Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bear 3X ETF)
SOXS latest price $35928.0000 (13.45%) ($34764.0000 - $37116.0000) on Fri. Jan. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.53% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $35928.0000(13.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXS advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXS advances 18.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(8%)    TLT(6%)    GDXJ(2%)    SHY(2%)    UUP(2%)
Factors Impacting SOXS price   SOXS will decline at least -2.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
SMH(-24%)    QQQ(-24%)    SPY(-23%)    IWO(-23%)    IWF(-23%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.265% (StdDev 4.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $32733.6(9.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30666.14(17.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27315.47(31.53%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   65.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SOXS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXS price fluctuates within 15.39% (three month std-dev: 4.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 14.57%(63%) Average negative next day return: -5.07%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 24.2%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -3.47%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 23.79%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.48%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_15_2016	28456.28	27315.47	30666.14	32733.6	32856	34246.5	35928(13.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	23469	310	27539	11259	0	65%	0.28	59.4	4.53%	0	2	81	INF
2	Jan_14_2016	28377.63	26659.84	29480.73	31975.2	31791.75	32391	31668(-6.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11750	110	13748	5754	0	55%	0.12	61.1	4.25%	0	1.4	76	INF
3	Jan_13_2016	28342.62	26260.81	28661.94	31756.8	31387.13	31465.5	33756(9.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	6007	-20	6994	3046	0	58%	0.21	64	4.41%	0	2.1	80	INF
4	Jan_12_2016	28284.41	25792.33	27528.78	30567.6	30816.57	31192.5	30762(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3793	110	4397	1979	0	54%	0.1	66.5	4.27%	0	1.6	76	INF
5	Jan_11_2016	28257.48	25465.24	26783.73	29552.4	29999.21	31308.75	31554(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	18242	350	21408	8744	0	54%	0.13	67	4.26%	0	2.1	69	INF

6	Jan_8_2016	28221.26	25027.79	25907.63	28223.4	28409.21	30440.63	32136(5.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	26167	520	30745	12431	0	54%	0.15	62.3	4.26%	0	2.9	73	INF
7	Jan_7_2016	28177.76	24573.17	24970.85	26616.6	26965.65	28689.67	30576(9.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	32486	490	38194	15360	0	52%	0.1	60.7	4.22%	0	3.2	74	INF
8	Jan_6_2016	28150.82	24160.53	24236	25133.4	25450.04	26377.79	27810(8.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	19274	290	22665	9100	0	47%	-0.01	60.3	4.07%	0	3.1	64	INF
9	Jan_5_2016	28154.69	23874.51	23805.54	24066.6	24271.65	25241.63	25686(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	11866	310	13963	5575	0	42%	-0.1	43.1	3.93%	0	2.1	51	INF
10	Jan_4_2016	28183.06	23675.51	23732.74	23596.2	23642.77	24522.29	24909(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	15970	270	18795	7495	0	42%	-0.13	17.1	3.96%	0	1.5	50	INF

11	Dec_31_2015	28221.13	23574.32	23668.43	23223.6	23197.21	23301.67	24102(4.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	6629	30	7808	3093	0	39%	-0.17	-2.6	4%	0	0.6	55	INF
12	Dec_30_2015	28269.6	23498.29	23601.72	23064	23054	22763.25	23160(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4624	-90	-5429	-2209	0	32%	-0.21	-16.8	3.99%	0	-0.4	49	INF
13	Dec_29_2015	28330.42	23462.14	23691.09	23196	23226.5	23092.76	22476(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4432	-40	-5206	-2109	0	32%	-0.25	-27.4	4.18%	0	-1	51	INF
14	Dec_28_2015	28400.96	23503.14	23962.31	23485.2	23531	23344.76	23334(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1632	-50	-1919	-769	0	37%	-0.22	-26.6	4.17%	0	-0.2	58	INF
15	Dec_24_2015	28462.75	23531.28	24101.14	23887.2	23770.87	23360.24	23046(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6417	-140	-7558	-2995	0	37%	-0.23	-19	4.27%	0	-0.5	60	INF

16	Dec_23_2015	28529.62	23598.37	24148.77	24174	24250.87	23717.24	23304(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-4934	-140	-5816	-2286	0	37%	-0.23	-13.1	4.27%	0	-0.3	53	INF
17	Dec_22_2015	28594.94	23655.58	24208.07	24205.2	24304.88	24181.5	23820(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5764	-20	-6795	-2669	0	41%	-0.21	-17.7	4.28%	0	0.2	58	INF
18	Dec_21_2015	28655.39	23728.44	24129.1	24248.4	24269.25	24784.5	23922(-5.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3750	150	4396	1812	0	41%	-0.21	-18.7	4.38%	0	0.2	59	INF
19	Dec_18_2015	28716.07	23755.19	23989.31	24500.4	24220.5	24428.25	25344(3.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6700	30	7865	3206	0	43%	-0.15	-23.7	4.33%	0	1.5	60	INF
20	Dec_17_2015	28759.86	23712.34	23629.32	24374.4	24209.36	23754	24480(4.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3351	-150	-3955	-1537	0	43%	-0.2	-35.5	4.36%	0	0.7	52	INF

21	Dec_16_2015	28816.18	23725.17	23472.21	24140.4	24353.48	24012.75	23460(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5980	-70	-7044	-2787	0	43%	-0.25	-43.9	4.33%	0	-0.3	45	INF
22	Dec_15_2015	28887.59	23829.83	23388.24	24199.2	24283.35	24664.73	24036(-4.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	963	120	1126	473	0	43%	-0.23	-39.5	4.33%	0	0.2	47	INF
23	Dec_14_2015	28953.16	23928.02	23213.89	23962.07	24072.41	24694.2	25182(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10804	190	12711	5081	0	45%	-0.18	-34.7	4.31%	0	1	46	INF
24	Dec_11_2015	29004.82	24010.9	22986.69	23390.87	23568.3	23901.98	24714(6.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7699	120	9066	3597	0	45%	-0.21	-30.7	4.3%	0	0.5	50	INF
25	Dec_10_2015	29064.41	24086.85	22877.23	22786.07	23022.86	23450.63	23310(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	3873	160	4573	1774	0	41%		-37.2	4.23%	0	-0.5	42	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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