Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 24, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
SOXS latest price $20994.0000 (0.26%) ($20982.0000 - $21666.0000) on Thu. Mar. 24, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.24% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $20994.0000(0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXS declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXS declines -6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(7%)    TLT(6%)    XHB(3%)    GDXJ(2%)    SHY(2%)
Factors Impacting SOXS price   SOXS will decline at least -2.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-24%)    SPY(-23%)    QQQ(-23%)    XLK(-22%)    VT(-22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.62% (StdDev 5.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

Resistance Level   $22395.34
5 Day Moving Average   $20463.6(2.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21042.74(-0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22395.34(-6.26%)
To recent high   -43.4%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. SOXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXS price fluctuates within 8.4% (three month std-dev: 5.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.12%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.37%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.43%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160424

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_24_2016	26582.06	22395.34	21042.74	20463.6	20617.43	20951.85	20994(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4813	140	5683	2204	0	55%	-0.12	-87.7	5.24%	0	-0.7	39	INF
2	Mar_23_2016	26615.13	22654.93	21234.83	20474.4	20461.05	20450.1	20940(3.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	435	-10	533	142	0	55%	-0.14	-84.4	5.24%	0	-0.8	35	INF
3	Mar_22_2016	26651.44	22968.86	21470.12	20587.2	20646.1	20283	20142(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3516	-110	-4116	-1716	0	55%	-0.18	-76.5	5.22%	0	-1.2	28	INF
4	Mar_21_2016	26699.69	23384.12	21851.16	20986.8	21046.02	20472	20064(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6829	-180	-8016	-3266	0	53%	-0.21	-75.8	5.22%	0	-1.4	26	INF
5	Mar_18_2016	26755.5	23751.26	22114.88	21369.6	21544.35	21009.2	20178(-4.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-6532	-150	-7666	-3131	0	53%	-0.23	-81.4	5.27%	0	-1.4	20	INF

6	Mar_17_2016	26817.25	24177.05	22392.33	21686.4	21871.92	21620.03	21048(-2.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-4647	-50	-5446	-2249	0	53%	-0.11	-89.7	5.27%	0	-1.2	24	INF
7	Mar_16_2016	26847.69	24577.83	22643.38	22098	22061.57	22079.51	21504(-2.87%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-1964	0	-2289	-988	0	53%	-0.15	-96.3	5.29%	0	-1.2	24	INF
8	Mar_15_2016	26888.06	24936.2	22857.08	22490.53	22390.21	22123.8	22140(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1087	-100	-1255	-581	0	52%	-0.1	-96.6	5.28%	0	-1	22	INF
9	Mar_14_2016	26914.94	25363.48	23037.87	22868.53	22743.54	22043.63	21978(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6831	-230	-8010	-3292	0	52%	-0.06	-100.9	5.32%	0	-1.2	19	INF
10	Mar_11_2016	26930.19	25968.2	23442.49	22980.13	23141.98	22656.62	21762(-5.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7210	-130	-8456	-3473	0	54%	-0.1	-82.6	5.32%	0	-1.3	27	INF

11	Mar_10_2016	26956.86	26703.65	23862.22	23181.73	23329.48	23443.46	23106(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1131	50	-1302	-617	0	55%	-0.16	-61.6	5.32%	0	-0.9	26	INF
12	Mar_9_2016	26998.86	27333.11	24179	23259.73	23253.75	23627.33	23466.66(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	3411	110	4044	1512	0	55%	-0.15	-51.6	5.32%	0	-0.9	26	INF
13	Mar_8_2016	27039.29	27917.2	24559.96	23284.2	23222.98	23215.5	24030(6.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2306	-10	2745	989	0	55%	-0.12	-45.8	5.34%	0	-0.9	30	INF
14	Mar_7_2016	27071.91	28448.86	24993.71	23271	23293.29	22880.18	22536(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-5179	-120	-6058	-2542	0	54%	-0.18	-39.7	5.28%	0	-1.3	17	INF
15	Mar_4_2016	27120.41	28957.1	25490	24004.2	23773.67	23230.46	22770(-3.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-7313	-190	-8566	-3553	0	52%	-0.17	-34.4	5.29%	0	-1.4	13	INF

16	Mar_3_2016	27167.69	29321.86	26093.52	24649.8	24489.21	23706.41	23496(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-7783	-240	-9115	-3785	0	52%	-0.18	-36.9	5.32%	0	-1.4	12	INF
17	Mar_2_2016	27215.88	29721.95	26666.7	25235.4	25086.56	24316.88	23589(-1.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-11496	-230	-13481	-5541	0	52%	-0.31	-38	5.33%	0	-1.6	16	INF
18	Mar_1_2016	27300.29	30133.32	27198.74	26018.4	25887.75	25272	23964(-8.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-9366	-180	-10973	-4544	0	52%	-0.25	-36.6	5.32%	0	-1.7	20	INF
19	Feb_29_2016	27368.16	30402.04	27902.22	26964	26857.46	25856.25	26202(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8391	-270	-9827	-4083	0	55%	-0.17	-38.3	5.2%	0	-1.2	25	INF
20	Feb_26_2016	27414.73	30569.55	28699.48	27206.4	27481.46	26503.5	25998(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13026	-220	-15283	-6254	0	55%	-0.15	-41.6	5.21%	0	-1.4	35	INF

21	Feb_25_2016	27455.66	30950.23	29763.01	27762	27875.58	27858.68	26424(-3.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7095	10	-8315	-3433	0	55%	-0.15	-39.5	5.25%	0	-1.4	47	INF
22	Feb_24_2016	27497.35	31300.46	30723.73	28316.4	28328.21	28459.42	27504(-4.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	4673	30	5522	2127	0	55%	-0.16	-39.8	5.22%	0	-1.3	45	INF
23	Feb_23_2016	27542.48	31543.64	31519.53	28558.8	28311.78	27892.49	28692(4.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-4054	-130	-4750	-1965	0	55%	-0.13	-45.3	5.22%	0	-1	47	INF
24	Feb_22_2016	27579.16	31766.51	32144.06	29012.4	28629.79	28197	27414(-4.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9832	-150	-11556	-4660	0	55%	-0.25	-47	5.21%	0	-1.6	52	INF
25	Feb_19_2016	27648.48	32003.97	32698.36	30452.4	29743.45	28731.08	28776(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11095	-310	-13053	-5220	0	55%		-36.6	5.17%	0	-1.2	54	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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