Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 7, 2018

Trading Signals: SPLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 28, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF)
SPLV latest price $47.0500 (0.17%) ($46.9100 - $47.1300) on Thu. Jun. 7, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $47.0500(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   SPLV advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SPLV advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SPLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SDY(88%)    IWD(87%)    IVE(86%)    SPY(84%)    VYM(83%)
Factors Impacting SPLV price   SPLV will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-19%)    VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-16%)    DIA(-14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.99(0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.92(0.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.81(0.51%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   3.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. SPLV price fluctuates within 0.49% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.51%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.47%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.1%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180707

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_7_2018	46.99	46.81	46.92	46.99	47	46.98	47.05(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-0	5	37	1.16	42%	-0.04	49	0.74%	0	1	64	1.3
2	Jun_6_2018	47.01	46.79	46.9	46.94	46.98	46.96	46.97(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-0	-7	33	0.96	42%	0	55.3	0.74%	0	0.8	60	1.6
3	Jun_5_2018	47.01	46.77	46.86	46.98	46.99	47.02	46.93(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	10	6	43	0.59	48%	0	57.1	0.74%	0	0.7	58	0.8
4	Jun_4_2018	47.01	46.76	46.83	46.91	46.97	47.01	47.06(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	10	10	32	0.86	48%	-0.02	49	0.76%	0	1.3	52	0.2
5	Jun_1_2018	47.02	46.73	46.77	46.87	46.86	46.96	46.93(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	10	3	17	1.52	44%	-0.02	42.6	0.76%	0	0.9	45	0.7

6	May_31_2018	47.03	46.7	46.72	46.87	46.84	46.94	46.82(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	10	14	11	1.9	48%	-0.02	29.4	0.77%	0	0.5	45	0
7	May_30_2018	47.04	46.67	46.69	46.85	46.79	46.76	47.17(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	10	-10	11	8	1.33	48%	-0.02	23.2	0.77%	0	1.9	59	0.2
8	May_29_2018	47.05	46.67	46.63	46.72	46.79	46.74	46.55(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	0	-6	-10	1.33	39%	-0.04	13.7	0.75%	0	-0.4	54	-0.7
9	May_25_2018	47.07	46.67	46.66	46.74	46.72	46.82	46.88(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	10	15	4	1.31	34%	-0.02	12.2	0.77%	0	1	54	1.2
10	May_24_2018	47.08	46.64	46.68	46.65	46.65	46.7	46.84(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	10	12	1	1.08	34%	-0.02	0	0.78%	0	0.9	54	1.2

11	May_23_2018	47.09	46.63	46.69	46.57	46.56	46.63	46.8(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	6	10	7	4	1.69	40%	0	-20.4	0.79%	0	0.7	61	1.4
12	May_22_2018	47.09	46.63	46.69	46.51	46.52	46.59	46.54(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	10	6	5	0.65	40%	-0.02	-49	0.81%	0	-0.3	60	1.5
13	May_21_2018	47.1	46.63	46.69	46.52	46.5	46.5	46.64(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	0	-0	-0	1	1.04	40%	-0.02	-72.5	0.81%	0	0.1	51	1.6
14	May_18_2018	47.11	46.61	46.67	46.57	46.52	46.45	46.45(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-12	-10	-16	1	0.77	38%	-0.02	-68.5	0.82%	0	-0.6	48	1.5
15	May_17_2018	47.12	46.64	46.7	46.71	46.67	46.51	46.43(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-11	-30	-17	8	0.59	38%	-0.04	-45.2	0.83%	0	-0.7	42	1.6

16	May_16_2018	47.14	46.68	46.69	46.83	46.83	46.59	46.51(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-11	-40	-18	12	0.72	38%	-0.02	-20.5	0.83%	0	-0.5	46	1.5
17	May_15_2018	47.15	46.73	46.69	46.85	46.91	46.83	46.57(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-10	-13	14	1.36	42%	0	-6.2	0.83%	0	-0.4	55	1
18	May_14_2018	47.15	46.78	46.66	46.83	46.9	47.07	46.91(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	30	11	24	1.28	42%	-0.02	0	0.85%	0	0.3	59	2.2
19	May_11_2018	47.16	46.79	46.63	46.79	46.76	47	47.11(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	30	25	24	0.73	44%	0	3.6	0.84%	0	0.8	52	1.8
20	May_10_2018	47.16	46.77	46.6	46.69	46.66	46.73	47.03(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	10	24	15	1.4	44%	-0.02	0	0.85%	0	0.7	49	1.6

21	May_9_2018	47.17	46.77	46.56	46.54	46.54	46.52	46.64(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-0	4	-15	1.07	49%	-0.02	-18.5	0.85%	0	-0.3	38	1.1
22	May_8_2018	47.18	46.75	46.54	46.44	46.43	46.6	46.45(-0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-8	20	2	-39	1.02	43%	-0.04	-29.6	0.88%	0	-0.8	32	17.5
23	May_7_2018	47.2	46.78	46.53	46.47	46.39	46.56	46.7(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	20	18	-42	0.7	43%	-0.02	-26.6	0.96%	0	-0.2	34	1
24	May_4_2018	47.21	46.78	46.54	46.45	46.33	46.26	46.65(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-16	-20	-3	-53	1.25	38%	-0.02	-22.2	1.04%	0	-0.3	41	1
25	May_3_2018	47.22	46.77	46.57	46.5	46.44	46.22	46.25(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-40	-18	-54	1.72	38%		-24.1	1.05%	0	-1.3	44	0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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