Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 20, 2022

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $28.5000 (-0.87%) ($28.2350 - $30.8500) on Wed. Apr. 20, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.32% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $28.5000(-0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL declines -14.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FIVG(93%)    QQQ(89%)    IWF(87%)    IVW(86%)    SPY(84%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -4.16% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    UUP(-24%)    VXX(-8%)    TBT(-7%)    UNG(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.16% (StdDev 8.32%)
Hourly BBV 0.5 ()
Intraday Trend -5.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-4.4(-115.44%)
Resistance Level   $33.45
5 Day Moving Average   $27.58(3.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.95(1.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.45(-14.8%)
To recent high   -44.1%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 19.28% (three month std-dev: 8.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 10.68%(50%) Average negative next day return: -6.1%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 25.21%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -20.09%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 16.85%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2022	47.26	33.45	27.95	27.58	27.6	28.53	28.5(-0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	240	15	-97	51.65	47%	-0.78	-39.8	8.32%	0.5	-0.8	27	0.7
2	Apr_19_2022	47.63	34.01	28.34	27.13	27.1	26.96	28.75(6.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-27	-40	6	-125	45.08	45%	-0.85	-37.2	8.4%	1.8	-0.8	24	0.8
3	Apr_18_2022	48.04	34.53	29.16	26.68	27	26.67	27.03(5.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-50	-6	-140	48.78	43%	-0.74	-32.8	8.43%	-0.3	-1.2	26	1
4	Apr_14_2022	48.4	35.16	30.05	26.93	27.16	27.24	25.61(-8.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-45	50	-11	-145	50.72	45%	-0.84	-28.4	8.53%	-1.8	-1.6	24	1.5
5	Apr_13_2022	48.81	35.78	31.34	27.91	27.66	27.33	28.03(6.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-110	-5	-137	50.12	45%	-0.75	-23.2	8.53%	1.3	-1.4	26	1.5

6	Apr_12_2022	49.18	36.23	32.61	28.41	28.36	27.08	26.24(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-320	-19	-131	66.45	45%	-0.83	-20.9	8.51%	-1.7	-1.8	36	1
7	Apr_11_2022	49.59	36.58	34.5	29.73	29.23	27.99	26.49(-6.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-350	-34	-114	60.17	46%	-0.86	-14.7	8.52%	-1.3	-1.9	33	0.1
8	Apr_8_2022	50.02	36.76	36.15	32.03	31.23	29.64	28.29(-7.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-430	-23	-84	70.45	46%	-0.81	-4.6	8.46%	-1.6	-1.7	36	0.7
9	Apr_7_2022	50.43	36.96	37.57	33.63	33.27	30.46	30.51(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40	-620	-31	-68	55.4	45%	-0.69	0.7	8.49%	-0.1	-1.4	39	1.3
10	Apr_6_2022	50.78	37.13	38.77	35.28	35.05	32.82	30.5(-7.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-43	-460	-41	-49	68.8	45%	-0.72	6.3	8.55%	-0.9	-1.5	44	1.1

11	Apr_5_2022	51.15	37.4	39.52	37.45	37.39	36.08	32.88(-13.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-250	-29	-23	57.34	43%	-0.6	15	8.52%	-1.7	-1	49	0.5
12	Apr_4_2022	51.46	37.37	40.27	39.99	39.4	37.27	37.96(4.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-11	-420	-21	19	28.09	45%	-0.5	25	8.45%	0	0.1	66	-0.1
13	Apr_1_2022	51.72	36.99	40.41	40.94	41.31	38.69	36.29(-6.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-8	-420	-27	48	57.17	46%	-0.52	19.6	8.4%	-1.4	-0.1	70	-0.5
14	Mar_31_2022	51.99	36.93	40.76	42.09	42.36	41.53	38.78(-6.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-120	-19	82	38.3	46%	-0.36	20	8.43%	-1.4	0.4	67	-0.9
15	Mar_30_2022	52.18	36.85	40.64	42.75	42.73	43.94	41.35(-9.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	38	200	13	114	38.22	46%	-0.44	21.7	8.4%	-1	1	65	-0.7

16	Mar_29_2022	52.41	36.74	40.17	41.82	41.95	43.18	45.58(6.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	210	23	114	39.98	48%	-0.36	20.8	8.34%	1.9	1.9	65	-0.9
17	Mar_28_2022	52.6	36.24	38.78	40.62	40.22	41.52	42.71(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	200	11	101	35.6	48%	-0.34	12.2	8.29%	1.4	1.5	68	-1.5
18	Mar_25_2022	52.78	36.09	37.35	39.88	39.72	40.72	42.01(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	160	17	96	36.21	49%	-0.34	9	8.3%	0.8	1.4	70	-0.9
19	Mar_24_2022	52.96	36.01	36.23	39.31	38.99	38.92	42.09(14.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-40	9	81	44.49	49%	-0.23	6.4	8.37%	1.7	1.5	59	-0.7
20	Mar_23_2022	53.08	35.85	35.25	38.28	38.46	38.73	36.69(-7.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	60	0	58	38.09	46%	-0.28	-7.6	8.21%	-1.5	0.2	50	-0.8

21	Mar_22_2022	53.23	35.81	35.06	38.2	37.94	39.07	39.59(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	190	21	56	34.52	46%	-0.21	-19.4	8.17%	1	1	50	-1
22	Mar_21_2022	53.34	35.72	34.19	36.59	36.68	38.2	39(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	300	32	30	38.16	48%	-0.17	-31.5	8.18%	0.4	0.8	54	-1.2
23	Mar_18_2022	53.43	35.71	33.23	34.37	34.5	36.82	39.17(6.01%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	19	480	31	-19	39.64	48%	-0.15	-45.9	8.23%	1.8	0.9	49	0.2
24	Mar_17_2022	53.51	35.75	32.7	32.67	32.31	35.15	36.95(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	7	580	27	-52	37.05	48%	-0.13	-61	8.26%	1.1	0.3	46	-0.9
25	Mar_16_2022	53.58	36.15	32.66	31.83	31.45	32.18	36.3(15.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	130	20	-69	55.35	46%		-62.5	8.25%	1.5	0	47	-0.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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