Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 15, 2020

Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 28, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF)
SPLV latest price $49.9400 (-3.31%) ($49.6800 - $50.5700) on Wed. Apr. 15, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.95% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $49.9400(-3.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPLV advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPLV advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(83%)    IVE(82%)    IWD(82%)    SDY(82%)    SPY(79%)
Factors Impacting SPLV price   SPLV will decline at least -1.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-49%)    UUP(-25%)    VXX(-19%)    TBT(-0%)    TLT(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.975% (StdDev 3.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.62(-1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.5(2.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.7(6.94%)
To recent high   -19.5%
To recent low   26.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SPLV price fluctuates within 6.81% (three month std-dev: 3.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200515

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_15_2020	55.57	46.7	48.5	50.62	50.8	50.76	49.94(-3.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	10	4	70	3.6	46%	-0.14	22.2	3.95%	0	1	65	1.1
2	Apr_14_2020	55.65	46.59	48.19	50.19	50.5	50.98	51.65(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	90	15	80	3.46	46%	-0.11	9.1	3.94%	0	1.6	71	1.5
3	Apr_13_2020	55.71	46.21	47.81	49.43	49.81	50.85	50.11(-2.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	170	29	101	4.96	47%	-0.14	-11	3.92%	0	1.3	76	1.2
4	Apr_9_2020	55.79	46.19	47.48	48.33	48.94	50.02	51.61(3.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	57	190	41	106	7.58	47%	-0.11	-30.7	3.87%	0	1.9	71	0.9
5	Apr_8_2020	55.85	45.94	46.98	47.11	47.4	48.77	49.81(4.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	220	31	90	5.48	47%	-0.14	-55.8	3.84%	0	1.3	60	0.9

6	Apr_7_2020	55.93	46	46.41	46.09	46.4	47.85	47.75(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	240	33	69	6.79	45%	-0.18	-64.2	3.8%	0	0.5	55	0.8
7	Apr_6_2020	56.03	46.31	45.97	45.92	45.45	46.04	47.85(7.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	60	12	42	6.18	45%	-0.18	-62.2	3.8%	0	0.4	49	0.8
8	Apr_3_2020	56.13	46.53	45.16	46.02	45.54	44.95	44.63(-1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-120	-10	21	5.52	42%	-0.23	-57.5	3.68%	0	-0.4	52	0.1
9	Apr_2_2020	56.26	47.09	44.89	46.48	46.23	44.86	45.53(1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-220	-25	-5	9.86	42%	-0.21	-47.8	3.68%	0	-0.3	43	-0.1
10	Apr_1_2020	56.38	47.64	44.77	46.8	46.67	46.13	44.67(-4.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-90	-21	-7	7.4	42%	-0.23	-40.7	3.67%	0	-0.6	48	-0.4

11	Mar_31_2020	56.51	48.31	44.82	46.7	46.94	47.6	46.92(-2.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	13	110	22	-14	6.67	43%	-0.18	-40.2	3.65%	0	-0.3	44	-0.1
12	Mar_30_2020	56.61	48.73	44.9	45.96	46.04	47.2	48.34(2.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	25	180	47	-40	7.59	43%	-0.16	-44.2	3.64%	0	-0.1	43	-0.3
13	Mar_27_2020	56.7	49.12	44.47	44.16	44.65	46.28	46.94(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	290	47	-103	10.33	43%	-0.18	-54.3	3.61%	0	-0.4	43	-0.6
14	Mar_26_2020	56.8	49.47	44.76	43.08	42.99	44.88	47.13(6.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	300	39	-144	9.27	43%	-0.19	-63.2	3.61%	0	-0.4	40	-0.3
15	Mar_25_2020	56.91	49.88	44.72	42.51	42.27	43.02	44.19(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-32	110	23	-196	16.42	40%	-0.23	-67.5	3.5%	0	-0.9	36	-0.7

16	Mar_24_2020	57.04	50.59	45.46	42.73	42.41	41.11	43.21(9.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-76	-240	-25	-228	12.53	40%	-0.24	-68.8	3.52%	0	-1.2	33	-0.6
17	Mar_23_2020	57.18	51.37	46.57	43.76	43.13	41.52	39.35(-5.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-108	-300	-62	-245	22.12	34%	-0.33	-67.4	3.26%	0	-2	31	-0.8
18	Mar_20_2020	57.37	52.45	47.99	44.77	44.77	43.7	41.51(-6.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-94	-170	-47	-235	6.39	36%	-0.3	-69.9	3.2%	0	-1.9	32	-1.5
19	Mar_19_2020	57.54	53.47	49.51	46.61	45.43	44.73	44.3(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-78	-180	-38	-196	7.69	39%	-0.24	-67.2	3.12%	0	-1.7	40	-1.7
20	Mar_18_2020	57.68	54.35	50.8	47.21	46.69	45.83	45.26(-6.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-67	-160	-30	-177	9.3	39%	-0.21	-68.1	3.11%	0	-1.8	39	-2.4

21	Mar_17_2020	57.8	55.19	52.14	48.61	47.35	46.12	48.39(8.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-84	-260	-57	-166	9.86	41%	-0.16	-65.4	3.01%	0	-1.4	39	-2.2
22	Mar_16_2020	57.89	55.87	52.91	49.92	48.89	47.56	44.41(-12.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-91	-250	-66	-166	9.97	35%	-0.24	-60.7	2.77%	0	-2.4	31	-2.7
23	Mar_13_2020	58.03	56.79	54.23	51.68	51.03	48.59	50.69(7.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-93	-370	-68	-166	9.21	42%	-0.12	-59.4	2.29%	0	-1.5	35	-1.9
24	Mar_12_2020	58.1	57.35	54.63	52.89	51.98	50.22	47.31(-9.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-160	-290	-143	-211	13.89	35%	-0.19	-53.4	2.09%	0	-2.6	26	-2.6
25	Mar_11_2020	58.21	58.09	55.55	54.89	54.11	53.47	52.24(-4.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-85	-130	-55	-176	7.82	41%		-49.2	1.73%	0	-1.9	31	-2.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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