Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $22.1700 (0.54%) ($21.7400 - $22.2400) on Wed. Jun. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.82% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $22.1700(0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(91%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -0.91% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-18%)    IPO(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.91% (StdDev 1.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.02(0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.42(3.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.17(4.72%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   19.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 2.79% (three month std-dev: 1.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_1_2016	19.36	21.17	21.42	22.02			22.17(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	7	100	3.29	62%	0.26	32.6	1.82%	0	1.7	61	0
2	May_31_2016	19.31	21.1	21.26	21.88			22.05(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	15	76	4.24	52%	0.36	20.7	1.84%	0	1.7	52	0
3	May_27_2016	19.24	21.07	21.16	21.59			22.15(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	-10000	13	49	2.53	62%	0.26	4.6	2.06%	0	2.2	61	0
4	May_26_2016	19.19	21.01	20.99	21.3			21.89(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	-10000	14	24	2.7	62%	0.1	-21	2.07%	0	2	60	0
5	May_25_2016	19.17	21.01	20.9	21			21.85(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	10	-10000	12	5	5.15	62%	0.1	-43.8	2.08%	0	1.9	61	0

6	May_24_2016	19.15	20.98	20.9	20.74			21.44(3.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	3	-10000	8	-11	5.69	62%	0.1	-62.1	2.11%	0	1	58	0
7	May_23_2016	19.13	20.99	20.81	20.57			20.64(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-10000	-4	-21	3.39	57%	0.05	-72.1	2.06%	0	-0.7	46	0
8	May_20_2016	19.12	21.05	20.84	20.66			20.7(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	1	-19	4.04	62%	0	-66.8	2.16%	0	-0.7	41	0
9	May_19_2016	19.12	21.11	20.86	20.63			20.35(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-6	-28	7.96	62%	-0.05	-63.8	2.17%	0	-1.5	44	0
10	May_18_2016	19.13	21.18	20.89	20.77			20.57(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-10	-10000	-5	-26	8.47	62%	-0.05	-52.5	2.16%	0	-1.1	42	0

11	May_17_2016	19.14	21.26	20.91	20.88			20.57(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-9	-36	6.54	67%	0	-41.7	2.17%	0	-1.3	37	0
12	May_16_2016	19.14	21.35	20.96	21.09			21.12(2.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10000	2	-27	5.2	74%	0.1	-22.1	2.21%	0	-0.4	42	0
13	May_13_2016	19.12	21.39	20.99	21.05			20.52(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-3	-34	6.48	73%	-0.05	-11.7	2.26%	0	-1.6	37	0
14	May_12_2016	19.13	21.44	21.05	21.12			21.08(-0.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	-10000	4	-37	5.45	81%	0	0	2.25%	0	-0.7	40	0
15	May_11_2016	19.13	21.47	21.08	21.03			21.1(-2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	-10000	4	-47	5.99	74%	0	5.7	2.35%	0	-0.8	41	0

16	May_10_2016	19.13	21.5	21.16	20.94			21.65(3.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-10	-10000	5	-55	4.24	79%	0.1	5.3	2.38%	0	0.3	41	0
17	May_9_2016	19.11	21.47	21.17	20.81			20.92(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-10000	-5	-73	4.61	77%	0.05	2	2.35%	0	-1	31	0
18	May_6_2016	19.1	21.45	21.25	20.93			20.85(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-2	-66	5.84	70%	0	2.7	2.4%	0	-1.1	35	0
19	May_5_2016	19.1	21.45	21.36	20.98			20.62(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-6	-61	5	62%	-0.05	-0.7	2.42%	0	-1.4	40	0
20	May_4_2016	19.11	21.44	21.49	21.13			20.65(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-10	-49	6.28	62%	0	3	2.54%	0	-1.4	40	0

21	May_3_2016	19.11	21.47	21.65	21.4			21(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	-7	-27	5.11	62%	0.05	16.7	2.52%	0	-0.8	44	0
22	May_2_2016	19.1	21.45	21.78	21.58			21.55(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-10000	-2	-2	4.67	59%	0.1	23	2.5%	0	0.2	61	0
23	Apr_29_2016	19.08	21.43	21.82	21.63			21.06(-1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	-10000	-6	14	8.39	64%	0	32.5	2.57%	0	-0.6	64	0
24	Apr_28_2016	19.08	21.45	21.88	21.8			21.41(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-10000	-3	34	7.45	64%	0	50	2.7%	0	-0.1	66	0
25	Apr_27_2016	19.08	21.43	21.91	21.89			22(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-10000	-2	53	4.42	64%		59.6	2.68%	0	1	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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