Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
SOXS latest price $9888.0000 (1.73%) ($9630.0000 - $10080.0000) on Fri. Nov. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.95% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $9888.0000(1.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXS advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXS advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(6%)    VIXM(6%)    XHB(3%)    GDXJ(2%)    UUP(2%)
Factors Impacting SOXS price   SOXS will decline at least -1.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-23%)    QQQ(-23%)    XLK(-22%)    SPY(-22%)    IWO(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.475% (StdDev 2.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $9591.6(3.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $9387.75(5.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $9487.9(4.22%)
To recent high   -18.4%
To recent low   12.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXS price fluctuates within 3.42% (three month std-dev: 2.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 2.16%(75%) Average negative next day return: -1.47%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 4.73%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -2.55%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 3.68%(88%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.14%(13%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_4_2016	11846.11	9487.9	9387.75	9591.6	9605.51	9763.49	9888(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3804	120	4475	1792	0	37%	-0.63	46.5	2.95%	0	1.2	47	0
2	Nov_3_2016	11921.81	9436.77	9346.63	9489.6	9442.39	9597.75	9720(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3107	100	3659	1450	0	37%	-0.64	35.4	2.95%	0	0.8	48	0
3	Nov_2_2016	11999.02	9392.29	9316.59	9386.4	9333.64	9447.53	9660(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	3455	70	4075	1593	0	42%	-0.64	19.4	2.95%	0	0.8	42	0
4	Nov_1_2016	12076.78	9357.9	9311.13	9272.4	9201.26	9287.03	9468(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1423	40	1688	626	0	42%	-0.65	0.3	3%	0	0.3	47	0
5	Oct_31_2016	12156.35	9343.5	9314.27	9188.4	9145.23	9219.75	9222(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1914	40	2270	847	0	42%	-0.65	-14.4	2.98%	0	-0.4	45	0

6	Oct_28_2016	12235.81	9339.17	9378.66	9148.8	9093.76	9115.5	9378(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	676	-0	809	275	0	42%	-0.57	-32.5	2.98%	0	0.1	59	0
7	Oct_27_2016	12305.68	9318.55	9411.94	9184.8	9087.76	9070.71	9204(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1319	-40	-1543	-646	0	42%	-0.58	-43.7	2.98%	0	-0.3	59	0
8	Oct_26_2016	12377.62	9326.19	9488.24	9240	9238.46	9072.02	9090(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1538	-130	-1809	-724	0	35%	-0.59	-43.3	2.97%	0	-0.7	59	0
9	Oct_25_2016	12450.53	9356.91	9547.7	9358.8	9362.06	9104.81	9048(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5378	-190	-6334	-2508	0	35%	-0.63	-35.3	3.26%	0	-0.8	55	0
10	Oct_24_2016	12529.14	9393.02	9603.36	9457.2	9549.56	9404.9	9024(-5.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-3405	-80	-4018	-1564	0	35%	-0.61	-30.5	3.26%	0	-0.9	50	0

11	Oct_21_2016	12606.47	9455.03	9611.97	9634.8	9627.56	9619.32	9558(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1369	-10	-1629	-588	0	38%	-0.58	-16.8	3.21%	0	0.2	59	0
12	Oct_20_2016	12680.11	9475.34	9548.73	9672	9676.73	9694.22	9480(-2.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	694	10	796	386	0	36%	-0.58	-15.7	3.22%	0	0	61	0
13	Oct_19_2016	12754.53	9485.23	9488.33	9775.2	9688.02	9635.79	9684(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-860	-60	-1033	-342	0	36%	-0.59	-13.9	3.25%	0	0.5	55	0
14	Oct_18_2016	12829.68	9489.23	9418.17	9775.2	9760.88	9659.25	9540(-3.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1403	-80	-1668	-609	0	33%	-0.26	-24.3	3.25%	0	0.1	47	0
15	Oct_17_2016	12863.25	9520.68	9382.01	9768	9806.63	9740.25	9912(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-654	-40	-783	-265	0	35%	-0.59	-32.7	3.26%	0	0.8	50	0

16	Oct_14_2016	12939.78	9526.12	9296.32	9580.8	9689.25	9862.5	9744(-2.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	1540	160	1810	729	0	35%	-0.63	-49.7	3.25%	0	0.4	40	0
17	Oct_13_2016	13021.46	9542.4	9212.53	9400.8	9476.99	9873	9996(3.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7028	320	8278	3277	0	35%	-0.62	-70.5	3.25%	0	0.9	47	0
18	Oct_12_2016	13102.46	9545.65	9136.55	9160.8	9176.99	9516	9648(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7270	260	8573	3361	0	32%	-0.67	-75.9	3.21%	0	0.2	49	0
19	Oct_11_2016	13190.5	9601.45	9131.67	9022.8	8985.7	9080.99	9540(6.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	3850	60	4554	1736	0	32%	-0.78	-68.3	3.23%	0	-0.1	46	0
20	Oct_10_2016	13294.21	9678.69	9144.46	8949.6	8900.95	8837.99	8976(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-1276	-70	-1470	-694	0	25%	-0.85	-61.1	3.13%	0	-1	31	0

21	Oct_7_2016	13407.91	9774.16	9269.66	8973.6	8966.81	8890.41	8844(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1242	-60	-1433	-670	0	22%	-1	-50.8	3.25%	0	-1.2	32	0
22	Oct_6_2016	13543.95	9910.56	9387.19	8990.4	8999.43	8963.91	8796(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1276	-20	-1472	-687	0	22%	-0.97	-44.2	3.26%	0	-1.5	31	0
23	Oct_5_2016	13676.44	9999.64	9482.45	9100.8	9026.48	9043.2	8958(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1048	-10	-1205	-578	0	27%	-1.03	-42.3	3.26%	0	-1.4	32	0
24	Oct_4_2016	13818.78	10078.21	9572.36	9253.2	9170.08	9034.95	9174(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-974	-130	-1117	-543	0	27%	-0.97	-38.7	3.35%	0	-1.3	27	0
25	Oct_3_2016	13954.27	10135.07	9678.88	9374.4	9335.94	9009.75	9096(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5881	-260	-6889	-2856	0	27%		-35.6	3.37%	0	-1.6	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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