Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $45.9700 (3.68%) ($42.9000 - $46.7700) on Thu. Sep. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.45% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $45.9700(3.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    IWF(81%)    IVW(80%)    SMH(80%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -1.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-13%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.725% (StdDev 3.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.86(4.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.64(5.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.63(7.83%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   79.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 4.71% (three month std-dev: 3.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161029

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_29_2016	34.56	42.63	43.64	43.86			45.97(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	-10000	4	82	0.86	74%	0.67	14.2	3.45%	0	1.7	75	0
2	Sep_28_2016	34.33	42.46	43.29	43.58			44.34(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	1	77	0.32	75%	0.64	14.2	3.49%	0	1	55	0
3	Sep_27_2016	34.11	42.38	42.87	43.52			44.05(5.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	4	67	0.29	66%	0.65	13.8	3.59%	0	0.9	54	0
4	Sep_26_2016	33.89	42.33	42.37	43.19			41.8(-3.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-10000	-3	37	0.19	64%	0.59	11.9	3.9%	0	-0.3	46	0
5	Sep_23_2016	33.69	42.39	42.22	43.41			43.14(-3.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	-10000	1	27	0.16	57%	0.63	17.4	4.45%	0	0.4	48	0

6	Sep_22_2016	33.48	42.35	41.71	43.33			44.56(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	4	9	0.3	57%	0.69	19.3	4.51%	0	1.2	50	0
7	Sep_21_2016	33.25	42.2	41.45	42.96			44.05(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	9	2	0.26	57%	0.67	18.4	4.51%	0	1.1	53	0
8	Sep_20_2016	33.03	42.13	41.26	42.14			42.39(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	8	-14	0.25	58%	0.58	12.4	4.5%	0	0.2	49	0
9	Sep_19_2016	32.84	42.12	41.34	41.42			42.93(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	6	-28	0.37	58%	0.61	3.6	4.5%	0	0.5	49	0
10	Sep_16_2016	32.64	42.08	41.39	40.84			42.72(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	-10000	11	-33	0.35	58%	0.55	1	4.52%	0	0.4	50	0

11	Sep_15_2016	32.46	42.01	41.39	39.84			42.7(6.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-12	-10000	1	-50	0.75	58%	0.5	-9.9	4.52%	0	0.4	52	0
12	Sep_14_2016	32.3	41.89	41.5	39.78			39.94(2.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-6	-52	0.38	56%	0.4	-6.2	4.45%	0	-1.1	46	0
13	Sep_13_2016	32.17	41.93	41.81	40.31			38.83(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-10000	-10	-46	0.3	56%	0.44	5	4.45%	0	-1.8	37	0
14	Sep_12_2016	32.03	41.93	42.29	41.25			39.99(5.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-8	-26	0.51	56%	0.44	31.3	4.43%	0	-1.4	44	0
15	Sep_9_2016	31.89	42.07	42.61	42.04			37.73(-11.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-13	-10000	-13	-13	0.51	51%	0.41	48.3	4.43%	0	-2.8	34	0

16	Sep_8_2016	31.76	42.17	43.14	43.32			42.4(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-1	20	0.31	56%	0.51	87.4	4.19%	0	0.2	61	0
17	Sep_7_2016	31.6	42	43.1	43.45			42.59(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-10000	-1	27	0.3	56%	0.57	86.4	4.19%	0	0.4	67	0
18	Sep_6_2016	31.42	41.84	43.14	43.53			43.55(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10000	0	38	0.18	56%	0.71	94.6	4.19%	0	1	74	0
19	Sep_2_2016	31.2	41.59	43.02	43.5			43.92(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	2	43	0.33	56%	0.55	88.5	4.15%	0	1.3	67	0
20	Sep_1_2016	31.03	41.33	42.85	43.3			44.16(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	4	50	0.4	56%	0.52	84	4.15%	0	1.4	75	0

21	Aug_31_2016	30.87	40.98	42.54	42.94			43.03(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	3	51	0.2	56%	0.55	72.2	4.15%	0	1	74	0
22	Aug_30_2016	30.7	40.65	42.28	42.7			43(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	0	52	0.32	56%	0.56	59.5	4.15%	0	1	76	0
23	Aug_29_2016	30.53	40.31	42.02	42.69			43.38(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	2	57	0.34	56%	0.59	54.1	4.17%	0	1.4	70	0
24	Aug_26_2016	30.35	40.02	41.79	42.47			42.94(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	2	63	0.21	56%	0.56	60.1	4.18%	0	1.4	72	0
25	Aug_25_2016	30.18	39.74	41.46	42.33			42.35(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	3	66	0.23	56%		69.4	4.18%	0	1.3	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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