Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: SPXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 29, 2012 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF)
SPXL latest price $22.0000 (7.37%) ($21.1500 - $22.0300) on Thu. Dec. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.74% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $22.0000(7.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SPXL advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPXL declines -4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(95%)    QQQ(92%)    VT(92%)    VYM(88%)    XLK(88%)
Factors Impacting SPXL price   SPXL will decline at least -1.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-34%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.37% (StdDev 2.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $12.43(-43.5%)
5 Day Moving Average   $20.39(7.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.05(4.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.62(1.76%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   35.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SPXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SPXL price fluctuates within 4.35% (three month std-dev: 2.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_18_2014	19.9	21.62	21.05	20.39			22(7.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-20	-10000	5	-93	9.43	53%	0.15	-34.3	2.74%	0	0.4	47	0
2	Dec_17_2014	19.87	21.6	21.06	20.24			20.49(5.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-31	-10000	-4	-113	8.04	49%	0.05	-37.4	2.59%	0	-1.2	35	0
3	Dec_16_2014	19.86	21.67	21.26	20.34			19.36(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-44	-10000	-20	-117	10.26	46%	0	-34.2	2.48%	0	-2.6	25	0
4	Dec_15_2014	19.86	21.79	21.56	20.87			19.83(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-35	-10000	-17	-87	7.93	46%	0	-22.1	2.48%	0	-2.7	27	0
5	Dec_12_2014	19.86	21.88	21.78	21.32			20.25(-4.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-29	-10000	-17	-64	7.49	45%	0	-4.2	2.47%	0	-2.8	32	0

6	Dec_11_2014	19.86	21.88	22	21.78			21.28(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-9	-30	7.44	48%	0.1	25.7	2.4%	0	-1.5	46	0
7	Dec_10_2014	19.84	21.95	22.12	22.01			20.98(-4.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-11	-10000	-11	-9	8.66	48%	0.05	44.8	2.4%	0	-2.1	45	0
8	Dec_9_2014	19.83	21.98	22.27	22.31			22.03(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-2	20	10.63	50%	0.15	80.6	2.32%	0	0.1	56	0
9	Dec_8_2014	19.8	21.95	22.3	22.36			22.08(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	10	-10000	2	34	4.39	50%	0.1	85.9	2.34%	0	0.3	63	0
10	Dec_5_2014	19.78	21.9	22.31	22.31			22.54(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	2	40	3.88	50%	0.2	83.1	2.32%	0	1.3	72	0

11	Dec_4_2014	19.74	21.83	22.24	22.26			22.42(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	-0	42	5.35	50%	0.15	90.6	2.33%	0	1.2	71	0
12	Dec_3_2014	19.71	21.75	22.17	22.27			22.5(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	2	48	4.53	50%	0.15	100	2.33%	0	1.5	73	0
13	Dec_2_2014	19.68	21.65	22.09	22.22			22.24(1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	12	-10000	-1	50	2.6	50%	0.15	98.4	2.32%	0	1.1	69	0
14	Dec_1_2014	19.65	21.57	22.02	22.24			21.83(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-10000	-3	53	4.56	50%	0.1	110.6	2.32%	0	0.5	65	0
15	Nov_28_2014	19.63	21.51	21.98	22.31			22.31(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	4	65	2.49	50%	0.15	121.9	2.3%	0	1.3	83	0

16	Nov_26_2014	19.6	21.39	21.88	22.2			22.45(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	-10000	6	64	2.82	50%	0.2	102.6	2.28%	0	1.4	89	0
17	Nov_25_2014	19.56	21.25	21.77	22.05			22.29(-0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	18	-10000	4	60	8.82	50%	0.15	103.5	2.28%	0	1.3	90	0
18	Nov_24_2014	19.53	21.12	21.67	21.94			22.33(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	22	-10000	7	66	8.33	50%	0.1	98.3	2.28%	0	1.4	93	0
19	Nov_21_2014	19.51	20.96	21.56	21.76			22.15(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	20	-10000	6	62	7.06	50%	0.15	97.4	2.28%	0	1.3	83	0
20	Nov_20_2014	19.48	20.8	21.45	21.6			21.79(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	17	-10000	3	57	3.31	50%	0.1	98.3	2.28%	0	1	81	0

21	Nov_19_2014	19.46	20.65	21.38	21.52			21.67(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	3	65	4.39	50%	0.1	97.7	2.28%	0	1	86	0
22	Nov_18_2014	19.44	20.47	21.3	21.44			21.78(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	-10000	3	76	4.1	51%	0.15	99.1	2.28%	0	1.2	91	0
23	Nov_17_2014	19.41	20.31	21.16	21.36			21.41(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	21	-10000	1	81	4.7	51%	0.15	95.9	2.29%	0	0.9	88	0
24	Nov_14_2014	19.38	20.11	21.09	21.33			21.37(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	27	-10000	2	101	4.04	51%	0.1	89.7	2.29%	0	0.9	91	0
25	Nov_13_2014	19.36	19.9	21.01	21.28			21.35(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	31	-10000	2	119	5.43	53%		78.8	2.29%	0	0.9	88	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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