Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $44.7400 (2.15%) ($42.7800 - $45.1800) on Thu. Oct. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.27% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $44.7400(2.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    IWF(81%)    IVW(80%)    SMH(80%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -1.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-13%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.635% (StdDev 3.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

Resistance Level   $45.23
5 Day Moving Average   $43.9(1.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.63(0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.23(-1.08%)
To recent high   -8.1%
To recent low   32.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 4.51% (three month std-dev: 3.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2016	37.51	45.23	44.63	43.9			44.74(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	6	-72	0.3	65%	0.4	2.9	3.27%	0	-0.2	38	0
2	Oct_19_2016	37.36	45.22	44.99	43.47			43.8(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-10000	-1	-75	0.3	65%	0.38	1.1	3.31%	0	-0.7	45	0
3	Oct_18_2016	37.22	45.25	45.38	43.55			44.46(3.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-16	-10000	-1	-62	0.26	65%	0.22	10.9	3.3%	0	-0.4	53	0
4	Oct_17_2016	37.14	45.17	45.61	43.6			42.89(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-13	-58	0.21	63%	0.38	18.8	3.32%	0	-1.1	50	0
5	Oct_14_2016	37	45.19	46.05	44.55			43.63(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	-13	-20	0.58	63%	0.41	37.9	3.31%	0	-0.7	60	0

6	Oct_13_2016	36.85	45.17	46.51	45.51			42.59(-3.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-8	-10000	-16	18	0.49	63%	0.41	60.9	3.3%	0	-1.2	52	0
7	Oct_12_2016	36.7	45.2	46.9	46.72			44.19(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-9	54	0.3	66%	0.47	72.2	3.26%	0	-0.4	51	0
8	Oct_11_2016	36.53	45.02	46.98	47.45			44.69(-6.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	15	-10000	-5	75	0.73	66%	0.52	68	3.28%	0	-0.1	54	0
9	Oct_10_2016	36.34	44.76	46.97	47.86			47.67(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	1	99	0.28	73%	0.64	61.1	3.18%	0	1	68	0
10	Oct_7_2016	36.11	44.38	46.42	47.75			48.39(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	1	91	0.32	77%	0.73	50.2	3.3%	0	1.3	68	0

11	Oct_6_2016	35.85	43.86	45.91	47.7			48.67(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	7	97	0.29	77%	0.73	42.5	3.31%	0	1.6	69	0
12	Oct_5_2016	35.59	43.53	45.47	47.16			47.84(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	9	95	0.23	71%	0.71	39.4	3.31%	0	1.6	68	0
13	Oct_4_2016	35.34	43.24	45.08	46.46			46.75(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	7	94	0.29	71%	0.71	34	3.39%	0	1.4	73	0
14	Oct_3_2016	35.09	43.06	44.64	45.92			47.11(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	-10000	14	100	0.24	71%	0.75	29.4	3.41%	0	1.6	76	0
15	Sep_30_2016	34.83	42.87	44.21	44.85			48.11(4.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	32	-10000	13	88	0.5	73%	0.78	20.9	3.43%	0	2.3	73	0

16	Sep_29_2016	34.56	42.63	43.64	43.86			45.97(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	-10000	4	82	0.86	74%	0.67	14.2	3.45%	0	1.7	75	0
17	Sep_28_2016	34.33	42.46	43.29	43.58			44.34(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	1	77	0.32	75%	0.64	14.2	3.49%	0	1	55	0
18	Sep_27_2016	34.11	42.38	42.87	43.52			44.05(5.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	4	67	0.29	66%	0.65	13.8	3.59%	0	0.9	54	0
19	Sep_26_2016	33.89	42.33	42.37	43.19			41.8(-3.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-10000	-3	37	0.19	64%	0.59	11.9	3.9%	0	-0.3	46	0
20	Sep_23_2016	33.69	42.39	42.22	43.41			43.14(-3.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	-10000	1	27	0.16	57%	0.63	17.4	4.45%	0	0.4	48	0

21	Sep_22_2016	33.48	42.35	41.71	43.33			44.56(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	4	9	0.3	57%	0.69	19.3	4.51%	0	1.2	50	0
22	Sep_21_2016	33.25	42.2	41.45	42.96			44.05(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	9	2	0.26	57%	0.67	18.4	4.51%	0	1.1	53	0
23	Sep_20_2016	33.03	42.13	41.26	42.14			42.39(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	8	-14	0.25	58%	0.58	12.4	4.5%	0	0.2	49	0
24	Sep_19_2016	32.84	42.12	41.34	41.42			42.93(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	6	-28	0.37	58%	0.61	3.6	4.5%	0	0.5	49	0
25	Sep_16_2016	32.64	42.08	41.39	40.84			42.72(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	-10000	11	-33	0.35	58%		1	4.52%	0	0.4	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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