Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
SOXS latest price $28692.0000 (4.66%) ($27605.9400 - $28830.0000) on Tue. Feb. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.22% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $28692.0000(4.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXS declines -1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXS declines -5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(7%)    TLT(6%)    XHB(3%)    GDXJ(2%)    SHY(2%)
Factors Impacting SOXS price   SOXS will decline at least -2.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-24%)    SPY(-23%)    QQQ(-23%)    IWO(-23%)    XLK(-22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.61% (StdDev 5.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

Resistance Level   $31543.64
5 Day Moving Average   $28558.8(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31519.53(-8.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31543.64(-9.04%)
To recent high   -22.7%
To recent low   32.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. SOXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXS price fluctuates within 9.1% (three month std-dev: 5.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 4.29%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.11%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 9.92%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -3.78%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 7.57%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.58%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160323

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_23_2016	27542.48	31543.64	31519.53	28558.8	28311.78	27892.49	28692(4.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-4054	-130	-4750	-1965	0	55%	-0.13	-45.3	5.22%	0	-1	47	0
2	Feb_22_2016	27579.16	31766.51	32144.06	29012.4	28629.79	28197	27414(-4.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9832	-150	-11556	-4660	0	55%	-0.25	-47	5.21%	0	-1.6	52	0
3	Feb_19_2016	27648.48	32003.97	32698.36	30452.4	29743.45	28731.08	28776(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11095	-310	-13053	-5220	0	55%	-0.29	-36.6	5.17%	0	-1.2	54	0
4	Feb_18_2016	27728.6	32248.59	32837.31	32119.2	31436.95	29062.58	29196(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-24744	-590	-29117	-11625	0	55%	-0.23	-21.4	5.17%	0	-1.2	45	0
5	Feb_17_2016	27792.16	32543.24	33075.84	33525.6	33629.95	30755.82	28716(-7.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-32073	-590	-37746	-15054	0	55%	-0.41	1	5.18%	0	-1.5	44	0

6	Feb_16_2016	27907.79	32899.04	33396.87	34882.8	35052.25	33811.32	30960(-10.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-26635	-230	-31357	-12470	0	57%	-0.71	24.8	5.1%	0	-0.8	51	0
7	Feb_12_2016	28107.07	33142.62	33218.31	35667.6	35893.46	36504.08	34614(-6.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3151	140	3684	1552	0	62%	-0.13	41.2	4.9%	0	0.6	55	0
8	Feb_11_2016	28142.39	32994.41	32667.27	35217.6	35644.08	36293.18	37110(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17090	160	20088	8097	0	65%	-0.03	38.4	4.83%	0	1.7	62	0
9	Feb_10_2016	28151.91	32798.73	32227.19	33661.2	34096.83	35282.84	36228(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9392	280	11041	4444	0	66%	-0.03	34.1	4.82%	0	1.5	56	0
10	Feb_9_2016	28161.44	32516.44	31856.08	32604	32804.88	34994.99	35502(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	23908	490	28127	11249	0	66%	0.02	32.8	4.86%	0	1.4	51	0

11	Feb_8_2016	28154.7	32307.07	31457.87	31747.2	31723.76	32910.81	34884(7.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	25520	260	30033	11980	0	66%	0.01	37.8	4.86%	0	1.2	48	0
12	Feb_5_2016	28151.05	32156.06	31208.78	30451.2	30688.01	30614.76	32364(10.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	3675	10	4344	1667	0	62%	-0.02	39.7	4.89%	0	0.1	42	0
13	Feb_4_2016	28156.55	32074.33	31118.98	29754	30111.53	30536.7	29328(-5.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2737	130	-3194	-1365	0	59%	-0.1	46.8	4.78%	0	-1.3	48	0
14	Feb_3_2016	28184.51	32037.25	31530.62	30559.2	30244.44	30761.25	30942(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	6994	90	8250	3226	0	62%	-0.05	67.7	4.73%	0	-0.5	46	0
15	Feb_2_2016	28198.55	31814.21	31913.13	30993.6	30734.19	29686.35	31218(9.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3275	-260	-3837	-1587	0	62%	-0.08	67.6	4.73%	0	-0.2	54	0

16	Feb_1_2016	28221.87	31538.1	32336.4	31147.2	31270.07	29727.64	28404(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23718	-330	-27892	-11194	0	59%	-0.19	64	4.59%	0	-1.1	47	0
17	Jan_29_2016	28276.86	31379.41	33103.37	32058	32111.64	31782.04	28878(-13.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11945	-70	-14052	-5625	0	62%	-0.18	76.2	4.6%	0	-0.8	46	0
18	Jan_28_2016	28327.4	31149.73	33449.88	32610	32547.75	32812.5	33354(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5276	50	6203	2494	0	66%	-0.03	72.4	4.38%	0	0.7	59	0
19	Jan_27_2016	28336.12	30636.53	33488.97	32628	32260.88	32441.25	33114(3.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	68	10	69	63	0	66%	0.02	63.2	4.45%	0	0.7	65	0
20	Jan_26_2016	28330.68	30169.1	33286.05	33010.8	32513.63	32283	31986(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3781	-90	-4467	-1721	0	67%	0.13	58.5	4.45%	0	0.4	68	0

21	Jan_25_2016	28292.6	29746.32	33275.76	33758.4	33512.25	32080.5	32958(4.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10352	-320	-12212	-4771	0	67%	-0.17	59.8	4.47%	0	0.7	72	0
22	Jan_22_2016	28339.72	29275.91	33208.02	34352.4	34224.38	32744.25	31638(-5.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26533	-310	-31265	-12336	0	62%	-0.15	64	4.47%	0	0.5	72	0
23	Jan_21_2016	28380.91	28896.92	33145.86	34358.4	35216.63	34944	33444(-4.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5615	20	-6666	-2463	0	65%	-0.11	61.7	4.62%	0	1	78	0
24	Jan_20_2016	28413.09	28417.4	32629.69	34420.8	34975.5	35704.5	35028(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	7832	190	9143	3900	0	65%	-0.16	60.7	4.58%	0	1.4	83	0
25	Jan_19_2016	28457.21	27907.86	31732.19	33567.6	33940.13	35489.25	35724(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17677	350	20725	8533	0	65%		58	4.57%	0	1.7	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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