	11	42	3.24	56%	0.12	122.2	2.08%	0	2.5	76	0
4	Dec_6_2016	24.18	25.04	25.53	25.45			25.88(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	2	30	2.39	53%	0.04	119	2.02%	0	1.3	68	0
5	Dec_5_2016	24.17	24.9	25.48	25.4			25.62(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	1	39	3.28	53%	0.08	105.2	2.02%	0	0.9	72	0

6	Dec_2_2016	24.15	24.71	25.4	25.37			25.18(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-5	43	2.24	53%	0.04	73.1	2.02%	0	0.5	69	0
7	Dec_1_2016	24.14	24.55	25.39	25.5			25.15(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10000	-3	61	3.79	53%	0.08	60.4	2.03%	0	0.5	65	0
8	Nov_30_2016	24.12	24.41	25.35	25.59			25.41(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-10000	-1	76	4.19	53%	0.04	53.6	2.01%	0	0.8	72	0
9	Nov_29_2016	24.11	24.26	25.28	25.61			25.62(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	26	-10000	2	96	2.07	53%	0.12	49.3	2.01%	0	1	81	0
10	Nov_28_2016	24.08	24.13	25.15	25.56			25.49(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	5	109	2.6	53%	0.08	46.6	2.02%	0	1	83	0

11	Nov_25_2016	24.06	24	25.02	25.43			25.85(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-10000	7	133	2.28	53%	0.25	42.9	2.01%	0	1.4	93	0
12	Nov_23_2016	24	23.85	24.86	25.26			25.58(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	-10000	8	156	2.71	53%	0.17	41.7	2%	0	1.4	90	0
13	Nov_22_2016	23.96	23.73	24.71	25.07			25.53(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	47	-10000	6	171	4.91	53%	0.04	39.4	2%	0	1.6	84	0
14	Nov_21_2016	23.95	23.62	24.5	24.91			25.36(2.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	51	-10000	9	177	2.59	53%	0.17	38.9	2%	0	1.7	76	0
15	Nov_18_2016	23.91	23.53	24.27	24.68			24.82(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	-10000	6	167	2.64	51%	0.13	39.3	1.98%	0	1.3	67	0

16	Nov_17_2016	23.88	23.45	23.97	24.54			24.99(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	-10000	6	146	3.22	51%	0.13	39	1.98%	0	1.7	68	0
17	Nov_16_2016	23.85	23.37	23.66	24.4			24.64(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	4	122	2.62	51%	0.21	39.3	1.98%	0	1.5	63	0
18	Nov_15_2016	23.8	23.3	23.4	24.3			24.74(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-10000	11	104	5.88	51%	0.25	39.4	1.99%	0	1.8	61	0
19	Nov_14_2016	23.74	23.22	23.16	24.03			24.19(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	10	73	4.45	48%	0.17	32.8	1.97%	0	1.3	55	0
20	Nov_11_2016	23.7	23.16	23.02	23.8			24.15(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	22	52	5.27	48%	0.04	17.2	1.97%	0	1.4	52	0

21	Nov_10_2016	23.69	23.1	22.89	23.3			24.29(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	20	-10000	23	10	8.04	48%	0.13	-7.3	1.98%	0	1.8	56	0
22	Nov_9_2016	23.66	23.04	22.75	22.79			24.13(3.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	6	-10000	19	-33	10.29	48%	0.08	-37.7	1.98%	0	1.8	55	0
23	Nov_8_2016	23.64	22.99	22.75	22.37			23.38(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-11	-10000	9	-72	6.89	45%	0.08	-65.7	1.93%	0	0.7	47	0
24	Nov_7_2016	23.62	22.98	22.65	22.18			23.06(6.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-22	-10000	1	-89	6.53	45%	0.08	-72.2	1.93%	0	0.1	46	0
25	Nov_4_2016	23.6	23.03	22.7	22.15			21.64(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-10000	-13	-96	4.52	39%		-71.2	1.77%	0	-2.2	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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