Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: SOXL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Semicondct Bull 3X ETF)
SOXL latest price $37.1300 (2.6%) ($36.2000 - $37.1600) on Thu. Aug. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.45% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $37.1300(2.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   SOXL declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   SOXL advances 5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support SOXL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(83%)    IWF(81%)    IVW(80%)    SMH(80%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting SOXL price   SOXL will decline at least -2.225% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-12%)    IPO(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.225% (StdDev 4.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.91(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.95(0.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.57(7.41%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   71.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. SOXL price fluctuates within 9.69% (three month std-dev: 4.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2016	28.09	34.57	36.95	36.91			37.13(2.6%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-10000	-2	66	0.35	64%	0.43	80.9	4.45%	0	0.8	72	0
2	Aug_3_2016	27.97	34.07	36.64	37.11			36.19(0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-6	78	0.28	64%	0.43	76	4.48%	0	0.6	70	0
3	Aug_2_2016	27.85	33.57	36.48	37.62			35.94(-4.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-10000	-7	103	0.53	64%	0.43	76.6	4.51%	0	0.6	72	0
4	Aug_1_2016	27.73	33.08	36.21	38.23			37.75(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	39	-10000	7	136	0.2	66%	0.47	85.1	4.46%	0	1.2	80	0
5	Jul_29_2016	27.6	32.55	35.76	37.63			37.55(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	41	-10000	8	139	0.35	62%	0.51	81.9	4.49%	0	1.2	82	0

6	Jul_28_2016	27.46	32.05	35.2	36.96			38.13(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	11	136	0.34	59%	0.55	73.9	4.61%	0	1.5	87	0
7	Jul_27_2016	27.31	31.46	34.56	36.06			38.74(-0.62%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.7	42	-10000	10	137	0.55	59%	0.59	65.7	4.73%	0	1.9	92	0
8	Jul_26_2016	27.15	30.76	33.78	35.19			38.98(12.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	48	-10000	15	145	1.04	59%	0.56	55.9	4.74%	0	2.2	93	0
9	Jul_25_2016	27	29.96	32.95	33.95			34.74(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	-10000	4	145	0.32	55%	0.41	40.3	4.53%	0	1.4	92	0
10	Jul_22_2016	26.89	29.52	32.47	33.64			34.19(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	-10000	6	156	0.36	55%	0.41	36.5	4.54%	0	1.4	79	0

11	Jul_21_2016	26.78	29.34	31.96	33.16			33.66(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	5	153	0.34	55%	0.41	38.1	4.53%	0	1.3	72	0
12	Jul_20_2016	26.67	29.1	31.29	32.79			34.38(4.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	-10000	9	153	0.42	55%	0.41	37.5	4.53%	0	1.7	78	0
13	Jul_19_2016	26.56	28.81	30.44	32.15			32.8(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	5	144	0.21	53%	0.45	35.4	4.51%	0	1.4	79	0
14	Jul_18_2016	26.44	28.6	29.73	31.8			33.19(4.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	-10000	9	154	0.39	53%	0.49	34.3	4.54%	0	1.7	84	0
15	Jul_15_2016	26.31	28.32	29.09	31.13			31.76(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	8	145	0.29	53%	0.42	27.4	4.51%	0	1.4	65	0

16	Jul_14_2016	26.2	28.15	28.68	30.56			31.83(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	-10000	15	117	0.4	53%	0.42	17.9	4.52%	0	1.6	50	0
17	Jul_13_2016	26.09	27.98	28.12	29.53			31.15(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	17	77	0.35	56%	0.46	1.9	4.53%	0	1.5	54	0
18	Jul_12_2016	25.97	27.84	27.49	28.44			31.07(4.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	-10000	17	28	0.46	56%	0.43	-16.8	4.6%	0	1.6	54	0
19	Jul_11_2016	25.86	27.71	26.69	27.35			29.85(3.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-1	-10000	9	-30	0.62	56%	0.43	-35.4	4.58%	0	1.1	52	0
20	Jul_8_2016	25.75	27.67	26.29	26.77			28.9(8.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-12	-10000	3	-57	0.66	56%	0.39	-45.8	4.57%	0	0.6	53	0

21	Jul_7_2016	25.65	27.74	26.47	26.57			26.66(3.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	-10000	1	-54	0.41	53%	0.27	-44.7	4.45%	0	-0.5	47	0
22	Jul_6_2016	25.58	27.94	26.7	26.52			25.72(0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-11	-10000	3	-54	0.42	53%	0.31	-42.4	4.47%	0	-1.1	45	0
23	Jul_5_2016	25.5	28.19	27.05	26.36			25.61(-5.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-7	-10000	9	-54	0.28	53%	0.35	-41.7	4.48%	0	-1.2	44	0
24	Jul_1_2016	25.41	28.42	27.4	25.86			26.97(-3.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-15	-10000	3	-70	0.27	55%	0.47	-48.1	4.42%	0	-0.7	47	0
25	Jun_30_2016	25.29	28.58	27.51	25.7			27.87(5.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-31	-10000	-13	-86	0.39	55%		-47.5	4.38%	0	-0.3	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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