Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $54.1500 (2.05%) ($52.7100 - $54.3700) on Fri. Nov. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.52% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $54.1500(2.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 8.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    IWF(81%)    IVW(80%)    SMH(80%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -1.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-13%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.76% (StdDev 3.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.04(6.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.62(11.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.87(15.53%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   43.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 6.53% (three month std-dev: 3.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2016	41.31	46.87	48.62	51.04			54.15(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	48	-10000	15	146	0.21	69%	0.63	62.8	3.52%	0	2.4	66	0
2	Nov_17_2016	41.05	46.35	47.45	49.76			53.06(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	48	-10000	24	118	0.32	69%	0.66	61.8	3.52%	0	2.6	66	0
3	Nov_16_2016	40.78	45.9	46.44	47.73			51.38(3.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	27	-10000	14	64	0.41	69%	0.67	52.8	3.5%	0	2.6	61	0
4	Nov_15_2016	40.51	45.5	45.63	46.61			49.66(5.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	13	-10000	8	29	0.38	69%	0.67	45.7	3.49%	0	2.4	57	0
5	Nov_14_2016	40.24	45.22	45.07	45.98			46.95(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	3	-10000	2	5	0.24	67%	0.52	39.8	3.46%	0	1.1	51	0

6	Nov_11_2016	40.03	45.02	44.92	45.84			47.75(11.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12	-10000	14	4	0.6	67%	0.4	23.4	3.45%	0	1.8	52	0
7	Nov_10_2016	39.87	45.02	44.61	44.79			42.91(-6.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-7	-10000	-1	-25	0.78	62%	0.35	-10.7	3.18%	0	-1.3	48	0
8	Nov_9_2016	39.73	44.81	44.92	44.87			45.78(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	-10000	6	-17	0.54	68%	0.43	-29.4	3.09%	0	0.7	55	0
9	Nov_8_2016	39.56	44.73	44.96	44.43			46.52(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	0	-10000	6	-18	0.28	68%	0.43	-51	3.09%	0	1.3	61	0
10	Nov_7_2016	39.39	44.63	44.95	44.03			46.22(8.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-5	-10000	1	-21	0.25	68%	0.48	-61.9	3.09%	0	1.1	57	0

11	Nov_4_2016	39.2	44.68	44.98	43.94			42.54(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-8	-12	0.19	63%	0.33	-56.1	2.95%	0	-1.3	52	0
12	Nov_3_2016	39.07	44.96	45.2	44.44			43.3(-0.67%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-5	-10000	-8	3	0.35	63%	0.39	-45	2.95%	0	-1	51	0
13	Nov_2_2016	38.92	45.22	45.37	44.95			43.59(-2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-9	25	0.43	58%	0.39	-29.7	2.95%	0	-0.9	57	0
14	Nov_1_2016	38.77	45.43	45.43	45.53			44.48(-2.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-10000	-7	39	0.39	58%	0.41	-12.3	3%	0	-0.5	52	0
15	Oct_31_2016	38.61	45.54	45.45	45.98			45.77(1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-3	53	0.2	58%	0.42	1.6	2.98%	0	0.1	54	0

16	Oct_28_2016	38.45	45.6	45.18	46.19			45.06(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	12	-10000	2	42	0.36	58%	0.37	18	2.98%	0	-0.3	41	0
17	Oct_27_2016	38.31	45.74	45.05	46.06			45.85(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	3	20	0.33	58%	0.42	28.6	2.98%	0	0.1	41	0
18	Oct_26_2016	38.15	45.75	44.74	45.84			46.47(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	-10000	8	-8	0.3	65%	0.42	28.9	2.98%	0	0.4	41	0
19	Oct_25_2016	37.99	45.64	44.49	45.3			46.74(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	-10000	6	-33	0.29	65%	0.42	21.2	3.31%	0	0.6	45	0
20	Oct_24_2016	37.83	45.51	44.26	44.85			46.85(5.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	11	-49	0.27	65%	0.45	17.1	3.31%	0	0.7	50	0

21	Oct_21_2016	37.66	45.27	44.28	44.05			44.38(-0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-10000	2	-70	0.24	62%	0.4	3.8	3.26%	0	-0.4	40	0
22	Oct_20_2016	37.51	45.23	44.63	43.9			44.74(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	6	-72	0.3	65%	0.4	2.9	3.27%	0	-0.2	38	0
23	Oct_19_2016	37.36	45.22	44.99	43.47			43.8(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-10000	-1	-75	0.3	65%	0.38	1.1	3.31%	0	-0.7	45	0
24	Oct_18_2016	37.22	45.25	45.38	43.55			44.46(3.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-16	-10000	-1	-62	0.26	65%	0.22	10.9	3.3%	0	-0.4	53	0
25	Oct_17_2016	37.14	45.17	45.61	43.6			42.89(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-13	-58	0.21	63%		18.8	3.32%	0	-1.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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