Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 2, 2017

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $148.5200 (1.32%) ($143.7200 - $149.7000) on Thu. Nov. 2, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $148.5200(1.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    IWF(82%)    IVW(81%)    SMH(79%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -1.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-13%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.5% (StdDev 3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $146.23(1.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $140.89(5.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $134.85(10.14%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   71.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 6.19% (three month std-dev: 3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_2_2017	104.55	134.85	140.89	146.23			148.52(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-10000	12	121	0.46	60%	0.54	90.5	3%	0	1.6	77	0
2	Nov_1_2017	103.99	133.4	139.17	143.54			146.58(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	13	107	0.53	60%	0.49	87.2	3.02%	0	1.6	78	0
3	Oct_31_2017	103.48	132.02	137.72	140.76			147.96(2.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	29	-10000	9	90	0.35	60%	0.52	84.9	3.02%	0	2	77	0
4	Oct_30_2017	102.94	130.52	135.98	138.79			144.71(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	27	-10000	9	82	0.51	60%	0.49	93.3	3.04%	0	1.9	77	0
5	Oct_27_2017	102.44	129.13	134.59	136.91			143.36(6.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	28	-10000	10	80	0.6	57%	0.33	99.1	3.04%	0	1.9	78	0

6	Oct_26_2017	102.1	127.71	133.15	134.88			135.08(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	22	-10000	4	75	0.38	53%	0.3	97.4	3.03%	0	1	76	0
7	Oct_25_2017	101.79	126.61	132.39	134.12			132.7(-3.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	0	79	0.84	53%	0.31	91.6	3.04%	0	0.8	76	0
8	Oct_24_2017	101.48	125.52	131.99	134.07			138.09(2.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	-10000	7	99	0.34	56%	0.38	80.9	2.99%	0	1.4	89	0
9	Oct_23_2017	101.1	123.79	130.76	132.69			135.33(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	28	-10000	4	99	0.48	56%	0.35	67.4	2.99%	0	1.2	89	0
10	Oct_20_2017	100.75	122.21	129.59	131.92			133.19(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	29	-10000	4	104	0.29	56%	0.37	61.1	3.01%	0	1.2	88	0

11	Oct_19_2017	100.38	121.01	128.41	131.2			131.3(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	-10000	4	109	0.5	56%	0.35	60	3.01%	0	1.1	89	0
12	Oct_18_2017	100.03	119.84	127.27	130.36			132.46(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	-10000	4	115	0.45	56%	0.36	61	3.02%	0	1.4	94	0
13	Oct_17_2017	99.67	118.64	125.96	129.55			131.17(-0.22%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	36	-10000	5	127	0.2	56%	0.32	66.3	3.02%	0	1.4	95	0
14	Oct_16_2017	99.35	117.73	124.69	128.5			131.46(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	43	-10000	8	147	0.32	56%	0.37	74.4	3.03%	0	1.6	97	0
15	Oct_13_2017	98.98	116.73	123.25	126.91			129.6(1.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	47	-10000	9	159	0.28	56%	0.37	81.5	3.05%	0	1.6	96	0

16	Oct_12_2017	98.62	115.64	121.82	125.19			127.1(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	-10000	8	156	0.31	58%	0.37	86.3	3.05%	0	1.5	75	0
17	Oct_11_2017	98.26	114.43	120.37	123.66			128.4(1.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	46	-10000	10	152	0.32	58%	0.39	85.2	3.09%	0	1.8	78	0
18	Oct_10_2017	97.88	113.08	118.53	121.82			125.93(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	-10000	8	139	0.39	58%	0.36	85.4	3.1%	0	1.8	73	0
19	Oct_9_2017	97.53	111.84	116.27	120.32			123.53(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	-10000	7	110	0.28	58%	0.37	86	3.11%	0	1.7	61	0
20	Oct_6_2017	97.17	110.65	114.24	119.07			121(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	6	83	0.19	61%	0.36	77.8	3.15%	0	1.4	60	0

21	Oct_5_2017	96.82	109.35	113.03	117.92			119.45(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	8	76	0.3	63%	0.4	71	3.16%	0	1.4	64	0
22	Oct_4_2017	96.43	108.27	111.83	116.51			119.2(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	10	71	0.3	63%	0.27	67.1	3.24%	0	1.5	69	0
23	Oct_3_2017	96.17	107.19	110.75	114.66			118.42(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	17	68	0.27	61%	0.31	65.3	3.26%	0	1.6	70	0
24	Oct_2_2017	95.87	106.1	110.17	111.53			117.26(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-10000	16	58	0.44	61%	0.33	59.5	3.32%	0	1.7	70	0
25	Sep_29_2017	95.55	105.26	109.6	108.66			115.26(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	-10000	7	47	0.41	56%		59.2	3.33%	0	1.7	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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