Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $21.8900 (0.92%) ($21.6900 - $22.0400) on Tue. Jun. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $21.8900(0.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(91%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-19%)    IPO(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $21.97
5 Day Moving Average   $21.56(1.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.82(0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.97(-0.36%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 2.09% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160721

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_21_2016	20.13	21.97	21.82	21.56			21.89(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	-10000	5	-62	3.28	39%	0.25	45	1.74%	0	-0.2	46	0
2	Jun_20_2016	20.08	21.92	21.89	21.47			21.69(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	-10000	2	-65	5.21	39%	0.2	30.1	1.74%	0	-0.4	46	0
3	Jun_17_2016	20.04	21.88	21.97	21.44			21.3(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-9	-68	7.28	35%	0.25	27.4	1.73%	0	-1	39	0
4	Jun_16_2016	19.99	21.84	22.06	21.6			21.56(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-13	-52	8.2	35%	0.3	26.4	1.74%	0	-0.4	47	0
5	Jun_15_2016	19.93	21.8	22.14	21.84			21.34(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-10000	-15	-26	7	35%	0.25	30.7	1.75%	0	-0.6	45	0

6	Jun_14_2016	19.88	21.77	22.24	22.13			21.44(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-7	-10000	-12	10	6.34	35%	0.25	33.9	1.75%	0	-0.4	54	0
7	Jun_13_2016	19.83	21.76	22.31	22.37			21.57(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-9	53	5.59	35%	0.25	43.9	1.74%	0	-0.2	67	0
8	Jun_10_2016	19.78	21.71	22.38	22.55			22.1(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	22	-10000	-1	91	6.92	47%	0.36	46.8	1.81%	0	0.5	74	0
9	Jun_9_2016	19.71	21.66	22.37	22.57			22.74(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	4	122	3.86	52%	0.36	49.9	1.76%	0	1.3	88	0
10	Jun_8_2016	19.64	21.58	22.28	22.5			22.82(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	40	-10000	7	138	3.12	52%	0.36	53	1.77%	0	1.6	83	0

11	Jun_7_2016	19.57	21.51	22.14	22.37			22.6(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	-10000	5	138	3.07	52%	0.15	56.9	1.82%	0	1.5	82	0
12	Jun_6_2016	19.54	21.42	21.95	22.26			22.51(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	4	125	4.92	52%	0.36	51.1	1.82%	0	1.6	67	0
13	Jun_3_2016	19.47	21.34	21.78	22.18			22.18(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	-10000	3	125	6.86	52%	0.26	50.2	1.82%	0	1.3	71	0
14	Jun_2_2016	19.42	21.26	21.6	22.13			22.37(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	-10000	5	113	3.24	52%	0.31	44.2	1.82%	0	1.7	63	0
15	Jun_1_2016	19.36	21.17	21.42	22.02			22.17(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	7	100	3.29	62%	0.26	32.6	1.82%	0	1.7	61	0

16	May_31_2016	19.31	21.1	21.26	21.88			22.05(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	15	76	4.24	52%	0.36	20.7	1.84%	0	1.7	52	0
17	May_27_2016	19.24	21.07	21.16	21.59			22.15(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	-10000	13	49	2.53	62%	0.26	4.6	2.06%	0	2.2	61	0
18	May_26_2016	19.19	21.01	20.99	21.3			21.89(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	-10000	14	24	2.7	62%	0.1	-21	2.07%	0	2	60	0
19	May_25_2016	19.17	21.01	20.9	21			21.85(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	10	-10000	12	5	5.15	62%	0.1	-43.8	2.08%	0	1.9	61	0
20	May_24_2016	19.15	20.98	20.9	20.74			21.44(3.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	3	-10000	8	-11	5.69	62%	0.1	-62.1	2.11%	0	1	58	0

21	May_23_2016	19.13	20.99	20.81	20.57			20.64(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-10000	-4	-21	3.39	57%	0.05	-72.1	2.06%	0	-0.7	46	0
22	May_20_2016	19.12	21.05	20.84	20.66			20.7(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	1	-19	4.04	62%	0	-66.8	2.16%	0	-0.7	41	0
23	May_19_2016	19.12	21.11	20.86	20.63			20.35(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-6	-28	7.96	62%	-0.05	-63.8	2.17%	0	-1.5	44	0
24	May_18_2016	19.13	21.18	20.89	20.77			20.57(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-10	-10000	-5	-26	8.47	62%	-0.05	-52.5	2.16%	0	-1.1	42	0
25	May_17_2016	19.14	21.26	20.91	20.88			20.57(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-9	-36	6.54	67%		-41.7	2.17%	0	-1.3	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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