Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 19, 2017

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $88.8400 (3.29%) ($88.1000 - $89.6900) on Fri. May. 19, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.32% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $88.8400(3.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 6.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    IWF(82%)    IVW(81%)    SMH(80%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -1.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-17%)    TLT(-13%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.66% (StdDev 3.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $87.9(1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $85.2(4.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.58(8.9%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   33.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 6.4% (three month std-dev: 3.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170619

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_19_2017	71.79	81.58	85.2	87.9			88.84(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	4	122	0.46	57%	0.42	80.9	3.32%	0	1.4	64	0
2	May_18_2017	71.49	80.82	84.1	87.27			86.01(5.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	1	119	0.82	57%	0.38	87.4	3.33%	0	1	65	0
3	May_17_2017	71.22	80.26	83.22	87.06			81.35(-13.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	25	-10000	-4	112	0.97	54%	0.25	90.7	3.28%	0	0.2	53	0
4	May_16_2017	71.04	79.8	82.86	87.6			93.64(4.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	58	-10000	25	155	0.28	62%	0.34	88.6	2.79%	0	2.5	73	0
5	May_15_2017	70.8	78.59	81.04	84.69			89.64(4.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	-10000	23	106	0.27	60%	0.41	79.9	2.75%	0	2.2	65	0

6	May_12_2017	70.51	77.56	79.86	82.11			85.71(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	-10000	15	70	0.2	58%	0.37	68.1	2.67%	0	1.9	64	0
7	May_11_2017	70.25	76.62	78.89	80.49			84.94(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	-10000	15	52	0.25	58%	0.39	47.4	2.69%	0	1.9	68	0
8	May_10_2017	69.98	75.77	78.36	78.86			84.09(6.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	14	41	0.47	58%	0.36	31.5	2.71%	0	1.9	65	0
9	May_9_2017	69.73	75.13	77.62	77.44			79.08(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	6	33	0.32	54%	0.29	20.1	2.6%	0	1	65	0
10	May_8_2017	69.53	74.84	77.6	76.85			76.75(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	8	-10000	-4	44	0.12	53%	0.26	12.5	2.6%	0	0.5	64	0

11	May_5_2017	69.35	74.76	77.64	77.24			77.61(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	2	77	0.2	53%	0.26	12.1	2.56%	0	0.8	67	0
12	May_4_2017	69.17	74.58	77.29	77			76.79(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-10000	-8	91	0.17	53%	0.29	5.7	2.58%	0	0.6	70	0
13	May_3_2017	68.97	74.44	77.12	77.76			76.98(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	-10000	-0	129	0.19	53%	0.28	7.8	2.6%	0	0.7	67	0
14	May_2_2017	68.78	74.35	76.61	77.81			76.14(-3.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	28	-10000	-6	131	0.29	53%	0.31	6	2.6%	0	0.5	57	0
15	May_1_2017	68.57	74.37	76.09	78.44			78.67(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-10000	4	142	0.36	58%	0.34	10.6	2.57%	0	1.2	57	0

16	Apr_28_2017	68.34	74.31	75.19	78.09			76.44(-5.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	34	-10000	5	119	0.51	56%	0.28	10.1	2.63%	0	0.6	51	0
17	Apr_27_2017	68.15	74.37	74.29	77.55			80.55(4.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	-10000	12	95	0.36	60%	0.37	10	2.56%	0	1.7	58	0
18	Apr_26_2017	67.9	74.15	73.02	76.39			77.26(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	12	58	0.37	58%	0.37	3.4	2.55%	0	0.9	55	0
19	Apr_25_2017	67.65	74.14	72.44	75.21			79.3(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	19	28	0.29	63%	0.43	-0.4	2.54%	0	1.5	54	0
20	Apr_24_2017	67.36	73.98	71.77	73.4			76.9(4.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	8	-10000	16	-16	0.49	64%	0.43	-17.5	2.57%	0	0.9	48	0

21	Apr_21_2017	67.07	73.94	71.52	71.89			73.73(-1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10000	15	-51	0.38	62%	0.4	-30.4	2.61%	0	-0.1	39	0
22	Apr_20_2017	66.8	74	71.54	70.5			74.78(4.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-10	-10000	15	-86	0.33	64%	0.3	-43.8	2.62%	0	0.2	40	0
23	Apr_19_2017	66.6	74.04	71.41	69.16			71.36(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-32	-10000	-1	-125	0.24	61%	0.23	-56.2	2.6%	0	-0.8	36	0
24	Apr_18_2017	66.45	74.15	71.81	69.26			70.21(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-40	-10000	-8	-134	0.21	64%	0.21	-59.3	2.6%	0	-1.2	31	0
25	Apr_17_2017	66.31	74.58	72.46	69.95			69.38(3.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-10000	-13	-124	0.35	60%		-50.7	2.65%	0	-1.6	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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