Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $22.0700 (0.78%) ($21.7800 - $22.2700) on Thu. Apr. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.6% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $22.0700(0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(95%)    QQQ(92%)    VT(92%)    VYM(88%)    XLK(88%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -1.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-24%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.3% (StdDev 2.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

Resistance Level   $22.32
5 Day Moving Average   $22.13(-0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.38(-1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.32(-1.12%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 2.73% (three month std-dev: 2.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150502

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_2_2015	21.98	22.32	22.38	22.13			22.07(0.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10000	2	-22	2.66	61%	0.05	-49.1	2.6%	0	-0.4	55	0
2	Apr_1_2015	21.97	22.38	22.45	22.07			21.9(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-0	-21	6.76	61%	0.05	-52.8	2.6%	0	-0.8	50	0
3	Mar_31_2015	21.96	22.44	22.58	22.08			22.11(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-10000	-6	-6	5.35	59%	0	-54.1	2.61%	0	-0.5	58	0
4	Mar_30_2015	21.96	22.51	22.62	22.24			22.7(3.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	-10000	-4	13	3.76	59%	0.09	-46.3	2.62%	0	0.3	61	0
5	Mar_27_2015	21.94	22.56	22.62	22.36			21.89(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-10000	-11	18	3.3	57%	0.05	-39.5	2.57%	0	-0.9	47	0

6	Mar_26_2015	21.93	22.63	22.6	22.67			21.76(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-10000	-7	33	5.02	57%	0.05	-29.1	2.59%	0	-1.2	48	0
7	Mar_25_2015	21.92	22.72	22.66	22.89			21.92(-4.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	3	-10000	-8	35	6.8	57%	0.09	-19	2.59%	0	-1.1	43	0
8	Mar_24_2015	21.9	22.81	22.62	23.14			22.91(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	4	39	3.14	60%	0.09	-6.8	2.55%	0	0.1	48	0
9	Mar_23_2015	21.88	22.84	22.48	23.03			23.32(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	5	14	3.96	60%	0.14	-7.6	2.54%	0	0.6	48	0
10	Mar_20_2015	21.85	22.84	22.39	22.89			23.45(2.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	-10000	12	-4	7.08	60%	0.14	-10.2	2.52%	0	0.8	46	0

11	Mar_19_2015	21.82	22.85	22.26	22.54			22.84(-1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	5	-37	5.86	58%	0.18	-18.9	2.52%	0	-0	46	0
12	Mar_18_2015	21.78	22.85	22.28	22.39			23.18(3.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-2	-10000	13	-46	7.74	62%	0.18	-18.3	2.52%	0	0.4	46	0
13	Mar_17_2015	21.74	22.86	22.27	22.02			22.37(-0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	-10000	6	-72	4.71	63%	0.14	-25.9	2.65%	0	-0.7	39	0
14	Mar_16_2015	21.71	22.9	22.36	21.84			22.59(4.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-21	-10000	0	-85	4.95	63%	0.18	-22.3	2.74%	0	-0.4	40	0
15	Mar_13_2015	21.67	22.92	22.47	21.83			21.7(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-4	-87	7.77	61%	0.14	-14.8	2.71%	0	-1.6	34	0

16	Mar_12_2015	21.64	22.99	22.63	21.94			22.13(3.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-27	-10000	-8	-85	4.32	58%	0.19	-6.3	2.72%	0	-1.2	36	0
17	Mar_11_2015	21.6	23	22.78	22.17			21.3(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-27	-10000	-12	-72	4.09	56%	0.14	8.6	2.75%	0	-2.4	32	0
18	Mar_10_2015	21.57	23.05	23.02	22.55			21.46(-4.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-22	-10000	-13	-50	6.69	53%	0.23	31.6	2.75%	0	-2.6	33	0
19	Mar_9_2015	21.52	23.07	23.26	22.96			22.55(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-7	-23	2.71	56%	0.28	56.9	2.75%	0	-0.8	43	0
20	Mar_6_2015	21.46	23.04	23.37	23.2			22.28(-4.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-7	-10000	-7	-7	6.67	56%	0.28	75.3	2.74%	0	-1.1	41	0

21	Mar_5_2015	21.4	23.03	23.51	23.41			23.26(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-2	13	2.82	59%	0.33	91.4	2.7%	0	0.3	63	0
22	Mar_4_2015	21.33	22.94	23.5	23.48			23.2(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-3	25	3.91	59%	0.33	91.6	2.7%	0	0.3	71	0
23	Mar_3_2015	21.26	22.86	23.51	23.57			23.49(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-10000	-2	41	4.57	59%	0.33	92.5	2.7%	0	0.7	78	0
24	Mar_2_2015	21.19	22.72	23.48	23.62			23.78(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	17	-10000	2	62	2.71	59%	0.28	78.5	2.7%	0	1.1	88	0
25	Feb_27_2015	21.13	22.54	23.41	23.57			23.34(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-10000	-2	72	2.37	59%		61.2	2.67%	0	0.7	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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