Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 23, 2017

Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
SOXS latest price $4680.0000 (0.78%) ($4608.0000 - $4713.9000) on Thu. Mar. 23, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.86% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $4680.0000(0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXS advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXS declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(6%)    VIXM(6%)    XHB(4%)    GDXJ(2%)    IPO(2%)
Factors Impacting SOXS price   SOXS will decline at least -1.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-23%)    QQQ(-23%)    XLK(-22%)    SPY(-22%)    IWO(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.43% (StdDev 2.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $4827.5
5 Day Moving Average   $4641.4(0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $4657.24(0.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $4827.5(-3.06%)
To recent high   -28.7%
To recent low   4.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXS price fluctuates within 4.14% (three month std-dev: 2.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.56%(55%) Average negative next day return: -1.59%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 2.16%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -1.91%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 3.13%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.9%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170423

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_23_2017	6220.27	4827.5	4657.24	4641.4	4636.72	4697.07	4680(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	412	90	507	127	0	50%	-0.83	-46.1	2.86%	0	-0.7	33	INF
2	Mar_22_2017	6272.15	4847.77	4681.09	4628.2	4618.1	4679.33	4644(-3.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1818	90	2164	781	0	50%	-0.79	-51.1	2.86%	0	-1	32	INF
3	Mar_21_2017	6322.4	4859.27	4712.28	4619.8	4583.55	4576.37	4806(7.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	220	-30	284	29	0	52%	-0.72	-64.5	2.84%	0	-0.3	47	INF
4	Mar_20_2017	6368.4	4862.12	4729.29	4600.6	4589.42	4556.87	4486.98(-2.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-1086	-60	-1248	-600	0	47%	-0.79	-75.3	2.67%	0	-1.9	21	INF
5	Mar_17_2017	6419.34	4892.72	4785.22	4638	4643.48	4590.74	4590(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-808	-80	-924	-458	0	47%	-0.74	-82.7	2.67%	0	-1.7	37	INF

6	Mar_16_2017	6467.41	4921.67	4831.91	4675.2	4673.11	4621.97	4614(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1726	-80	-2006	-884	0	47%	-0.72	-83.7	2.69%	0	-1.8	33	INF
7	Mar_15_2017	6514.03	4950.12	4876.4	4742.4	4728.24	4696.22	4602(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-1238	-60	-1437	-642	0	43%	-0.71	-77.6	2.73%	0	-2.1	33	INF
8	Mar_14_2017	6560.34	4985.46	4908.61	4818	4811.25	4724.25	4710(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1048	-130	-1219	-535	0	43%	-0.68	-64.8	2.8%	0	-1.7	48	INF
9	Mar_13_2017	6605.28	5013.02	4951.5	4879.2	4864.18	4760.25	4674(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-2833	-160	-3326	-1354	0	43%	-0.76	-55.8	2.8%	0	-2.2	47	INF
10	Mar_10_2017	6656.16	5044.49	4982.07	4953.6	4943.61	4898.25	4776(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-1714	-70	-2013	-816	0	43%	-0.73	-46.3	2.82%	0	-1.9	42	INF

11	Mar_9_2017	6705.16	5069.81	5016.4	5010	5015.61	4968.11	4950(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-490	-60	-577	-230	0	46%	-0.73	-41.1	2.81%	0	-0.9	44	INF
12	Mar_8_2017	6754.47	5080.06	5030.86	5030.4	5034.59	4988.96	4980(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1107	-60	-1303	-519	0	46%	-0.7	-45.3	2.82%	0	-0.7	44	INF
13	Mar_7_2017	6801.97	5090.08	5020.11	5012.4	5033.79	5063.1	5016(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-107	50	-120	-67	0	42%	-0.74	-64.6	2.83%	0	-0.6	41	INF
14	Mar_6_2017	6852.97	5100.62	5005.58	5036.4	5016.24	5080.22	5046(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1209	80	1430	544	0	40%	-0.71	-65.8	2.93%	0	-0.4	43	INF
15	Mar_3_2017	6901.91	5112.03	5007.34	5016	5003.11	5004.47	5058(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	809	-10	964	345	0	40%	-0.74	-70.2	2.97%	0	-0.4	42	INF

16	Mar_2_2017	6953.34	5126.92	5015.38	5025.6	4994.63	4952.25	5052(3.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1316	-80	-1536	-657	0	40%	-0.68	-69.6	2.99%	0	-0.5	43	INF
17	Mar_1_2017	7001.22	5141.79	5025.4	5034	5065.13	5001.75	4890(-4.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-611	-70	-706	-324	0	47%	-0.69	-68.3	2.97%	0	-1.6	43	INF
18	Feb_28_2017	7049.66	5178.22	5065.74	5025.6	5076.38	5037	5136(3.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-794	-20	-924	-403	0	50%	-0.56	-63.8	3.49%	0	-0.2	49	INF
19	Feb_27_2017	7089.66	5191.67	5075.09	4969.2	5032.13	5128.5	4944(-3.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	302	170	368	103	0	47%	-0.57	-84.9	3.45%	0	-1.3	39	INF
20	Feb_24_2017	7130.28	5212.51	5109.47	4995.6	5010.75	5115.75	5106(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2335	160	2759	1063	0	47%	-0.54	-99.7	3.44%	0	-0.6	42	INF

21	Feb_23_2017	7168.72	5233.65	5124.83	5006.4	4994.25	4935.75	5094(5.07%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	31	-90	48	-22	0	47%	-0.56	-107.7	3.46%	0	-0.7	37	INF
22	Feb_22_2017	7208.97	5251.68	5130.55	5022	5038.5	4905.75	4848(-0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-2552	-170	-2989	-1242	0	44%	-0.62	-119.1	3.39%	0	-2.1	23	INF
23	Feb_21_2017	7254.03	5294.66	5166.67	5113.2	5130.04	5052.75	4854(-4.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-2191	-100	-2564	-1070	0	44%	-0.83	-123.9	3.41%	0	-2.3	17	INF
24	Feb_17_2017	7315.02	5353.88	5207.71	5193.6	5222.95	5171.25	5076(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-603	-50	-699	-316	0	47%	-0.6	-85.9	3.36%	0	-1.1	37	INF
25	Feb_16_2017	7359.06	5396.55	5229.56	5236.8	5240.58	5207.33	5160(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1026	-40	-1198	-510	0	44%		-74.2	3.37%	0	-0.8	44	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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