Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
SOXS latest price $17088.0000 (4.86%) ($16818.0000 - $17250.0000) on Fri. Jun. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.29% (three month average)
RSI   18
Latest Price   $17088.0000(4.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXS advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXS declines -5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(7%)    TLT(6%)    XHB(3%)    GDXJ(2%)    SHY(2%)
Factors Impacting SOXS price   SOXS will decline at least -1.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-24%)    SPY(-23%)    QQQ(-23%)    XLK(-22%)    IWO(-22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.645% (StdDev 3.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

Resistance Level   $18578.3
5 Day Moving Average   $16569.6(3.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16761.94(1.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18578.3(-8.02%)
To recent high   -28.3%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXS price fluctuates within 13.19% (three month std-dev: 3.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.69%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 10.68%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 27.84%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160710

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_10_2016	23346.16	18578.3	16761.94	16569.6	16582.88	16752.76	17088(4.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4891	70	5785	2207	0	37%	-0.71	-60.7	3.29%	0	-0.6	18	INF
2	Jun_9_2016	23513.06	18898.69	16814.56	16488	16503.76	16419.77	16296(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-122	-30	-98	-192	0	33%	-0.81	-56.5	3.23%	0	-1	3	INF
3	Jun_8_2016	23704.2	19214.11	16974.16	16598.4	16525.13	16413.01	16326(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3556	-60	-4130	-1833	0	39%	-0.83	-56.7	3.23%	0	-1.1	8	INF
4	Jun_7_2016	23902.14	19521.7	17164.81	16702.8	16678.09	16587.75	16308(-3.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-1852	-40	-2118	-1053	0	39%	-0.33	-57.2	3.35%	0	-1.2	7	INF
5	Jun_6_2016	23980.43	19873.42	17490.45	16866	16831.46	16637.25	16830(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-2766	-90	-3189	-1495	0	39%	-0.81	-54.5	3.34%	0	-1.1	13	INF

6	Jun_3_2016	24177.32	20194.52	17802.34	16982.4	16967.43	16768.43	16680(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-5156	-80	-5996	-2637	0	39%	-0.64	-53.3	3.35%	0	-1.3	10	INF
7	Jun_2_2016	24331.83	20531.82	18323.72	17196	17207.43	17025.68	16848(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3466	-70	-4007	-1842	0	39%	-0.71	-49.6	3.35%	0	-1.4	10	INF
8	Jun_1_2016	24506.14	20871.73	18802.67	17413.2	17419.49	17166.44	16848(-1.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-4580	-100	-5319	-2363	0	35%	-0.58	-43	3.35%	0	-1.6	21	INF
9	May_31_2016	24649.58	21179.6	19394.1	17698.8	17641.11	17389.19	17124(-1.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-6587	-110	-7686	-3291	0	39%	-0.9	-38.7	3.4%	0	-1.7	24	INF
10	May_27_2016	24873.22	21443.62	19926.82	18214.8	18038.06	17672.55	17412(-1.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-6473	-170	-7558	-3218	0	35%	-0.54	-34.9	3.5%	0	-1.9	22	INF

11	May_26_2016	25007.55	21713.05	20539.53	18756	18550.47	17893.04	17748(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-11569	-280	-13560	-5594	0	35%	-0.41	-27	3.52%	0	-2.1	24	INF
12	May_25_2016	25110.22	21896.14	21152.98	19641.6	19287.57	18403.57	17934(-1.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-17303	-370	-20317	-8259	0	35%	-0.31	-14.7	3.52%	0	-2.3	24	INF
13	May_24_2016	25189.32	22002.09	21652.47	20410.8	20328.35	19207.91	18276(-7.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-17789	-400	-20897	-8466	0	35%	-0.27	-5.4	3.54%	0	-2.4	25	INF
14	May_23_2016	25257.01	22116.84	22104.55	21337.2	21185.19	20171.58	19704(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21320	-360	-25060	-10099	0	38%	-0.23	10.1	3.47%	0	-1.8	36	INF
15	May_20_2016	25314.25	22191.74	22485.76	21886.8	21953.4	21448.8	20118(-9.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-13103	-150	-15403	-6204	0	38%	-0.16	25.2	3.54%	0	-1.6	44	INF

16	May_19_2016	25355.33	22227.75	22817.72	22576.8	22518.9	22198.8	22176(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5786	-110	-6804	-2732	0	44%	-0.04	43	3.39%	0	-0	51	INF
17	May_18_2016	25365.47	22154.2	22934.47	22910.4	22854.79	22458	21780(-4.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6679	-130	-7864	-3125	0	44%	-0.03	52	3.38%	0	-0.3	59	INF
18	May_17_2016	25372.65	22085.72	23114.85	23086.8	23105.29	22839	22908(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4906	-80	-5789	-2255	0	43%	-0.02	59.3	3.34%	0	0.6	73	INF
19	May_16_2016	25377.04	21981.07	23100.66	22994.4	23062.42	23251.58	22452(-4.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1234	70	-1474	-513	0	37%	-0.12	57.2	3.44%	0	0.3	66	INF
20	May_13_2016	25407.51	21867.4	23073.32	23170.8	23030.92	23371.58	23568(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	6522	90	7646	3149	0	39%	0.02	58.9	3.62%	0	1.2	65	INF

21	May_12_2016	25402.07	21692	22957.73	23100	22939.01	22873.27	23844(5.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	1690	-40	1958	887	0	36%	0.02	57	3.65%	0	1.5	68	INF
22	May_11_2016	25396.44	21477.27	22667	22993.2	23006.13	22690.27	22662(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4779	-90	-5653	-2156	0	31%	-0.05	52.2	3.66%	0	0.8	64	INF
23	May_10_2016	25408.51	21304.66	22364.28	23160	23171.24	23004.75	22446(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4405	-50	-5215	-1976	0	31%	-0.06	55	3.67%	0	0.8	65	INF
24	May_9_2016	25423.88	21204.17	22133.01	23210.4	23280.38	23321.99	23334(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	661	20	745	408	0	33%	-0.08	57.9	3.67%	0	1.5	64	INF
25	May_6_2016	25444.82	21048.22	21875.04	22941.6	23163.75	23337.73	23214(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3184	80	3716	1589	0	40%		57.6	3.8%	0	1.7	67	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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